What's Behind The 400% Rise In IONQ Stock?

Forbes

30-05-2025

CANADA - 2025/05/09: In this photo illustration, the IonQ logo is seen displayed on a smartphone ... More screen. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
IonQ Inc. (NYSE: IONQ), a company specializing in quantum computing, has witnessed its stock price rise dramatically by 400% over the past twelve months. This surge demonstrates an increasing interest in quantum computing, a domain that has the capacity to transform multiple industries. Unlike traditional computers that operate on binary bits, quantum computers utilize qubits that can exist in various states at the same time. This core distinction enables them to conduct complex calculations and manage extensive data by examining numerous potential outcomes simultaneously. The scope of quantum computing applications is wide-ranging, encompassing everything from financial modeling and drug discovery to materials science. Nevertheless, despite its potential, quantum computing encounters a major obstacle: the frequency of errors increases as systems become more intricate with higher qubit counts. This characteristic renders the technology inherently unstable, which is typical for emerging advanced technologies.
Nonetheless, substantial progress is being made. Firms like Google, IBM, and IonQ have shown the capability to create scalable quantum computers with dozens of qubits, a pivotal advancement toward practical uses. IBM is at the forefront of this field, featuring its 1,121-qubit Condor processor and plans to develop systems with 100,000 qubits by 2033. IonQ has also introduced new quantum systems, such as Forte, which provides software configurability and versatility for researchers. However, if you are seeking potential gains with a more stable investment than an individual stock, you might want to explore the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its establishment. Additionally, see – Nvidia Stock's 1 Big Risk
IonQ provides a variety of quantum computing solutions, including high-performance quantum computers and networking systems. These are available through cloud platforms and direct agreements, such as Amazon Braket, Azure Quantum, and IonQ's own Quantum Cloud.
IonQ's unique method employs trapped ions as quantum bits. They specifically utilize ionized ytterbium atoms, which are ionized by removing an electron using lasers in a technique also known as 'trapping.' These ions are held steady by a specialized chip.
IonQ's product lineup features IonQ Forte – a 36-qubit quantum computer tailored for commercial and research purposes. An enterprise edition is also offered. Additionally, they provide IonQ Aria: – a 25-qubit quantum computer available through the cloud. The company plans to introduce Tempo later this year, aimed at large enterprises and governmental bodies, featuring 99.9% fidelity.
Recently, IonQ's management drew comparisons between their enterprise and Nvidia within the quantum computing landscape, which has further fueled investor enthusiasm.
While quantum computing holds immense potential, it is still in a developmental phase and is not yet prepared for widespread practical usage. IonQ's revenue of $43 million over the past twelve months is relatively modest, and the company reported an operating loss of $255 million during that same timeframe.
IonQ's stock is particularly vulnerable to negative market conditions, exhibiting significantly greater volatility than the overall market. For example, amid the inflation shock of 2022, IonQ's value dropped by 90%, while the S&P 500 recorded a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4%. Similarly, during the market correction induced by the COVID-19 pandemic, IonQ saw a 51% decrease in value from its peak, contrasting sharply with the benchmark index's 34% decline. This trend underscores the substantial risk of IonQ's stock declining in unfavorable market circumstances.
Like many stocks in the quantum computing sector, IONQ represents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity. Key elements affecting its direction include ongoing technological advancements and cost management. IonQ could potentially sell many quantum computers in the upcoming years, which might contribute to further increases in its stock price.
For investors, backing IonQ equates to supporting the future possibilities of quantum computing and IonQ's role in that future. The company stands out as one of the few providing high-fidelity quantum computing through platforms like Amazon Braket and has significant clients including Hyundai, Airbus, and Dow. As technology progresses, we can anticipate enhanced precision from a wider array of firms in the quantum computing sphere.
Reflecting on its previous performance, IONQ stock has exhibited considerable volatility when juxtaposed with the broader markets. The stock returns were 55% in 2021, -79% in 2022, 259% in 2023, and 237% in 2024. In contrast, the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, comprising 30 stocks, has displayed much less volatility and has comfortably outperformed the S&P 500 over the last four years. What accounts for this? On average, HQ Portfolio stocks yielded superior returns with lower risk compared to the benchmark index, providing a less tumultuous investment experience, as shown in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.