logo
Trade protectionism disrupts global trade - ASEAN+3

Trade protectionism disrupts global trade - ASEAN+3

The Sun05-05-2025
KUALA LUMPUR: Rising trade protectionism impacts global trade, causing economic fragmentation that affects trade, investment, and capital flows throughout the region, as concluded in the 28th ASEAN+3 Finance Ministers' and Central Bank Governors' Meeting (AFMGM+3).
The meeting was held on May 4, 2025, in Milan, Italy, under the co-chairmanship of Malaysia's Finance Minister II Datuk Seri Amir Hamzah Azizan, Bank Negara Malaysia governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour, China's Finance Minister Lan Fo'an, and the People's Bank of China governor Pan Gongsheng.
The ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) director, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) president, the ASEAN Secretariat deputy secretary-general, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) deputy managing director were also present.
In a joint statement, AFMGM+3 said that near-term prospects may also be affected by other external risks, including tighter global financial conditions, growth slowdown in major trading partners, and reduced investment flows.
'We call for enhanced regional unity and cooperation as we endeavour to weather the heightened uncertainty. Our current policy priority is to reinforce long-term resilience while maintaining flexibility to address near-term challenges, including rising protectionism and volatile global financial conditions.
'On the fiscal front, this means rebuilding policy buffers while continuing to provide well-targeted support to sustain growth while implementing structural reforms. We will also carefully recalibrate monetary policy based on domestic conditions,' said the group.
AFMGM+3 emphasised that they will maintain exchange rate flexibility as a buffer against external shocks.
'Our export markets and sources of growth have become increasingly diversified over the years, with domestic demand and intraregional trade now serving as key drivers of growth,' it said.
The group said that amid rising uncertainties and long-term structural shifts, they reaffirm their full commitment to multilateralism and a rules-based, non-discriminatory, free, fair, open, inclusive, equitable, and transparent multilateral trading system, with the World Trade Organisation at its core.
'We will enhance macro-economic policy dialogue, promote regional financial cooperation, and ensure stable and unimpeded industrial and supply chains, to jointly safeguard regional economic and financial stability.
'We fully support the robust implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Agreement,' it said.
They urge international organisations to uphold multilateralism and promote free trade, analyse and monitor the potential impact of trade tensions on the global economy, and support their members in providing policy advice to manage the negative shocks that may arise.
'We will promote greater intra-regional trade and investment flows to strengthen the region's resilience against external shocks, to adjust to pre-existing and new challenges, and to support sustainable and equitable economic development.
'Given our financial market interlinkages, we are closely monitoring regional financial market conditions,' it said.
AFMGM+3 stated that the meetings reaffirm their resolve and commitment to ensure that financial systems and markets remain resilient despite uncertainty, while maintaining open communication among members in light of rapidly evolving developments.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Trillion-ringgit question
Trillion-ringgit question

