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Ford raises projected tariff hit to results, shares drop 3%

Ford raises projected tariff hit to results, shares drop 3%

Reuters2 days ago
DETROIT, July 30 (Reuters) - Ford Motor (F.N), opens new tab said on Wednesday that U.S. tariffs on imported vehicles, as well as on steel and aluminum, will likely cost more than expected for the year, and the automaker's shares slid about 3% in after-market trading.
Ford reported that second-quarter results took an $800-million hit from tariffs, a less pronounced impact than some of its U.S. rivals thanks to Ford's strong domestic manufacturing base. For the full year, the automaker lifted the higher range of its projected hit to gross revenues from tariffs by $500 million, to $3 billion.
Ford CEO Jim Farley said the company is in daily contact with the White House, with an ultimate goal of reducing its tariff costs, especially on parts tariffs. "We see there's a lot of upside depending on how the negotiation goes with the administration," Farley said.
Chief Financial Officer Sherry House said Ford raised the projection because duties on Mexico and Canada have remained higher for longer than expected. She also cited elevated levies on aluminum and steel.
The Dearborn, Michigan, automaker also issued guidance for annual results on Wednesday, after suspending it in May to assess the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs.
Ford said it now plans to record full-year adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion, down from its February 2025 projection of between $7 billion and $8.5 billion.
For the latest quarter, the automaker reported a 21% decrease in earnings per share to 37 cents, beating LSEG analysts' expectation of 33 cents. Ford recorded a net loss for the quarter of $36 million, which it said was primarily due to special charges related to cancellation of a three-row electric SUV, and field service actions from a $570-million recall.
Ford posted revenue of $50.2 billion for the quarter, up 5% from a year earlier. The automaker has clawed away market share from rivals with aggressive discounting programs and a "zero, zero, zero" campaign, which offers shoppers a $0 down payment, zero percent interest for 48 months, and zero payments for the first 90 days on most vehicles.
"The substantial revenue outperformance demonstrates Ford's pricing power, but margin compression suggests underlying cost pressures remain problematic," CFRA Research analyst Garrett Nelson said in a note.
Gasoline-powered vehicles notched a 15.5% increase in the quarter on the back of these deals. Hybrid offers were also popular with shoppers in the quarter.
Ford said results for the quarter ending in June were $800 million lower because of Washington's tariffs. Competitor General Motors (GM.N), opens new tab reported steeper tariff headwinds, with a $1.1-billion hit for the quarter, largely from imports on its entry-level Chevrolet and Buick models made in South Korea.
GM has projected a $4-billion to $5-billion tariff impact for the year, with plans to offset 30% of that expense. Ford has said it expects to offset $1 billion of its gross tariff costs.
Jeep-maker Stellantis (STLAM.MI), opens new tab said tariffs were expected to add $1.7 billion in expenses for the year.
The White House did not reply to an email requesting comment on the automakers' projections. In the past, Trump has said the levies will bring manufacturing power and jobs back to the U.S.
Ford boasts domestic production for around 80% of the vehicles it sells in the U.S., about 25% more than its two Detroit rivals, according to business analytics firm GlobalData's review of last year's imports.
While this foundation has made it more resilient to tariffs, it still faces steep levies on aluminum, steel and copper that have rocked the industry. Additionally, executives have said that a pinched supply of rare earth magnets from China has disrupted production this quarter.
Ford's EV investments and quality problems remained among its greatest challenges. Before tariffs hit, the automaker earlier this year said it expected to lose up to $5.5 billion on its EV and software business in 2025. It recorded a $1.3 billion operating loss on this segment for the quarter. Elimination of a $7,500 consumer tax credit in September is expected to additionally dampen EV sales growth.
The automaker is also battling costly quality issues and an industry-topping volume of recalls. Reducing these problems has been a priority for Farley since he took on the role in 2020.
