
Austin Mayor Kirk Watson on budget deficit and Trump cuts
Austin Mayor Kirk Watson has fulfilled many campaign pledges, but he now faces major uncertainties, including a ballooning budget deficit and an unpredictable federal partner in the Trump administration.
Why it matters: Grand plans — such as tree-laden bridges over a remade Interstate 35 and major expansions of the airport — could be in jeopardy.
State of play: Watson, who previously served as mayor in the 1990s and then as a Democrat in the Texas Senate, was reelected to a second consecutive term as mayor last fall.
During his second stint in City Hall, he has made government operate more efficiently, hammered out public safety labor contracts and marshaled a major easing of city home construction rules.
Yes, but: In early April, the Trump administration canceled a $50 million grant meant to reduce flooding risks for Austinites.
That came on the heels of a cancellation of money for electric vehicle chargers.
Plus: Less-than-expected sales tax revenue has driven a projected $33 million budget deficit that city officials will have to close, either by slashing city services or by raising more money, either through fees or taxes.
A 2019 state law caps property tax revenue and the Travis Central Appraisal District has reported that home values are down.
The big picture: Under Watson's watch, Austin appears to be functioning as well as ever.
The city's Development Services Department, long known for causing headaches among developers and homeowners, has cut its initial review time from more than 100 days to 33, per city data.
911 calls are getting picked up faster — from 77% within 15 seconds a few years ago to now at least 90% (though emergency response times in a city clogged with construction remain stubbornly hard to cut).
Even City Council meetings, once notoriously long (9.5 hours, on average, a decade ago), are moving relatively swiftly (typically under 6 hours in the second Watson administration).
Zoom out: The city has invested in housing for people exiting homelessness, and animosity between police and City Hall has ebbed, even as the relationship remains chary.
We sat down with Watson to talk about the state of play. This interview is edited for brevity and clarity.
What, if anything, should Austinites expect about what might happen with city services or fees as a consequence of this deficit?
"We're in that point in the movie where everybody that's in the raft is hearing a loud noise, and they act like, 'Is there something coming up now?' and the people watching the movie, we all know there's a waterfall coming. We anticipated that this is where we're going to be.
It would be premature to start speculating about what might happen with this or what might happen with that. We'll be looking at everything."
How concerned are you about federal commitments, for the city's big public transportation project, for the airport expansion, for I-35 efforts?
"There's a whole lot on the table that can create uncertainty and concern. "
"The way we were thinking about it is if the (grant) was signed, we're assuming it's still coming through ... but that's no longer the case."
Does the deficit and the Trump administration somewhat capriciously cutting big blocks of money jeopardize some of your efficiency agenda?
"It is now just the context in which we govern."
We're getting to the home stretch in the legislative session. What's out there that gives you most concern?
"On Project Connect (the city's multibillion dollar light rail and bus plan), I remain concerned about the Legislature stepping in the way (of) the voters will on that.
I also am concerned about (the punitive effect of) bills that mandate certain actions on the part of a city that — for example, encampment cleanups — if the cities don't do things a certain way, they'll stop sales tax revenue. Those sorts of bills don't take into account the practical impact ... that (if) you take away sales tax, that can have an impact on public safety" which makes up much of the city budget."
You must feel like you have a little more control with what's going on at the Capitol than what's going on in Washington.
"I certainly feel more comfortable because I know more of the people I'm dealing with at the Capitol, I have more relationships. I have a far better ability to just walk up the street and talk to somebody or get somebody on the phone. And I've been very pleased this session with the openness of members to talk to me about bills, and even bills that we don't like.
Whereas with the $50 million grant, it just disappeared. There's nobody who chats with you beforehand."
Individuals and institutions are being tested in this political climate, whether it's a university or a law firm. Is that something the city of Austin is prepared for?
"I don't think anybody has figured out who's going to be tested and how they're going to be tested. My rules are, one, focus on what I can control — make sure local government is stable as we focus on the fundamentals of governance. The second is, do no harm."
What's an example of what you mean about that?
" Immigration. We have almost no power in that, except the power to make it worse. I'm not going to take actions that ... end up doing more harm to the very people we say we're trying to protect."
What are you enjoying most about your job and what right now is giving you the most heartburn?
"The thing I enjoy the most about the job is that you can have such an immediate impact. And the part that frustrates me is probably the flip side of that coin, that sometimes it moves more slowly than I would like to get that immediate impact."