The Star

time4 hours ago

  • The Star

Trillion-ringgit question

PETALING JAYA: As Malaysia pledges to invest, including with purchases, over US$240bil in the United States to reduce its trade gap with Washington, economists and analysts generally think it is a necessary step that needs to be taken to secure a competitive tariff rate. That being said, some experts acknowledge that the amount of capital involved means that the commitment could be a significant bill to foot, especially over the short term. Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Abdul Aziz reported yesterday that Malaysia would be investing up to RM1.02 trillion – over variable time frames on different deals – which he said helped lower the country's tariff rate from 25% to 19% with President Donald Trump's administration. Notable deals include US$150bil in purchases by multinational companies in Malaysia's semiconductor, aerospace and data centre sectors over five years; US$70bil in Malaysian investments in the United States over 10 years; US$19bil Boeing aircraft purchase by Malaysia Aviation Group (MAG) for fleet renewal; US$3.4bil annually in liquefied natural gas purchases by Petroliam Nasional Bhd; and US$42.6mil annually in coal purchases by Tenaga Nasional Bhd . Nevertheless, it is telling that some of these deals, in theory at least, would go on past the tenure of Trump's second term in the White House, which is scheduled to end in January 2029. Senior economist at United Overseas Bank Julia Goh pointed out that had Malaysia not agreed to negotiate and compromise to secure the 19% tariff rate, it could have stood out as an outlier with the highest rate among Asean countries. She said this would naturally prompt investors to question the country's competitiveness. 'While the 19% rate means we lose the comparative advantage of having the lowest tariff in the region, it at least ensures we are not worse off than some of our regional peers. 'It is important to remember that zero tariffs are not an option – any agreed rate would be higher than what was in place before Liberation Day. The focus, therefore, is on securing the lowest possible rate,' she told StarBiz. Goh said the ideal or optimal rate of investments that Malaysia should commit to in striking the trade deal likely depends on the share of US exports and Malaysia's trade surplus, and as such, Putrajaya's commitment needs to be substantial enough to reflect that. She noted that securing a lower tariff rate could lead to cost savings and reduced tariff access for US suppliers would benefit both local firms and multinational corporations that source from the United States for domestic assembly, testing or manufacturing. 'Moreover, not all committed investments originate directly from the government. Many of the purchases are driven by commercial considerations,' she said. Looking from the perspective of the last three years, Asia Pacific chief economist at credit insurer Coface, Bernard Aw, observed that Malaysia's goods trade surplus with the United States averaged US$15bil to US$16bil from 2022 to 2024. Meanwhile, he said Malaysia's imports from the United States rose sharply in 2024 to nearly US$30bil, before estimating from Tengku Zafrul's statement yesterday that Malaysia is offering at least US$33bil worth of purchases each year across various sectors. 'If realised, these deals could turn Malaysia's goods trade surplus with the United States into a deficit,' he cautioned. Aw explained that the key American products that Malaysia imports are integrated circuits, computers, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, engines and aircraft, all of which the United States is already a dominant source, especially in aircraft and engines. 'This puts forth the question as to whether Malaysia can import more from the United States. 'In Malaysia's imports of electronic integrated circuits where the United States accounts for 14%, is Malaysia able to reduce imports from other key sources such as Taiwan, Singapore, China and Japan to increase US-originated imports? 'This may be possible in the long term as supply chains evolve, but a tall order in the short term,' said Aw. To meet its investment commitment, Aw further approximated that Malaysia is to invest US$7bil each year in the United States over the next 10 years. Citing the country's balance of payments data, he reported that Malaysia's direct investment abroad in 2024 totalled to around US$13.9bil. 'This means half of the country's foreign direct investment must go to the United States (from here on in), which seems quite challenging to achieve,' he said. Doris Liew, an economist specialising in South-East Asian development, opined that Malaysia's investments in the United States could give the former a stake in the latter's industrial development, with the hope that deeper economic integration will follow. Ideally, she said such integration will be two-way, encouraging American firms to invest in Malaysia as both markets become more interconnected. Liew said the latest round of tariff reductions placed Malaysia on more equal footing with regional neighbours by neutralising previous tariff advantages or disadvantages. 'As a result, investment decisions are now more likely to hinge on fundamentals rather than preferential trade treatment. Countries with trade agreements in place, including Malaysia, will enjoy a more level playing field compared to those without such deals, although that group is shrinking over time,' she said. She added that sectors such as semiconductors and data centres may particularly benefit, especially if they can leverage their foreign involvement to foster stronger technological integration with the US economy. This means aligning and linking both countries' supply chains to enable knowledge and technology transfer back home, as outward foreign direct investment also plays a role here by allowing domestic firms to acquire capabilities abroad and upgrade their operations locally based on global best practices. Head of dealing at Moomoo Malaysia Ken Low concurs with Liew, remarking that Malaysia's 'significant investment' could positively impact its economy by enhancing technological capabilities, driving industrial upgrading, creating new employment opportunities and attracting foreign investment through improved global market perceptions. In addition, he said the reduction of Washington's tariffs on Malaysia partly validated the strategic reasoning behind such a sizeable investment. Nonetheless, he said although the immediate tariff reduction provided some short-term economic clarity and relief, the longer-term benefits for Malaysia will depend primarily on the effectiveness of technology transfer, domestic productivity enhancements, and export growth stemming from these agreements. Of particular interest, economist Geoffrey Williams notably believes that Malaysia could have been given a larger tariff reduction. He commented that the number of planes to be bought by MAG is smaller than other countries, and it is not clear if the purchase is a normal replacement of the fleet, substitution of Boeing in place of Airbus, or an actual new net investment. 'It is also clear that orders of Boeing planes around the world are rising so delivery will be delayed and the new orders may not appear until long after President Trump has ended his second term. The orders could then be cancelled. 'So it may be smoke and mirrors and this would explain in part why the tariff reduction was small,' said Williams. His sentiment was perhaps reflected by the performance of the FBMKLCI yesterday, which dropped 6.37 points to close at 1,526.98 points, as losers edged gainers 463 to 356. Head of equity sales at Rakuten Trade Vincent Lau added that investors in the local bourse could also be cautious over US job prospects, which reports said were 'weakening', as well as dips in regional bourses over the past week. On the other hand, he said the decline yesterday has presented a buying opportunity, and listed the construction, technology and domestically driven sectors as those that will merit consideration. Head of Asia equity strategy at HSBC, Herald van der Linde, attributed the negative reaction of the FBM KLCI yesterday to fund rotation out of Malaysia into Indonesia and Thailand for bottom fishing. 'Also, after strong performance last year, we see rotation across Asian equities into Korea, Taiwan and Thailand, and, within Asean, Thailand and Vietnam. This, too, impacts performance of Malaysian stocks,' he said. Acknowledging that the tariff situation has not altered his year-end prediction of 1,600 for the local premier index, van der Linde perceives that Malaysia has cemented itself as a crucial link in the global tech supply chain. Offering a hint as to his favoured sectors, he said several European and American companies have decided to move or expand their manufacturing facilities in the country. 'Equipment makers, chip designers, testers, construction companies, and power producers are benefiting from an inflow of foreign investment. 'In addition, Malaysia is well positioned to benefit from the rise in data centres amid increased demand for cloud and artificial intelligence services, as large tech giants are already investing heavily in the market,' said van der Linde.

