
LAC tensions, China aiding Pakistan's WMD ambitions—what US flagged in annual worldwide threat report
The report says Pakistan perceives India as an 'existential threat' and will continue to pursue its military 'modernisation effort, including the development of battlefield nuclear weapons, to offset India's conventional military advantage'.
The report, released earlier this month, also said sometimes these supplies are transshipped through Hong Kong, Singapore, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates.
New Delhi: Pakistan almost 'certainly procures' foreign materials and technology for Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) from foreign suppliers and intermediaries, 'very likely acquired primarily from suppliers in China', the United States' Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) has said in its 2025 Worldwide Threat Assessment report.
The report has further said the 'ongoing tensions along India and China's Line of Actual Control border demarcation are capable of escalating quickly'.
Referring to the troop disengagement in Depsang and Demchok in Eastern Ladakh in October last year, it says 'the disengagement did not resolve the longstanding dispute about border demarcation but reduced some tension still lingering' since the 2020 Galwan clash, with India considering China its 'primary adversary' and viewing Pakistan as 'an ancillary security problem to be managed despite cross-border attacks in mid-May by both India's and Pakistan's militaries'.
Notably, Pakistan deployed Chinese-supplied fighters such as JF-17 and J10C, PL-15E beyond-visual-range air-to-air missiles and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) against India during the military hostilities between 7 and 10 May. Besides, multiple reports indicate that Pakistan is expected to receive the fifth-generation J-35A fighter jet from China later this year.
Subsequently, the assessment states that Pakistan 'primarily is a recipient' of Beijing's 'economic and military largesse' and its forces conduct multiple military exercises with Chinese forces every year.
'Foreign materials and technology supporting Pakistan's WMD programs are very likely acquired primarily from suppliers in China and sometimes are transshipped through Hong Kong, Singapore, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates,' the report said.
India had launched Operation Sindoor in the early hours of 7 May, targeting nine terror training camps in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) associated with Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM). The strikes came in retaliation to the 22 April terror attack in Pahalgam, carried out by terrorists trained and backed by Pakistan, which claimed the lives of 26 tourists.
Pakistan reached out to Indian Director General of Military Operations (DGMO) Lt Gen Rajiv Ghai 10 May to propose cessation of hostilities.
The report released just the day after describes the escalation in detail, stating it included 'rounds of missile, drone and loitering munition attacks, and heavy artillery fire, by both militaries from 7 to 10 May'.
Also Read:All about J-35A, the Chinese fifth-generation stealth fighter Pakistan plans to acquire
On China
A substantive portion of the DIA report focuses on China's rapid military and nuclear modernisation. The report estimates that China's operational nuclear warhead count has surpassed 600 and could exceed 1,000 by 2030. These warheads will 'be maintained at higher readiness levels to enable faster response times during conflicts,' it adds.
On countering Beijing's expanding influence, it says that India is 'boosting its global leadership role' by advancing bilateral defence partnerships in the Indian Ocean region and increasing its participation in multilateral forums.
These include the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD) with the US, Australia and Japan; the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa); the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
The paper also highlights India's strengthening of its nuclear triad and deterrence capabilities in 2024 by 'conducting the test of the nuclear-capable Agni-I Prime medium range ballistic missile (MRBM) and the Agni-V multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle while also commissioning its second nuclear-powered submarine'.
India had commissioned its second nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine (SSBN), INS Arighaat, in August last year.
The DIA further outlines India's focus on building indigenous defence capabilities through the 'Make in India' initiative, aimed at modernising the armed forces and mitigating supply chain risks.
The assessment also says that, despite a reduction in arms procurement from Moscow, India will maintain its relationship with Russia 'since it views its ties to Russia as important for achieving its economic and defence objectives'.
It adds that India continues to rely on 'Russian-origin spare parts to sustain a significant portion of its tank and fighter aircraft inventory', which has been described as 'the backbone of its military's ability to counter perceived threats from China and Pakistan'.