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NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuters) - U.S. job growth slower much more than expected in July, and the data from the prior month was revised sharply lower, indicating the labor market could be showing signs of stalling. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 73,000 jobs in July, after rising by a downwardly revised 14,000 in June, the Labor Department data showed on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 110,000 jobs added last month. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in July from 4.1% in the previous month. 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'I still don't think it's likely that the Fed will cut interest rates in September, I think they might keep holding off if we get an August jobs report that's not that bad. They might hold off further, but we'll definitely see a cut in October, and I would say definitely again in December as well. So, we're going to see likely 50 basis points of easing this year, which is a market change in overnight swaps from yesterday.' JEFF SCHULZE, HEAD OF ECONOMIC AND MARKET STRATEGY, CLEARBRIDGE INVESTMENTS, NEW YORK (emailed comment) "The July jobs report officially confirms that the labor market has kicked into a lower gear after today's headline miss coupled with negative revisions of -258k to the prior two months. Investors will need to recalibrate their views on what is the 'normal' pace of employment growth going forward given the headwinds of lower immigration, an aging demographic and the arrival of DOGE related layoffs. "This payroll report kicks the door wide open for a September rate cut. Although the effects of tariff pass-through still lie ahead, the Fed will not want to wait too long to begin its cutting cycle with the nonfarm payrolls flatlining at 35k on average over the past 3 months and the unemployment rate ticking higher. "While investors have been viewing the commencement of the Fed cutting cycle as a positive catalyst for risk assets, today's release is best characterized as 'bad news is bad news' in our view. With job creation at stall speed levels and the tariff headwind lying ahead, there's a strong possibility of a negative payroll print in the coming months which may conjure up fears of a recession. This print should pressure risk assets and cause safe haven buying in US treasuries.' JAMIE COX, MANAGING PARTNER, HARRIS FINANCIAL GROUP, RICHMOND, VA (emailed comment) "Powell is going to regret holding rates steady this week. September is a lock for a rate cut and it might even be a 50-basis point move to make up the lost time." ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, BOSTON (emailed comment) "Today's jobs report is unambiguously soft and a reflection of the trade and tariff impact on economic growth. Both the actual report and the big negative revisions are more evidence that the trade policy will slow growth. "What we know about our workforce population growth is that we need to create between 100 and 150 thousand jobs a month to keep the unemployment rate unchanged. That is down from a range of 150 to 200 thousand last year due to less immigration. The three-month average coming to today's report was 150 thousand. The new three-month average of job creation is now 80 thousand. Not great news." SEEMA SHAH, CHIEF GLOBAL STRATEGIST, PRINCIPAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, LONDON (emailed comment) "Not only was this a much weaker than forecast payrolls number, the monster downward revisions to the past two months inflicts a major blow to the picture of labor market robustness. What's more concerning is that with negative impact of tariffs only just starting to be felt, the coming months are likely to see even clearer evidence of a labor market slowdown. "Of course, with Powell emphasizing his focus on the unemployment rate which has only ticked up to 4.2%, perhaps it is too early to press the panic button. The shrinking of labor supply is somewhat offsetting the weakness in labor demand, keeping the labor market in an uneasy state of equilibrium. Even so, the sheer weakness of today's payrolls number means that Powell will have to take notice. The odds of a September cut just took a big leap higher." CHRIS ZACCARELLI, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, NORTHLIGHT ASSET MANAGEMENT, CHARLOTTE, NC (emailed comment): "Just two days after the conclusion of this month's Fed meeting, suddenly the dual mandate is back on the table. With this morning's payroll miss – and the downward revisions that came with it – the Fed will again need to balance a slowing job market with inflation which isn't slowing fast enough. "The knee jerk reaction from markets is for interest rates to drop and stock futures to give up ground. While normally it would make sense to focus more on the 3-month moving average and not the headline number, both are in play today because of the -258,000 revision to prior months' jobs numbers. "The stock market will probably move past this particular report and keep climbing this month, but today could be an ugly day in the market given the confluence of new tariff announcements and more evidence that the job market is slowing." BRIAN JACOBSEN, CHIEF ECONOMIST, ANNEX WEALTH MANAGEMENT, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN: "If Powell knew then what he knows now, maybe even he would have dissented from the decision to continue the rate cut pause. There's no way to pretty-up this report. Previous months were revised significantly lower where the labor market has been on stall-speed. "History is repeating itself. Last year the Fed messed up by not cutting in July so they did a catch-up cut at their next meeting. They'll likely have to do the same thing this year."

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