
Currencies drop, stocks mixed with tariff deadline in sight, US data eyed
IMF to update its World Economic Outlook
MSCI EM FX, stocks indexes off 0.3% each
By Purvi Agarwal and Ankita Yadav
July 29 - Most emerging market currencies fell against a stronger dollar on Tuesday while stocks were mixed as investors awaited a slate of upcoming economic data, while the U.S. tariff deadline drew closer.
MSCI's gauge tracking emerging market currencies fell 0.3% to its lowest level since late June, in a third session of declines.
The dollar index rose 0.2%, hovering near its five-week high, after surging 1% in the previous session.
Markets rewarded the greenback after the United States clinched a key trade deal with the European Union days ahead of the August 1 deadline, while talks with China continued.
Most currencies in Asia weakened against the dollar, and so did South Africa's rand, which fell 0.4% and was on track for its fourth session of losses. Turkey's lira was little changed.
Currencies in emerging Europe weakened against the euro, as optimism over trade deals faded, with investors concerned about its implication for Europe.
The Hungarian forint was down 0.8% and set for its steepest one-day decline since April 11. The government slashed its 2025 growth forecast to 1%, down from 2.5%, prolonging a recovery from a 2022 inflation surge.
Poland's zloty slipped 0.4%. Its prime minister said that U.S. tariffs on European products could cost Poland around 8 billion zlotys , per preliminary estimates.
Russia's rouble fell 1.3% against the dollar, over-the-counter market data showed, a day after Trump shortened his deadline for Russia to end its war in Ukraine or face tariffs.
Trump on Monday said that trading partners that do not negotiate separate deals would soon face tariffs between 15% to 20%, well above the previously threatened 10%.
Emerging markets have found themselves in the crosshairs of Trump's tariffs, with duties threatened on Brazil, Mexico, the BRICS group of which Brazil and South Africa are members, and many Asian countries.
"We will settle with just over 15% tariffs... while negative from a macro point of view, the world can live with these levels of tariffs," said Mohit Kumar, chief European economist at Jefferies.
"Eventually, it boils down to the data and we could see weakening in August data."
The impact of tariffs has started to show in U.S. inflation data, and investors will scrutinize economic data scheduled through the week for more such signs.
Regional stocks were broadly higher, with Poland and Romania bouncing back 1% and 0.2% respectively, while South African stocks were up 0.6%.
Still, MSCI's index tracking global EM stocks was down 0.3%, with declines in some heavyweight Asian stocks weighing.
Also due on the day is the International Monetary Fund's outlook on the global economy.
** Indonesia's FDI drops 6.95% y/y in Q2, biggest fall since 2020
** Bank of Korea board members saw more interest rate cuts necessary, minutes show
** Turkey's gross reserves rebound amid tight monetary policy
For TOP NEWS across emerging markets
For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see
For TURKISH market report, see
For RUSSIAN market report, see
This article was generated from an automated news agency feed without modifications to text.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Economic Times
20 minutes ago
- Economic Times
Technology to drive consolidation in broking and asset management: Saurabh Mukherjea
Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads , Founder,discusses his views on the AMC space, potential tariffs on India and China, and the impact of technology on broking and asset management. Mukherjea says the Reserve Bank of India's banking regulations favour incumbents. However, broking and asset management are experiencing tech-driven disruption. Zerodha and Groww exemplify this shift. Digitization allows even smaller players to thrive. Technology will drive consolidation in broking and asset management. New AMCs may use fintech to disrupt the space.I would like to say that as a shareholder in my own AMC, I have to be realistic here. Given that some really big boys are entering the AMC space with lots of capital, many billions of dollars, I have a feeling that we are going to see profit margin compression in the years ahead. This is a classic capital cycle playing out where lots of AMCs are coming up and plenty of capital is coming in. So, coming back to our portfolios, we have sold out on our stock market plays, whether it is AMC, wealth management, the infrastructure which is the stock market. So caution is a relevant part of investing and looking at the juicy valuations in that space, we have sold out on the stock market related to the wealth management, asset management related plays in our reading is much of this is negotiation and hardballing of India. The critical negotiation here as you are alluding to is the Putin-Trump negotiation. Clearly to my mind, the American president is putting pressure on Russia by punishing India for buying Russian the Putin-Trump negotiation ends up in something fruitful whether it is Ukraine, whether it is some sort of broader deal between Russia and America. Once that piece is off the table, tariffs will come down. A 20% tariff on India and 30% on China will be a decent outcome. It will give India an advantage vis-à-vis China. It will give China plus one theme a fillip. It will allow America to reduce its dependence on China. So, 20% tariff on