Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Dollar General Stock?
The discount retailer has underperformed the broader market over the past year, but significantly outperformed in 2025. DG stock has dipped 2.1% over the past 52 weeks and soared 51.5% on a YTD basis, compared to the S&P 500 Index's ($SPX) 20.6% surge over the past year and 9.6% returns in 2025.
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Narrowing the focus, DG has also lagged behind the sector-focused Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLP) 4.9% uptick over the past 52 weeks but outpaced XLP's 5.1% gains on a YTD basis.
Dollar General's stock prices shot up 15.9% in a single trading session following the release of its Q1 results on Jun. 3. The company's focus on execution and enhancement of customer experience led to notable same-store sales growth. Overall, its net sales for the quarter came in at $10.4 billion, up a notable 5.3% year-over-year and exceeding the Street expectations by 1.5%. Further, the company experienced a slight improvement in margins, leading to a 7.9% year-over-year growth in EPS to $1.78, surpassing the consensus estimates by a staggering 21.1%.
For the full fiscal 2025, ending in Jan. 2026, analysts expect Dollar General to report an EPS of $5.77, down 2.5% year-over-year. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history. While it surpassed the Street's bottom-line estimates twice over the past four quarters, it missed the estimates on two other occasions.
The stock has a consensus 'Moderate Buy' rating overall. Of the 28 analysts covering the stock, opinions include 10 'Strong Buys,' one 'Moderate Buy,' and 17 'Holds.'
This configuration is slightly less optimistic than two months ago, when 11 analysts gave 'Strong Buy' recommendations.
On Aug. 12, Evercore ISI Group analyst Michael Montani reiterated an 'In-Line' rating on DG and raised the price target from $118 to $120.
As of writing, DG's mean price target of $116.53 represents a modest 1.2% upside potential. Meanwhile, the street-high target of $135 suggests a notable 17.2% premium to current price levels.
On the date of publication, Aditya Sarawgi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
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