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RBI repo rate cut by 50 bps: What fixed deposit investors should do now

RBI repo rate cut by 50 bps: What fixed deposit investors should do now

Mint2 days ago

The Reserve Bank of India has reduced the repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.5% on June 6, 2025. This marks the third consecutive cut this year. This move aims to stimulate economic growth amid easing inflation, thus bringing challenges for fixed deposit (FD) investors as banks are expected to lower FD interest rates in a response to this move.
Amit Bansal, Founder, BharatLoan, believes that, "The RBI's bold move to cut the repo rate by 50 bps to 5.5% and slash the CRR by 100 bps is a decisive step toward easing systemic liquidity. With ₹ 2.5 lakh crore expected to be released through the CRR reduction, this injection will significantly reduce the cost of funds for NBFCs like ours.'
He further added that, 'Combined with the RBI's revised FY26 inflation forecast of 3.7%, well below its 4% target, this policy signals a pro-growth shift, offering room to extend affordable credit to India's large salaried middle class, especially at a time when urban demand is rebounding and investment activity is picking up.'
With a cumulative deduction of 100 basis points in the repo rate in 2025, banks have been steadily decreasing the fixed deposit interest rates. According to SBI research fixed deposit rates have declined by 30 to 70 basis points since February 2025. Short and medium term fixed deposits are likely to witness the most serious rate cuts.
For example a 1 year fixed deposit rate dropping from 7% to 6.5% would result in ₹ 5,000 less annual interest on a ₹ 10 lakh deposit.
In a rapidly declining interest rate environment, fixed deposit investors can consider the following methods: Laddering FDs : Stagger your investments across various maturities to manage reinvestment risks and maintain proper liquidity.
: Stagger your investments across various maturities to manage reinvestment risks and maintain proper liquidity. Exploring small savings schemes : Government sponsored schemes such as Senior Citizen Scheme or National Savings Certificates often offer higher returns and are less sensitive to repo rate changes.
: Government sponsored schemes such as Senior Citizen Scheme or National Savings Certificates often offer higher returns and are less sensitive to repo rate changes. Considering short-term corporate bonds : High ranked 2-3 year corporate bonds may also assist in providing better yields compared to traditional FDs.
: High ranked 2-3 year corporate bonds may also assist in providing better yields compared to traditional FDs. Evaluating hybrid mutual funds : These funds invest in a mix of debt and equity. This has the potential to offer higher returns with moderate risk.
: These funds invest in a mix of debt and equity. This has the potential to offer higher returns with moderate risk. Monitoring inflation trends: With CPI inflation projected at 3.7% for FY26, real returns from FDs may be minimal, emphasizing the need for diversified investment strategies. Investors can also look to move towards equity mutual funds in such a scenario.
Hence, the RBI's recent rate cuts underline the importance for fixed deposit investors to reassess their investment goals and strategies. Given traditional fixed deposits provide safety, their diminishing returns in a low interest rate environment necessitate exploring alternative investment avenues.
Diversification of investments and staying informed about economic indicators can provide investors the path to navigate this challenging landscape.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Market geared for fresh upmove post RBI action
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Market geared for fresh upmove post RBI action

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RBI repo cut effect: HDFC slashes lending rates by 10 bps; new rates already in effect
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New base year for GDP, CPI, IIP from early 2026; Services survey from Jan: MoSPI Secretary
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New base year for GDP, CPI, IIP from early 2026; Services survey from Jan: MoSPI Secretary

