logo
Brazil Economists' Shifting Calls Presage Thriller Rate Decision

Brazil Economists' Shifting Calls Presage Thriller Rate Decision

Bloomberg18-06-2025
On the eve of Brazil's interest rate decision this week, XP's Chief Economist Caio Megale agonized over data and policymaker speeches before switching his forecast to a hold from a quarter-point rise. Poring over the same details, ASA economist Leonardo Costa went the opposite way, ditching his bet on steady borrowing costs and calling for a hike instead.
Those last-minute changes — far from being isolated cases — highlight the tension gripping Brazil-watchers in financial districts from Wall Street to Faria Lima as they rack their brains before Wednesday's announcement. As of now, 19 of 31 analysts in a Bloomberg survey expect the central bank to pause its tightening cycle at 14.75%, while the remaining 12 forecast a rise to 15%.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

1 Brilliant Quantum Computing Stock to Buy Before It Soars 70%, According to 1 Wall Street Analyst
1 Brilliant Quantum Computing Stock to Buy Before It Soars 70%, According to 1 Wall Street Analyst

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

1 Brilliant Quantum Computing Stock to Buy Before It Soars 70%, According to 1 Wall Street Analyst

Key Points IonQ is taking a unique approach to quantum computing. Quantum computing is expected to reach a turning point around 2030. 10 stocks we like better than IonQ › Wall Street analysts often give one-year price targets for stocks as a guide to where they think the stock is heading. While these projections are inherently flawed and in no way guarantee what will happen to a stock, understanding what the general analyst community thinks about a stock can be helpful in shaping your own research, especially in an area like quantum computing where there's a lot of hype. Kevin Garrigan from Rosenblatt Security recently set a new price target for quantum computing pure play IonQ (NYSE: IONQ). As of Wednesday's market close, IonQ was trading at $41.21 per share. Garrigan's price target is $70, indicating about 70% upside. That's a strong return in a short time frame, but is IonQ stock a buy now? IonQ's trapped ion approach shows potential IonQ is a leading quantum computing company, which is impressive considering that it doesn't have another business to fund its operations. IonQ relies on raising capital in the public markets and various contracts it has to fund its research, unlike many of the big tech competitors in this space, which have massive cash flows to fund their quantum computing research. Despite this disadvantage, IonQ has developed impressive quantum computing technology. IonQ has taken the trapped ion approach to quantum computing, which has benefits and drawbacks. On the plus side, trapped ion architecture has impressive fidelity, and IonQ holds the world record in 1-qubit gate fidelity tests. (A qbit, or quantum bit, is the basic unit of information used in quantum computing to encode data.) It can also be done at room temperature, while other solutions need to be cooled to absolute zero. On the downside, trapped ion quantum computing can have a slightly slower processing speed compared to other solutions. Time will tell whether this is a winning approach, but some of IonQ's early successes indicate that it could be viable. But will that be enough to deliver the $70 stock price that Garrigan thinks is possible? IonQ won't see real business gains for at least a few years Any stock price prediction for IonQ is speculation. While it has a handful of contracts and its quantum computing devices are available for use on all three major cloud computing services, there's really no commercial market for quantum computing right now. However, most quantum computing companies point toward 2030 being a key year, and IonQ is no exception. Its CEO projected that IonQ would be profitable and generate sales of nearly $1 billion by 2030. After that, management expects significant market expansion, with an $87 billion market emerging by 2035. To bridge the gap between profitability and its research phase, IonQ has $1.6 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and outside investments, which should allow it to reach this critical point. While it's impossible to know if IonQ's technology will propel it to be a winning quantum computing pick over the next few years, investors can feel confident that IonQ has the proper resources and backing to at least get to that point. Whether that's worth a $70-per-share target is a different question that I can't answer, but with all of the momentum behind quantum computing, I have a hard time seeing this stock slowing down anytime soon. As a result, I think it's worth an investment, as long as the position size is kept relatively small to help manage risk. Should you buy stock in IonQ right now? Before you buy stock in IonQ, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and IonQ wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $668,155!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,106,071!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,070% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 184% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of August 13, 2025 Keithen Drury has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. 1 Brilliant Quantum Computing Stock to Buy Before It Soars 70%, According to 1 Wall Street Analyst was originally published by The Motley Fool