Padu data to help identify RON95 subsidy recipients
Padu data to help identify RON95 subsidy recipients

The Star

time5 hours ago

  • The Star

Padu data to help identify RON95 subsidy recipients

DATA on the Central Database Hub (Padu) will be used as the primary reference for the implementation of targeted subsidies for RON95 fuel, says Finance Minister II Datuk Seri Amir Hamzah Azizan ( pic ). Amir Hamzah, who is also the Acting Economy Minister, said the use of centralised data under Padu would enhance the accuracy in identifying eligible recipients. He said this would ensure that government subsidies are distributed more fairly and effectively. 'The implementation of targeted subsidies, with Padu being used by the Finance Ministry, will serve as the reference for RON95 subsidy recipients. 'I believe this is the beginning, the first truly detailed approach that will be used,' he said during question time in the Dewan Rakyat yesterday. He was responding to a question by Aminolhuda Hassan (PH-Sri Gading), who had asked the government to state the updates on Padu and efforts to ensure transparency. Amir Hamzah said nine government agencies have been given access to Padu data for their specific needs and policy coordination. 'The government strongly encourages the use of Padu data among government agencies as part of efforts to enhance efficiency and effectiveness in service delivery,' he said. The Padu system currently contains over 30.4 million individual profiles, he added. He also said that following data integration from more than 200 government agencies, the system now has information on demographics, socioeconomic status, education, income and assistance status. 'The system is also utilising the expertise of our civil servants, and the practices are in line with the existing Acts, orders and circulars to ensure data safety,' he added. Previously, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim announced that Malaysians will soon enjoy RON95 petrol at a reduced price of RM1.99 per litre under a targeted subsidy scheme, with further details to be announced by the end of September.