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For IIP, 2022 -23 has been tentatively identified as the revised base. IIP on revised base would be released from 2026-27. For CPI, 2024 has been identified as the revised base year as the item basket and the weightage of the items would be decided based on the NSO's Household Consumer Expenditure Survey (HCES) conducted in 2023-24. The new CPI series is expected to be published from the first quarter of 2026. You mentioned that the item basket and the items' weightage for inflation would be decided based on HCES 2023-24. Some of the earlier statements from the Ministry had pointed out that the item basket would be based on HCES 2022-23. So, is it 2022-23 or 2023-24? Initially, the Ministry decided to use 2022-23 HCES data for deriving weights and item basket for CPI base updation. Now since data for HCES 2023-24 is released and available for use, the Ministry has decided to use the latest data that is HCES 2023-24 data for deriving weights and item basket for the new series. 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The methodology for incorporating free PDS items in CPI is under discussion in the Ministry. MOSPI will release a white paper on the methodology in the public domain after its finalisation. As part of its expansion of statistical indicators, what are the new databases being tapped by the MoSPI? What are the collaborations being done with other departments and ministries to improve the statistical indicators of MoSPI? In GDP calculation, in addition to the use of data from Controller General of Accounts, MCA-21, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), etc. as was done in the previous base revision exercise, use of GST data, E-Vahan portal, UPI transaction data from NPCI, etc. (will be done) by NSO. MoSPI has tapped the GSTN database for conducting Annual Survey of Service Sector Enterprises (ASSSE), which is new in the NSS ecosystem. For the new CPI series, MoSPI is expanding its approach by exploring alternative data sources, such as online platforms for airfare, rail fare, OTT platforms and administrative records for price data of petrol, diesel and LPG. Discussions are ongoing with IRCTC, the Ministry of Railways, and the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas for direct transfer of data for integration in CPI. The Ministry is exploring the use of scanner data and web scraping to enhance the accuracy, efficiency and comprehensiveness of price data collection. The possibility of collecting price data from e-commerce websites is also being considered. When is the next Economic Census going to be launched? What will be the changes in the statistical design for it? Approval for the conduct of the next Economic Census is awaited. Preparatory activities for the same are underway. The EC will commence as soon as the approval process is completed. This time, the Ministry intends to make EC tech-driven by making use of end-to-end digital solutions having modules for data collection through mobile devices, data supervision & monitoring, data processing & report generation and dissemination dashboard. The Ministry also brought out the forward-looking private capex survey last month. Since the response rate was low at 58.3%, a caveat was given to see the findings as indicative and representative of mainly larger enterprises. How will the survey results be expanded and refined going ahead? To improve the response rate and enhance the quality and representativeness of the Forward-Looking Private Corporate CAPEX Survey, the Ministry plans several strategic interventions: Data User Conference on CAPEX survey has been organised on May 27, 2025 in Hyderabad to sensitise researchers on the findings of the first survey. The Regional Offices of the Field Operations Division will conduct targeted awareness and outreach campaigns to improve visibility and participation among enterprises across regions. Collaborations with key industry bodies and business chambers will be undertaken to build trust, address concerns, and highlight the importance of participating in the survey. The sample size will be expanded to offset non-response bias, ensuring a more robust and statistically reliable dataset that better represents the broader private corporate sector. Field officials will be deployed to assist enterprises in filling out the survey correctly, ensuring better data quality and improving the overall response rate. Web portal will include user-friendly navigation, integrated chatbot support, FAQs, and clearer instructions to facilitate smoother self-compilation by respondents. The Ministry had earlier detailed plans to undertake Domestic Tourism Expenditure Survey, National Household Travel Survey and Health Survey. What is the status of these surveys? The survey on Health Expenditure has started from January 2025 and the field work will be conducted till December 2025. The results are expected by the end of first quarter of 2026. The surveys on Domestic Tourism Expenditure Survey and National Household Travel Survey are planned to be launched from July 2025. These are also year-long surveys and fieldwork for the same will continue upto June 2026. The Ministry is planning other surveys such as the service sector survey that is also tapping into the data from the GSTN. What do you plan to cover through that survey? When are the results expected? Service sector in India is growing rapidly and its contribution to the GDP of the country is the largest in recent years. But there is no comprehensive publicly available database of the incorporated service sector. The contribution of the incorporated service sector in GDP is captured through the analysis of the data on profit and loss accounts and balance sheets, filed by the companies, to the MCA. NSO does this exercise for all the incorporated companies that have filed data to MCA. However, MCA data does not provide any state-level information and further the data is not available in public domain. This lack of comprehensive granular data at state level for the incorporated service sector enterprises makes it difficult to assess the sector's performance at state level. Like the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) providing data for the registered manufacturing