(Edited by Ajeet Tiwari)
Also Read: India used this battlefield hack to keep Soviet-era missile systems firing against Pakistan in Op Sindoor
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Mint
an hour ago
- Mint
There is an 'imminent' threat to Taiwan, America warns
UNTIL RECENTLY America reassured nervous Asian friends that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan was 'neither imminent nor inevitable". But in a dramatic shift on May 31st Pete Hegseth, the defence secretary, said the Chinese threat 'could be imminent"; and he implied any assault would lead to war with America. China sought 'hegemonic power" in Asia but America 'will not be pushed out of this critical region, and we will not let our allies and partners be subordinated and intimidated". Mr Hegseth's tough talk appears designed to deter China and reassure allies worried about President Donald Trump's 'America First" foreign policy. Yet it raises two questions. The first is whether his assessment of Chinese intentions is correct. The second is whether his tough talk and effort to rally America's friends in Asia is credible, given the Trump administration's record of erratic behaviour and contempt for its allies. The speech was the clearest declaration yet of the administration's stance on Asia. The defence secretary spoke during his first appearance at the Shangri-La Dialogue, a gathering of defence establishments in Singapore run by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a think-tank. He pointed to China's military build-up, threatening exercises around Taiwan and 'grey-zone" bullying of the Philippines. China, he said, was 'credibly preparing to potentially use military force to alter the balance of power in the Indo-Pacific". It wanted its forces to be capable of taking Taiwan by 2027, and was 'rehearsing for the real deal". Any attempt to use force or coercion to change the status quo in the 'first island chain" (which runs from Japan to Malaysia), was 'unacceptable". An invasion of Taiwan 'would result in devastating consequences for the Indo-Pacific and the world". And in a phrase that made the audience sit-up, he added: 'The threat China poses is real, and it could be imminent." Is Mr Hegseth's assessment correct? In fact a fog of uncertainty hangs over Taiwan. Last year American officials played down the importance of 2027 as a target date for the Chinese government, and suggested that the danger of invasion had receded. They cited China's shortage of amphibious landing craft and repeated anti-corruption purges in the top ranks of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) that suggest Xi Jinping, China's leader, lacks confidence in his commanders. Western defence officials say there is no intelligence indicating an imminent assault on Taiwan. They note, however, that Chinese war games have become so large and frequent that a limited attack—the takeover of outlying islands, say, or a blockade—could take place at any moment. China's defence minister, Dong Jun, stayed away from the conference. But Rear Admiral Hu Gangfeng, of the PLA's National Defence University, rejected Mr Hegseth's 'unfounded accusations" against China, suggesting they were designed to 'provoke, split and instigate confrontations" in the region. The second question is whether Mr Hegseth's warning of American intervention is credible. The urgent call to confront the threat from China is striking from an administration that says it seeks peace in a strife-torn world. Mr Trump has accused Taiwan of 'stealing" the chip industry. Even a stalwart defender of Taiwan, Elbridge Colby, the under-secretary of defence for policy, seems to have bent to isolationism, saying this year that an invasion of Taiwan would not be an 'existential" threat to America. After imposing 145% tariffs on China earlier this year Mr Trump backed down. That indicates that he would lack the stomach to impose a crippling economic embargo on China in response to any Taiwan coercion. Some Chinese delegates implied Mr Hegseth lacked authority to speak about China. A few non-Chinese delegates may have wondered about that, too. The defence secretary, a former major in the National Guard and Fox News talk-show host, has made headlines for his culture war to purge 'woke" ideology from military ranks and kindle the 'warrior ethos". Like many in the administration his attitude towards allies has been erratic. He shocked Europeans in February by dismissing much of the three-year Western effort to help Ukraine repel Russia's invasion. He said Ukraine could not regain territories it had lost to Russia, and could not join NATO. He admonished allies about low defence spending: 'President Trump will not allow anyone to turn Uncle Sam into Uncle Sucker." In Singapore he re-embraced Western and Asian allies alike, and several officials were pleasantly surprised by his willingness to listen. He adopted something akin to Mr Colby's earlier view that Taiwan must be defended through 'deterrence by denial", ie, by deploying sufficient mobile defensive weapons to make a Chinese invasion too costly. He hailed America's network of allies as an advantage that China 'envies" and a 'force multiplier" for Uncle Sam. Unexpectedly, he said European countries were models to emulate as they have rushed to raise defence spending, up from about 2% of GDP to perhaps 3.5%. Nonetheless his warming to allies in Singapore had limits. Mr Hegseth indicated Europe should stay out of the Indo-Pacific, notably the naval patrols there featuring British, French and Italian aircraft-carriers. 'We believe that N in NATO stands for North Atlantic and that our European allies should maximise their comparative advantage on the continent." That position is in tension with America's military leaders who privately welcome the European presence as raising the political cost to China of any military action. The tensions and contradictions in the Trump administration's position were highlighted by the comments of Shangri-La's other headline speaker, Emmanuel Macron. The French president called for a 'coalition of action" between European and Asian countries to promote trade, support global order and avoid 'being bullied" by America and China. In any regional war in Asia, Mr Macron admitted, Europe would offer little military help. 'The day China decides a big operation [...] will you intervene on day one? I would be very cautious." But, he added, 'everybody will be very cautious"—by implication, even America. Mr Hegseth insisted that President Trump had promised that 'Communist China will not invade Taiwan on his watch." Informed sources said he was referring to private comments by the president, omitting an important rider: that Mr Trump thinks China will take Taiwan after he has left office.