Fed Expected To Cut Interest Rates, Though Inflation May Be Picking Up
Fed Expected To Cut Interest Rates, Though Inflation May Be Picking Up

Forbes

timean hour ago

  • Forbes

Fed Expected To Cut Interest Rates, Though Inflation May Be Picking Up

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 18: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. The Federal Reserve announced today that they will cut the central bank's benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to a new range of 4.75%-5%. (Photo by) Getty Images Fixed income markets fully expect that the Federal Open Market Committee will cut interest rates on September 17. However, economic data suggests that the FOMC may have to manage a monetary policy trade-off over the coming months. That's because the jobs market appears to have been weakening between May and July. That would typically call for lower rates. However, inflation may be picking up slightly on recent data. If that trend continues it might imply higher rates are needed. Of course, the FOMC only has a single policy tool, interest rates, so if unemployment rises and inflation picks up, then the FOMC's decision making may be made more complicated. The July Employment Situation Report saw 73,000 nonfarm payrolls added for July, which was itself a relatively slow pace of growth compared to prior months. However, figures for May and June were also revised down significantly to under 20,000 nonfarm payrolls added in both cases. In contrast, over 100,000 jobs had been added monthly over most of the prior 2 years. That said, the unemployment rate has been relatively stable since summer 2024, but if the recent slow pace of job creation continues, it may signal downside risk for the economy. The jobs report for August will be released on September 5, offering further data before the FOMC next meets. Recent data has shown some acceleration of inflation, too. July Producer Price Indexes showed a relatively pronounced rise in prices. In addition, there were some signs of rising prices in the July Consumer Price Index. For now, overall inflation remains relatively mild. For example, annual inflation is close to 3% to July depending on the metric used. However, the FOMC's annual target is 2% and inflation could accelerate further as the impact of tariffs, which in many cases have only been recently implemented, are felt. That said, some policymakers have said they are willing to look through any tariff-related inflation, believing it will be one-off in nature. If so, that makes it an easier decision to lower rates if there are concerns about a softening job market. At the last FOMC meeting in July both Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman dissented, preferring to lower rates. That and the likely appointment of Stephen Miran to the FOMC before the September meeting, suggest added pressure for a rate cut. That's because President Trump is known to favor lower rates, and he likely proposed Miran with the belief that he would vote to lower rates. It seems likely that the FOMC will cut interest rates in September. There are still more economic reports to come before that meeting, but fixed income markets strongly predict a rate cut. That said, there are signs that inflation could be accelerating, that may not prevent a September cut, especially if signs of a soft labor market continue, but could present challenges for policy makers later in 2025 if they have to choose between restraining inflation and supporting the jobs market.

HMRC confirms change that will give taxpayers lower interest rates in days
HMRC confirms change that will give taxpayers lower interest rates in days

Yahoo

time4 hours ago

  • Yahoo

HMRC confirms change that will give taxpayers lower interest rates in days

HMRC has announced the dates its new interest rates will take effect. Depending on the payment plan used by taxpayers, the dates for the diary were August 18 and 27. The change follows the Bank of England's recent base rate cut, the Mirror reports. READ MORE: 'New garden shed tax' warning as householders urged to check if they're affected The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee declared a drop in the base rate on August 7. It will drop from 4.25 per cent to four per cent, marking the lowest it has been since March 2023. The base rate sets the tone for interest rates for building societies and banks. It impacts everyone from savers to homeowners, credit card holders and HMRC. Changes to HMRC's interest rates will affect those making late tax payments or receiving repayments on their bill. The current interest rates charged on these payments stand at 8.25 per cent and 3.25 per cent respectively. The late payment interest rate, which is calculated as the base rate plus four per cent, will drop to eight per cent following the Bank of England's change. Repayment interest rates, calculated as the base rate minus one per cent, will now drop to three per cent. The interest rates for quarterly instalment payments will fall on August 18. Meanwhile non-quarterly instalment payments will not benefit from the new rates until August 27. The interest rates were designed to incentivise people to pay tax on time and avoid the late payment interest. The repayment rate aims to fairly compensate taxpayers for any loss incurred due to overpayments. Late payment interest rates hit a record high of 8.5 per cent earlier this year - a level not seen since February 2000, according to HMRC data.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store