
Wall St set for lower open with focus on Trump's tax bill
Wall Street's main indexes were set for a lower open on Wednesday, as investors awaited the outcome of a pivotal debate around U.S. President Donald Trump's tax-cut bill that has fanned concerns about the country's growing debt.
The gate-keeping House Rules Committee has scheduled an unusual 1 a.m. ET hearing that is expected to run well into daylight hours, as Republicans try to overcome internal divisions about cuts to the Medicaid health program and tax breaks in high-cost coastal states.
Nonpartisan analysts say the proposed plan could add $3 trillion to $5 trillion to the federal government's $36.2 trillion in debt.
"(We're seeing) the American exceptionalism narrative unwind, so you have a natural process of something weakening after years of concentration," said David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation.
"We're kind of pouring gasoline on the fire with tariffs and all of this budgetary uncertainty."
At 08:26 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 301 points, or 0.7%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 30.25 points, or 0.52%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 117.5 points, or 0.55%.
U.S. bonds have been under pressure since the start of the week, when Moody's downgraded the country's sovereign credit rating. On Wednesday, yields on the 30-year note were back up to 5.02% and the benchmark 10-year yield climbed 5.8 basis points to 4.53%.
Federal Reserve officials said on Tuesday they expected tariffs to push up prices, but counseled patience before any interest-rate decisions were made.
Highly valued technology stocks took a hit in premarket trading as rising rates tend to discount the present value of future profits.
Amazon, down nearly 1%, led losses among top megacap and growth stocks.
UnitedHealth Group dropped 3.9% after a Guardian report said the healthcare conglomerate secretly paid nursing homes thousands in bonuses to help slash hospital transfers for ailing residents. HSBC also downgraded the stock to "reduce" from "hold".
On the earnings front, retailer Target fell 5.6% after slashing its annual forecast due to a pullback in discretionary spending. Lowe's gained 1.6% after it posted a smaller-than-expected drop in first-quarter comparable sales.
Wolfspeed tumbled 63.3% to $1.16 following a report that the semiconductor supplier was preparing to file for bankruptcy within weeks.
U.S. stocks closed lower on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 snapping a six-day winning streak while the Dow logged its first decline in four sessions.
Despite the losses, they have had a solid month so far. The S&P 500 has climbed more than 17% higher from its April lows, when Trump's reciprocal tariffs roiled global markets.
A pause in the tariffs, a temporary U.S.-China trade truce and tame inflation data have pushed equities higher, although the S&P 500 is still about 3% off its record highs.
Brokerage Morgan Stanley upgraded its stance on U.S. equities to "overweight", saying the global economy was still expanding, albeit slowly, amid policy uncertainty.
(Reporting by Shashwat Chauhan and Kanchana Chakravarty in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai and Devika Syamnath)
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Zawya
28 minutes ago
- Zawya
Asia stocks edge up, dollar droops as ceasefire buoys confidence
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Zawya
28 minutes ago
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Dollar stalls as Israel-Iran truce boosts risk appetite
SINGAPORE: The dollar struggled to regain lost ground on Wednesday as investors decided to take on more risk following a fragile truce between Israel and Iran. Markets were jubilant and an index of global shares hit a record high overnight as a shaky ceasefire brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump took hold between Iran and Israel. The two nations signalled that the air war between them had ended, at least for now, after Trump publicly scolded them for violating a ceasefire he announced. Investors heavily sold the dollar in the wake of the news, after pouring into the safe-haven currency during the 12 days of war between Israel and Iran that also saw the U.S. attack Iran's uranium-enrichment facilities. Currency moves were more subdued in Asia on Wednesday though the euro remained perched near its highest since October 2021 and last bought $1.1614. Sterling eased 0.03% to $1.3614 but was similarly not far from Tuesday's peak of $1.3648, which marked its strongest level since January 2022. The risk-sensitive Australian dollar, which rallied sharply in the previous session, last traded 0.1% higher at $0.6496. The New Zealand dollar advanced 0.33% to $0.6027. While the truce between Israel and Iran appeared fragile, investors for now seemed to welcome any reprieve. "The market is complacent about some of the downside risks," said Joseph Capurso, head of international and sustainable economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "The thing I get is this issue is not over, which means it could come back to be a driver of commodity prices and currency markets again." In other currencies, the Swiss franc, which scaled a 10-1/2-year high on Tuesday, steadied at 0.8052 per dollar. The yen eased 0.1% to 145.03 per dollar. Some Bank of Japan policymakers called for keeping interest rates steady for the time being due to uncertainty over the impact of U.S. tariffs on Japan's economy, a summary of opinions at the bank's June policy meeting showed on Wednesday. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was little changed at 97.97. While Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stuck to his cautious approach and reiterated that the central bank was in no rush to ease rates at his semi-annual testimony to Congress on Tuesday, markets continue to price in a roughly 18% chance that the Fed could cut in July, according to the CME FedWatch tool. "We think economic growth is slowing and the improvement in services and shelter inflation will push back against tariff rises, allowing cuts to resume in September," ANZ analysts said in a note. A raft of weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data in recent weeks have bolstered expectations of Fed cuts this year, with futures pointing to nearly 60 basis points worth of easing by December. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly deteriorated in June as households grew increasingly worried about job availability, another indication that labour market conditions were softening. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically reflects near-term rate expectations, fell to a 1-1/2-month low of 3.7870% on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year yield was little changed at 4.3004%. (Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Jamie Freed and Sonali Paul)