Hindustan Times
an hour ago
- Hindustan Times
China is waking up from its property nightmare
CHINA'S ECONOMY has been through a stress test in the past six months with the trade war shredding nerves. The tensions over tariffs are not over yet. On May 29th Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary, said that ongoing talks had 'stalled' and President Donald Trump complained that China 'had totally violated' the preliminary agreement to reduce duties reached between the two sides in Geneva on May 12th. Yet even as the trade war staggers on, two things are proving reassuring for China. One is that so far the economy has been resilient. Private-sector growth estimates for 2025 remain in the 4-5% range. The other is that one of China's biggest economic nightmares seems to be ending: the savage property crunch. To get a glimpse of that, consider a gated home in Shanghai's Changning district. It has an air of traditional German architecture and a large front garden, a feature of the city's most ritzy neighbourhoods. But what really stands out is the price. On May 27th the property sold for a stonking 270m yuan ($38m), creating a sensation in the Chinese press. At 500,000 yuan per square metre, it is one of the priciest home auctions in recent memory. That the wealthy are prepared to pony up such an exorbitant price is being interpreted as a sign that China's huge and interminable property crisis might finally be ending. Speculation about a turnaround has been building over dinner tables, in boardrooms and at state-planning symposia. The excitement is hardly surprising. Property, broadly defined, contributed about 25% of GDP on the eve of its crash in 2020. It now represents 15% or less, showing how the slump has been a huge drag on GDP growth. The depressive impact of falling prices on ordinary folk is hard to overstate. In 2021 80% of household wealth was tied up in real estate; that figure has fallen to 70%. Hundreds of developers have gone bust, leaving a tangle of unpaid bills. The dampening of confidence helps explain sluggish consumer demand. But while the market is still falling, for the first time since the start of the crisis, you can make a decent case that the end is in sight. In the first four months of 2025 sales of new homes by value fell by less than 3% compared with the year before. In 2024 the decline was 17%. Transactions will continue to drop only modestly for the rest of the year, reckon analysts at S&P Global, a rating agency. One of the biggest problems was that millions of flats were built but never sold. Last year as many as 80m stood dormant. Now in the 'tier-one' cities of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, that problem is easing. At the end of January the inventory held by developers in those cities would have taken around 12 and a half months to shift at current sales rates, according to CRIC, a property data service. That is down from nearly 20 months in July 2024, and not far from the average of ten months in 2016-19 across the country's 100 largest cities. In other words, the overhang is starting to look less terrifying. Shanghai's renaissance illustrates the trend. Transactions rose slightly each month from February to April compared with the year before, making it one of the few cities where prices have risen year on year for months in a row. It still has controls over who can buy properties and how many. But luxury homes are starting to be snapped up quickly, says Ms Fang, an estate agent. The prices of standard properties will probably continue to grow this year, she says, but the most expensive homes are increasing in value even faster. What explains the bottoming out of the market? Partly, just the passage of time. The average housing crash takes four years to play out, according to a study by the IMF of house-price crashes around the world between 1970 and 2003. Officials in Beijing started deflating the bubble by tightening developers' access to credit in mid-2020 and investors started to panic about the solvency of the monster developers at the end of that year. But as well as time, the government is more determined than ever to put an end to the downturn. Local governments have been encouraged to buy unused land and excess housing with proceeds from special bonds. Some are handing out subsidies for buying homes. A plan to renovate shantytowns could create demand for 1m homes. The central bank cut interest rates in May, reducing mortgage rates for new home purchases. This has boosted property sales activity, says Guo Shan of Hutong Research, a Beijing-based consulting firm. There are still dangers. The trade war is a drag on confidence. Home prices across 70 cities surveyed by the National Bureau of Statistics declined by about 2% in April from a month earlier. Sales of new homes and the starting and completion of housing projects all fell month on month. Fewer cities in April notched month-on-month price increases compared with the month before. Things are not getting much worse but they will probably not get better without more government support, says Larry Hu of Macquarie, an investment bank. In Wenzhou, a manufacturing city on China's southeastern coast, price declines are still sharp. Locals say the trade war with America is shaking confidence. Mr Zhou, a restaurant owner, says the official data do not capture huge discounts of more than 50% on some new homes in overbuilt areas. He blames a manufacturing downturn, and Mr Trump's trade war. In all probability the crisis is over in big rich cities, such as Shanghai, but may last longer in smaller cities, such as Wenzhou. New-home prices in first-tier cities will be flat this year and increase by 1% next year, according to S&P. But in third-tier cities and below they will fall by 4% this year and 2% next. Small cities are full of unwanted homes. China is escaping its property nightmare. Even so, the Communist Party must ensure it is not only big-ticket mansions in Shanghai that look appealing. Get 360° coverage—from daily headlines to 100 year archives.


Hindustan Times
an hour ago
- Hindustan Times
Delegation of Apni Party meets J&K L-G Sinha
A delegation of leaders of J&K Apni Party (JKAP) led by Mohammad Dilawar Mir, chairman, parliamentary affairs committee, on Sunday had a detailed meeting with J&K's lieutenant governor Manoj Sinha at Raj Bhawan. In the meeting several issues related to J&K were discussed, especially in the backdrop of Pahalgam attack and recent India Pakistan confrontation and Operation Sindoor. The delegation, comprising of senior leaders, highlighted various issues of public importance, including welfare of families affected due to Pak shelling, promotion of tourism sector and strengthening of disaster management mechanism. 'We discussed range of issues about political and security situation in J&K with Lt governor today,' said Rafi Ahmad Mir, chief spokesman of Apni Party. He said the delegation also discussed important matters pertaining to the smooth conduct of Muharram. Sinha, the government spokesman said, assured the delegation that appropriate action will be taken to address the issues projected by them during the interaction.