Zafrul: 19% US tariff fair, ties intact
Zafrul: 19% US tariff fair, ties intact

The Star

time5 hours ago

  • The Star

Zafrul: 19% US tariff fair, ties intact

New pact protects national interests, preserves sovereignty KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia considers the newly imposed 19% tariff on its exports to the United States a fair and balanced outcome that safeguards national interests, says Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Abdul Aziz. While Malaysia had hoped for a lower rate, the Investment, Trade and Industry Minister said the result of the negotiations does not compromise the nation's core poli­cies or sovereignty. 'Among Asean countries, Malaysian goods remain competitive in the US market,' he told the Dewan Rakyat yesterday. He emphasised that the United States is Malaysia's top export destination and a source of foreign direct investments, with nearly RM200bil in export value, making trade relations too important to be taken lightly. Tengku Zafrul cited the electrical and electronics sector, where about 100,000 jobs, particularly in Penang and Kedah, could be impacted by any adverse shift in US trade policy. He said both countries have agreed in principle to an Agree­ment on Reciprocal Trade, covering six key areas: tariffs and quotas, non-tariff barriers, digital trade and technology, rules of origin, economic and national security, and commercial considerations. Malaysia has agreed to reduce or eliminate import duties on 98.4% of all tariff lines for US imports, he said. While excise duties remain untouched, Tengku Zafrul said sales tax exemptions will apply to certain US agricultural products like dairy and seafood. On digital trade, Malaysia agreed not to impose a discriminatory digital service tax on US companies, to drop the 6% Universal Service Fund contribution requirement for American cloud and social media firms, and to lift the directive requiring domain name system traffic routing through local servers. However, Malaysia rejected several US demands that could undermine sovereignty. 'Cloud service providers and social media platforms remain subject to Malaysian laws. We also retain the right to request source code transfers for use in critical infrastructure, government procurement and the financial sector,' said Tengku Zafrul. Malaysia, he added, also agreed to strengthen export controls under Section 12 of the Strategic Trade Act, addressing US concerns over the export and transit of AI chips to third countries. It also committed not to restrict exports of rare earth elements and critical minerals to the United States, though no exclusivity was granted over Malaysia's supply. Tengku Zafrul also dismissed claims that Malaysia Airlines' US$19bil (RM80.51bil) acquisition of Boeing aircraft was made under pressure from the United States, clarifying that it is part of a long-term fleet renewal plan by Malaysia Aviation Group. He said the purchase includes aircraft, engines, training, maintenance and long-term support, which would benefit Malaysia's aerospace and tourism sectors. Tengku Zafrul said that many Malaysian companies supply cri­tical components to both Boeing and Airbus, contributing RM25.1bil annually and supporting 30,000 jobs nationwide. 'At the same time, our tourism sector has shown strong post-­pandemic recovery. Boeing forecasts global passenger traffic to grow by 4.7% over the next 20 years. This investment enables Malaysia to tap into the growth potential of both tourism and aerospace industries,' he said. Tengku Zafrul reaffirmed that the government remains firm on key national interests, including SME participation in supply chains, bumiputra vendor empowerment, halal import standards, and protections for critical sectors. He also rejected allegations that Malaysia will automatically recog­nise halal certificates from US bodies. While both countries have agreed to facilitate the import of meat and poultry products from the United States, such imports must still comply with halal standards set by the Malaysian Islamic Development Department. Other key areas of agreement include streamlined registration for US dairy, meat and poultry exporters, regionalisation for disease control in poultry exports, and alignment of standards for industrial products like medical devices, pharmaceuticals, and automotive goods with Malaysian regulations. Tengku Zafrul said both nations have also committed to strengthening enforcement in areas such as intellectual property rights, labour, environmental protection and sustainable fisheries management, based on Malaysia's obligations under relevant international organisations. 'I want to stress that Malaysia has not relaxed any controls or conditions that would compromise the rights of the people or the sustainability of local industries,' he said. 'There is no blanket exemption granted to import licensing or approved permits for products imported from the United States. 'There is also no full liberalisation of foreign equity ownership conditions in strategic sectors, and bumiputra equity requirements remain in place for all relevant sectors.'

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store