India and 30% on China seems to be the steady state that we will end up say four-five months out once the Putin-Trump negotiations reach some logical banking, the RBI does in a way helped the incumbents by blocking new entry. So, AU Finance got the first universal bank license in 10 or 11 years. In 30 years, India has had three new universal banks. But the RBI blocks entry into banking and that in a way makes the job of the incumbents slightly easier. But in broking, in asset management, there is no such blocking of entry and the sweeping up of the broking asset management space on the back of tech disruption of asset management and broking is upon have seen the impact of firms like Zerodha, Groww. The digitisation of broking and asset management is reasonably easy to fathom and even small players like us have not built a single branch and yet we have been able to grow the business reasonably smoothly just by focusing on high net worth the tech broking, tech asset management space, the use of fintech to drive broking and asset management will be a big theme for the next decade. In any such construct, where technology is being used, the big will get bigger and better and therefore, the smaller players, especially the players who do not have technology, will fall behind. We will see consolidation in broking and asset management driven by technology and it will be very interesting to see that the newer entrants into the AMC space will be able to use fintech to disrupt the have not seen much of this interestingly in America and the broking that we saw Robinhood do in America. In a way, Robinhood's counterpart here would be a Zerodha, but in American asset management, we have not seen tech play a disruptive role in consolidating American asset management. It will be interesting to see whether the new-age Indian AMCs are able to do that. But broking seems relatively clear and I think AMCs will also consolidate on the back of fintech.


Hans India
22 minutes ago
- Hans India
US tariffs don't deter India's growth story: S&P
New Delhi: Trump tariffs will not have any impact on India's growth, as it is not a trade-oriented economy, and its sovereign ratings outlook will continue to remain positive, S&P Global Ratings Director YeeFarn Phua said on Wednesday. In May last year, S&P had upgraded the outlook on India's sovereign rating of 'BBB-' to positive, citing robust economic growth. On August 6, US President Donald Trump announced an additional 25 per cent tariff on all Indian imports, on top of an existing 25 per cent duty, taking the total to 50 per cent from August 27. The White House said the measure responds to India's continued purchase of Russian oil. Replying to a query on whether the tariff imposition poses downside risks to the positive outlook on India, YeeFarn said: 'I don't think the tariffs imposed on India will have an impact in terms of economic growth, largely because India is not a very trade-oriented economy. And if you look at India's exposure to the US in terms of exports to GDP, it is just about 2 per cent'.

Mint
22 minutes ago
- Mint
Harvard, Trump administration nearing settlement involving $500 million payment: Report
Will Harvard University regain access to federal funding? The Ivy League university and the Trump administration are reportedly getting close to an agreement that would require the university to pay $500 million to regain access to federal funding and to end investigations. Sources told the Associated Press that the framework is still being sorted out with significant gaps to close, but both sides have agreed on the financial figure and a settlement could be finalised in coming weeks. Harvard declined to comment. The agreement would end a monthslong battle that has tested the boundaries of the government's authority over America's universities. What began as an investigation into campus antisemitism escalated into an all-out feud as the Trump administration slashed more than $2.6 billion in research funding, ended federal contracts and attempted to block Harvard from hosting international students. The university responded with a pair of lawsuits alleging illegal retaliation by the administration after Harvard rejected a set of demands that campus leaders viewed as a threat to academic freedom. Details of the proposed framework were first reported by The New York Times. A $500 million payment would be the largest sum yet as the administration pushes for financial penalties in its settlements with elite universities. Columbia University agreed to pay the government $200 million as part of an agreement restoring access to federal funding, while Brown University separately agreed to pay $50 million to Rhode Island workforce development organizations. Details have not been finalized on where Harvard's potential payment would go, the person said. The Republican president has been pushing to reform prestigious universities that he decries as bastions of liberal ideology. His administration has cut funding to several Ivy League schools while pressing demands in line with his political campaign. None has been targeted as frequently or as heavily as Harvard, the richest U.S. university with an endowment valued at $53 billion. More than a dozen Democrats in Congress who attended Harvard cautioned against a settlement on Aug. 1, warning the university it may warrant 'rigorous Congressional oversight and inquiry.' Capitulating to political demands, they said, would set a dangerous precedent across all of higher education