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Business Upturn
33 minutes ago
- Business Upturn
Alembic Pharma shares dip over 2% after USFDA issues 4 observations for Panelav facility
By Aman Shukla Published on June 2, 2025, 10:25 IST Shares of Alembic Pharmaceuticals fell over 2% on Monday following news that the United States Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) issued four observations after inspecting the company's API-I & II facility at Panelav, Gujarat. As of 10:22 AM, the shares were trading 1.88% lower at Rs 998.90. The unannounced, routine cGMP (current Good Manufacturing Practices) inspection was conducted between May 26 and May 31, 2025. At the conclusion of the inspection, the USFDA issued a Form 483 outlining four observations. Importantly, Alembic confirmed that none of the observations relate to data integrity — a key concern for regulators and investors. The company stated that it will submit a comprehensive response to the USFDA within the required timeframe. Management emphasized that the issues raised are 'addressable' and reiterated its commitment to maintaining high standards of quality and regulatory compliance. Disclaimer: The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Author or Business Upturn is not liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Aman Shukla is a post-graduate in mass communication . A media enthusiast who has a strong hold on communication ,content writing and copy writing. Aman is currently working as journalist at
Yahoo
36 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Symrise AG (ETR:SY1)
Symrise's estimated fair value is €111 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Symrise's €105 share price indicates it is trading at similar levels as its fair value estimate The €115 analyst price target for SY1 is 4.0% more than our estimate of fair value Does the June share price for Symrise AG (ETR:SY1) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate the stock's intrinsic value by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. We will take advantage of the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model for this purpose. Believe it or not, it's not too difficult to follow, as you'll see from our example! Companies can be valued in a lot of ways, so we would point out that a DCF is not perfect for every situation. If you want to learn more about discounted cash flow, the rationale behind this calculation can be read in detail in the Simply Wall St analysis model. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second 'steady growth' period. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today's value: 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Levered FCF (€, Millions) €546.9m €577.2m €625.7m €700.5m €710.0m €718.9m €727.9m €737.1m €746.4m €755.8m Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x6 Analyst x7 Analyst x6 Analyst x2 Analyst x1 Est @ 1.25% Est @ 1.26% Est @ 1.26% Est @ 1.26% Est @ 1.26% Present Value (€, Millions) Discounted @ 5.5% €518 €518 €532 €565 €542 €520 €499 €479 €459 €441 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = €5.1b We now need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all the future cash flows after this ten year period. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (1.3%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 5.5%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2034 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = €756m× (1 + 1.3%) ÷ (5.5%– 1.3%) = €18b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= €18b÷ ( 1 + 5.5%)10= €10b The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is €16b. To get the intrinsic value per share, we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding. Relative to the current share price of €105, the company appears about fair value at a 5.4% discount to where the stock price trades currently. Remember though, that this is just an approximate valuation, and like any complex formula - garbage in, garbage out. We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. You don't have to agree with these inputs, I recommend redoing the calculations yourself and playing with them. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Symrise as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 5.5%, which is based on a levered beta of 0.987. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. View our latest analysis for Symrise Strength Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry. Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows. Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows. Weakness Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Chemicals market. Opportunity Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years. Current share price is below our estimate of fair value. Threat Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the German market. Valuation is only one side of the coin in terms of building your investment thesis, and it ideally won't be the sole piece of analysis you scrutinize for a company. It's not possible to obtain a foolproof valuation with a DCF model. Instead the best use for a DCF model is to test certain assumptions and theories to see if they would lead to the company being undervalued or overvalued. If a company grows at a different rate, or if its cost of equity or risk free rate changes sharply, the output can look very different. For Symrise, there are three further elements you should further examine: Risks: To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Symrise . Future Earnings: How does SY1's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart. Other Solid Businesses: Low debt, high returns on equity and good past performance are fundamental to a strong business. Why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals to see if there are other companies you may not have considered! PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every German stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
37 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Morning Bid: Tariff plot twists lose their bite
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. Is this the dog that didn't bark? That would be the question from Sherlock Holmes fans given the utter lack of market reaction to U.S. President Donald Trump's threatened doubling of steel and aluminium tariffs to 50%. That policy shift by tweet came late Friday after markets shut, so there was some anticipation of an impact today, maybe a drop in the Canadian dollar given the scale of their steel exports to the U.S. Yet the loonie is actually firmer against a broadly softer greenback, while European share futures are off a shade and Wall St futures only modestly lower. This could be the TACO meme in action as investors assume 'Trump always chickens out', though he's leaving it late with the new higher tariff supposed to go into effect on Wednesday. Then again, last minute cliffhangers work well on reality TV. European Union negotiators weren't pleased with this latest plot twist and threatened retaliation in return, while also letting it be known that the court case decision against the April 2 tariffs gave them added "leverage". Neither does Trump's latest rhetorical attack on China seem to be working, with Beijing sticking to its guns. If Trump is counting on a call from China's President Xi Jinping to sort things out, he might be waiting by the phone for a while. It was also somewhat ironic hearing Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent complaining that China was holding back vital products from the United States, given it was the U.S. that started a trade war with the specific aim of rebuffing Chinese imports. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller speaking in South Korea said tariffs meant there were downside risks to activity and unemployment, and upside risks to inflation. Yet he was still optimistic about the chance of "good news" interest rate cuts later this year, cementing his place as one of the more dovish Fed officials. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak later Monday, though limited to opening remarks to an international finance conference. Key developments that could influence markets on Monday: * UK house prices, European PMIs, U.S. ISM factory survey * Fed Chair Powell gives opening remarks at the FederalReserve Board's International Finance Division 75th AnniversaryConference, while Chicago Fed Goolsbee and Dallas Fed Loganappear in Q&A's (By Wayne Cole; Editing by Christopher Cushing)