sector, Annual Survey of Service Sector Enterprises (ASSSE) aims to bridge the gap for the incorporated service sector. ASSSE plans to utilise GSTN data as a frame for the survey. A pilot study on this survey has just been carried out and findings of the same have been published in the form of Technical Report on April 30, 2025. The experiences gained during the pilot are being harnessed to launch a full-fledged survey on ASSSE, which is expected to start from January 2026. The results of the same may be expected in 2027. MoSPI has now started with a monthly bulletin for labour force indicators. What are the challenges and advantages in increasing the frequency of the dataset? As we know, policymakers need labour force indicators such as the proportion of people in the labor market, including those who are working and those who are looking for work (LFPR), percentage of population that is employed (WPR) or the percentage of population that is unemployed (UR) to track the labour market and timely policy interventions. The PLFS launched in 2017 provided quarterly estimates of the said labour force indicators for urban areas only and the overall country level labour market estimates including those of the rural areas also, were available only on the annual basis. In order to address this issue, a revamped PLFS has been launched from January 2025 which will provide monthly and quarterly PLFS estimates of labour force indicators for both rural and urban areas. This will give timely insights into the labour market, for better policy decisions. The main challenge in producing the monthly estimates from PLFS was the change in sampling strategy and increase in sample size. In the new PLFS 2025 the number of households to be surveyed is a little over 2.72 lakh, which is almost 2.6 times higher than the earlier sample size of 1.02 lakh households being covered up to December 2024. This needed more resource-mobilisation. How will the issues in the new PLFS series such as comparison with earlier numbers and higher standard error get addressed? Will there be a back series? On the issue of comparability of the estimates it needs to be appreciated that the PLFS sample design has been changed significantly though the conceptual framework covering the concepts, definitions and measurement framework for measuring employment and unemployment has remained unchanged. Hence, the estimates of PLFS can be compared over time accounting for these aspects. Regarding the precision of the estimates, as the sample size has been enhanced substantially, it is expected that the sampling error will be reduced. Since the PLFS sample design has changed, the change in design cannot be replicated in the past PLFS surveys. Hence, it will not be possible to generate a back series estimate. The new PLFS has an enhanced sample size. It also has incorporated additional questions on education, land possession and households' rent income, pension and remittances. Has the data been collected? How and when do you plan to release it? The field work of the revamped PLFS has started from January 2025. Some additional questions to collect information from the persons surveyed on years spent in formal education are collected with a view to generate estimates of Mean Years of Schooling (MYS). In addition, provision has been made to collect information at the household level on earnings from different sources like rent from land and building, pension, remittances etc. through single shot questions. These questions are essentially included to have a better explanation of the activity participation of the population as many a times persons declaring them out of labour force may be found to be having pension, remittances etc. to support them. It may be noted here that these are collected through single shot questions at the household level to keep the focus of the survey interview on employment unemployment particulars of the persons. Questions on land possession were previously collected in quinquennial employment unemployment rounds also. The data will be released as unit level data along with the PLFS Annual release. No separate tabulations on these items have been planned. What was the intent behind introducing these additional questions on education, land possession and rent, remittances etc? What is the additional picture that you hope to get from this? And are there some data collection challenges that you envisage here? The education related questions are introduced to collect information on years spent in formal education. This will then be used to generate estimates of Mean Years of Schooling (MYS). The indicator MYS is an important indicator to assess the quality of the human capital and is used in computation of several global indices. The questions on pension, rent, remittances etc. have been introduced to collect information at the household level on earning from different sources like rent from land and building, pension, remittances etc. These questions are essentially included to have a better explanation of the activity participation of the population as many times persons may be found to be having pension, remittances etc. to support them. However, it is worthwhile to mention that these questions are not incorporated to generate household level income estimates as the same require a detailed focused enquiry. Regarding challenges, some difficulties were faced by the surveyors while collecting information on household earning through interest in savings and investment only. No other difficulty has been faced in collecting information with respect to the new additional items included in PLFS schedule till date. Aanchal Magazine is Senior Assistant Editor with The Indian Express and reports on the macro economy and fiscal policy, with a special focus on economic science, labour trends, taxation and revenue metrics. With over 13 years of newsroom experience, she has also reported in detail on macroeconomic data such as trends and policy actions related to inflation, GDP growth and fiscal arithmetic. Interested in the history of her homeland, Kashmir, she likes to read about its culture and tradition in her spare time, along with trying to map the journeys of displacement from there. ... Read More

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