Dollar slips before US data, eyes on Trump-Putin meeting
The yen outperformed the euro and the pound after surprising strong Japanese growth data which showed export volumes held up well against new U.S. tariffs.
All eyes will be on a meeting in Alaska later on Friday between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, though hopes of sealing a ceasefire agreement on Ukraine remain uncertain.
U.S. import price figures will be more closely watched than usual after data on Thursday showed a surprisingly sharp jump in U.S. producer prices last month, pushing the dollar higher.
If import prices keep rising, it may signal that U.S. companies are fully absorbing the tariffs, leaving them with two options: pass the costs on to consumers, potentially stoking inflation, or take the hit to profit margins.
Money markets reflect a 95 per cent chance of a 25-basis point Fed rate cut in September. They fully priced a 25-bp cut and a 5 per cent chance of a larger 50-bp move before Thursday's U.S. data.
Markets also await next week's Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the Fed's next move. Signs of weakness in the U.S. labour market combined with inflation from trade tariffs could present a dilemma for the Fed's rate cut trajectory.
The yen was up 0.4 per cent against the dollar at 147.20, helped by data showing Japan's economy grew much faster than expected in the second quarter.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's remarks earlier this week that the Bank of Japan could be "behind the curve" in dealing with the risk of inflation proved to be another tailwind for the yen.
"Although BoJ Governor Ueda, may choose to disregard Bessent's remarks, the Japanese authorities will not want the value of the yen to become more of a concern to the Trump administration than it already is," said Jane Foley senior forex strategist at RaboBank.
The euro rose 0.25 per cent versus the dollar to $1.1675.
Most analysts expect Europe's single currency to benefit from any ceasefire deal in Ukraine.
"The Trump-Putin meeting and any better clarity on the path ahead in the Ukraine conflict have longer-lasting implications for the euro than for the dollar," said Francesco Pesole, forex strategist at ING.
"There is a chance that today might be the first step in the direction of de-escalation, and markets may tread carefully for now," he added.
The pound was up 0.20 per cent against the U.S. currency at $1.3553.
The Australian dollar was up 0.2 per cent versus the greenback at 0.6508.
The Chinese yuan pulled back from a two-week high as weaker-than-expected economic readings weighed on sentiment.
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