Zawya
29 minutes ago
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Why Tesla's robotaxi launch was the easy part
Tesla finally has a robotaxi. Now comes the hard part. The electric-vehicle maker deployed its first-ever driverless cabs in Austin, Texas, on Sunday in a small-scale test of carefully monitored Model Y vehicles. Next, the company faces the steep challenge of executing on CEO Elon Musk's ambition to refine the software and upload it to millions of Teslas within a year or so. Such a rapid expansion will prove extremely difficult, about a dozen industry analysts and autonomous-vehicle technology experts told Reuters. These observers expressed a range of views about Tesla's prospects but all cautioned against assuming a light-speed robotaxi rollout. Some pointed to advantages Tesla might exploit to overtake rivals including Alphabet's Waymo and a host of Chinese auto and tech companies. Tesla has mass-manufacturing capacity, and it pioneered remote software updates it can use for self-driving upgrades. The automaker also does not use sensors such as radar and lidar like Waymo and most rivals; instead, it depends solely on cameras and artificial intelligence. 'A rollout could be really quick. If the software works, Tesla robotaxi could drive any road in the world,' said Seth Goldstein, a Morningstar senior equity analyst, while cautioning that Tesla is still 'testing the product.' In Austin, Tesla launched a choreographed experiment involving maybe a dozen cars, operating in limited geography, with safety monitors in the front passenger seat; remote 'teleoperators'; plans to avoid bad weather; and hand-picked pro-Tesla influencers as passengers. For years, Musk has said Tesla would soon operate its own autonomous ride-hailing service and also turn any Tesla, new or used, into a cash-generating robotaxi for its customers. That will be 'orders of magnitude' more difficult than testing in Austin, said Bryant Walker Smith, a University of South Carolina law professor focused on autonomous-driving regulation. 'It's like announcing that, 'I'm going to Mars' and then, you know, going to Cleveland,' Smith said. Musk has said Tesla will reach Mars, in that metaphor, quite quickly: "I predict that there will be millions of Teslas operating fully autonomously in the second half of next year," he said in April. Musk and Tesla did not respond to requests for comment. Tesla shares ended 8.2% higher at $348.68 on Monday on investor enthusiasm over the robotaxi launch. Given Tesla's AI-dependent approach, its challenge will be machine-training robotaxis to handle complex traffic 'edge cases,' said Philip Koopman, a Carnegie Mellon University computer-engineering professor and autonomous-technology expert. That could take many years. 'Look, how long has it taken Waymo?' Koopman asked. 'There's no reason to believe Tesla will be any faster.' LONG SLOG Waymo's self-driving efforts date back to 2009, when Google started its self-driving car project. An egg-shaped prototype took its first ride on public streets in 2015 – also in Austin. Waymo has taken since then to build a 1,500-robotaxi fleet in select cities. A Waymo spokesperson said it plans to add 2,000 more vehicles by the end of 2026. Some analysts believe Tesla can expand faster, in part because Waymo has helped pave the way by overcoming regulatory and technical challenges. 'Waymo and other pioneers have helped to drive regulatory change and have made riders, pedestrians and other road users aware of autonomous vehicles,' said Paul Miller, an analyst at market-research firm Forrester. Being a mass-manufacturer also helps Tesla, Miller said. Waymo buys Jaguar I-PACE SUVs and outfits them with more expensive sensors and technology than Tesla integrates into its vehicles. Waymo declined to comment on Tesla's robotaxi-expansion potential. The company's former CEO, John Krafcik, remains skeptical. The precautions Tesla employed in Austin reveal it does not have confidence its technology is safe at scale, Krafcik said. 'And they shouldn't,' he said. 'It's not as safe as it needs to be, and falls well short of the robust approach and well-documented safety that Waymo has demonstrated.' 'WRONG SIDE' OF THE ROAD Tesla's go-fast strategy could actually slow its progress and that of the autonomous-vehicle industry if it undermines public trust, some analysts said. Tesla has historically faced legal and regulatory trouble involving its Full Self-Driving (FSD) driver-assistance system, which is not fully autonomous. In one recent federal safety probe into Tesla, investigators are examining FSD's role in crashes – some fatal – involving rain or other inclement weather that interferes with the system's cameras. Before the Austin test, Musk posted on his social-media platform, X, that the robotaxis' technology would differ little from any Tesla, aside from a software update: 'These are unmodified Tesla cars coming straight from the factory, meaning that every Tesla,' he wrote, 'is capable of unsupervised self-driving!' The automaker invited Tesla-friendly influencers to take its first robotaxi rides, and they generally cheered the experience. One social-media video posted by a robotaxi passenger, however, showed the vehicle proceeding through a four-lane intersection with a traffic light – and into the wrong lane, for about six seconds. No oncoming traffic was in the lane at the time. 'Obviously we're on the wrong side of the double-yellow line here,' said the passenger, Rob Maurer, in a video narration of the experience he posted on X, noting that he felt safe but that the car behind him honked at the 'confusing maneuver." Maurer did not respond to requests for comment. Reuters verified the location of the video by matching the surrounding buildings, business and street signs to the intersection of West Riverside Drive and Barton Springs Road in Austin. Separately, a Reuters witness followed another Tesla robotaxi and measured its speed as it traveled at between 40 and 45 mph in a 35 mph zone on First Street, adjacent to the Texas School for the Deaf. A sign warned to watch for deaf pedestrians. (Reporting by Rachael Levy in Washington, Norihiko Shirouzu in Austin, Texas, and Abhirup Roy in San Francisco; Editing by Brian Thevenot and Matthew Lewis)