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I joined a class-action lawsuit and was surprisingly awarded $28,000. It didn't change my life, but it changed my mindset.

I joined a class-action lawsuit and was surprisingly awarded $28,000. It didn't change my life, but it changed my mindset.

I couldn't believe my eyes. Was this an optical illusion, or was $20,000 actually sitting in my bank account?
I called my boyfriend over. "Andy, am I reading this correctly?" I said, pointing to the computer screen.
He leaned in, adjusted his reading glasses, and smiled big. He told me it looked legit.
Afraid the money might vanish once I stopped looking, I pried my eyes away and forced myself to read the entire email. Yes, it was true: an astonishing $20,000 was sitting in my PayPal account. It was my share of a DoubleDown Casino class-action lawsuit.
I suddenly remembered filling out a settlement form, but I didn't put much hope behind it. Normally, when I've received settlement money, it's been for less than $50 — enough for lunch — but this was a substantial amount.
I was owed money from a virtual gambling site
DoubleDown Casino is a "free-to-play" site with virtual slot machines, bingo, and table games. Players use chips, not money, but when they run out, they can buy more. That's where people, myself included, can get into trouble. I didn't think paying the occasional $2.99 to keep playing was a big deal — there were worse and more expensive ways to stay entertained. Although I never gambled with money I couldn't afford to lose, I've made impulsive chip purchases I regretted.
The lawsuit was over two virtual slot machines that never paid out. I always sign up for class-action settlements — from phone companies and streaming services to faulty CPAP machines — you name it. Usually, I get just enough to cover the cost of a coffee or lunch for one. So when I saw the lawsuit for the slot machines, I signed up.
Before the DoubleDown settlement arrived, I assumed it would be another "better than nothing" moment. But that wasn't the case.
Later that same day, another deposit arrived: $8,061.29. The settlement divided $415 million among the class members, with payouts based not only on what players had spent, but also on what they might spend over their lifetime.
The settlement team had calculated that I might spend nearly $29,000 on unnecessary chip purchases over my lifetime. That was quite the realization for me. Was I really going to spend nearly $30,000 on an online gambling site? It was a wake-up call.
I learned my lesson and decided not to waste the money
Realizing how those occasional chip purchases added up over time, I became more mindful about my spending. I didn't want to just spend my money freely anymore, especially on online gambling sites.
Of course, the temptation to splurge was strong, but I tried to make more thoughtful choices with the settlement money than I had in the past.
On Reddit, people debated whether the money would be taxed, but I put aside $12,000 for future income taxes anyway.
The rest of the money wasn't enough to solve all my problems, but it allowed me to make overdue home repairs, pay off creditors, and rebuild my credit. I could afford to get a dental implant and — most excitingly — buy new dining chairs. I'm sitting on one of the new chairs now, and it's calming to feel a solid foundation under me instead of worrying I'll tumble to the floor at any moment.
Thanks to the lessons of this settlement, I now have excellent credit, pay my bills on time, and have credit cards again — but I'm careful with them, no longer gambling with my financial future.
I'm grateful for the $28,000 settlement, which helped me financially and taught me the value of not wasting my money.
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There's a new 1099-K threshold: What you should know if you get paid via Venmo, Cash App or PayPal

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Go read the articles and find out for yourself. Heck, read my articles before my red pill moment, which occurred around April of this year. As far as I'm aware, the only objective truth in the equities sector is that, at the end of the day, the market is either a net buyer or a net seller. It's kinesis or stasis, one or the other. Yes, this may seem like an obvious point but with this framework, we can now much more easily observe recurring patterns and their forward probabilities. For example, in the past 10 weeks, the market voted to buy BP stock four times and sell six times. Despite distributive sessions outweighing accumulative, the overall trajectory of BP was upward. For brevity, we can label this sequence 4-6-U. Now, we all understand that the probability of upside under all conditinos is not a fixed percentage. Have you seen baseball or any team sports in general? Then you know that certain players (the great ones) rise to the occasion. I want to know when BP is in clutch mode and when it's not. To do this, I need to create a decision-tree logic across 10-week intervals (in this case, going back to January 2019): L10 Category Sample Size Up Probability Baseline Probability Median Return if Up 1-9-D 8 37.50% 44.77% 1.73% 2-8-D 24 41.67% 44.77% 4.65% 3-7-D 39 56.41% 44.77% 1.37% 3-7-U 4 50.00% 44.77% 7.70% 4-6-D 63 36.51% 44.77% 2.38% 4-6-U 29 62.07% 44.77% 1.79% 5-5-D 24 33.33% 44.77% 2.12% 5-5-U 54 48.15% 44.77% 2.86% 6-4-D 7 42.86% 44.77% 2.72% 6-4-U 50 44.00% 44.77% 2.11% 7-3-U 14 14.29% 44.77% 3.15% From the table above, the chance that a long position in BP stock will rise is only 44.77%, a negative bias. This is effectively our null hypothesis, the assumption of no mispricing. In contrast, our alternative hypothesis is that because the 4-6-U sequence is flashing, the upside probability for the following week is actually 62.07%. Therefore, an incentive exists to consider a debit-based options strategy. Assuming the positive pathway, the median return is 1.79%. If so, that would imply that BP stock may poke its head above the $33 level quickly. Putting the Math to Good Work Based on the market intelligence above, a sensible idea is to consider the 32/33 bull call spread expiring Sep. 19. This transaction involves buying the $32 call and simultaneously selling the $33 call, for a net debit paid of $54 (the most that can be lost in the trade). Should BP stock rise through the short strike price ($33) at expiration, the maximum profit is $46, a payout of over 85%. However, the most aggressive traders may consider the 32/34 bull spread also expiring on Sept. 19. This trade calls for a net debit of $86, which is pricier than the 32/33 spread. However, the max payout stands at roughly 133%, which is a very tempting proposition. The breakeven for this trade is $32.86, which as mentioned earlier is a realistic target. I mentioned in the title that BP stock passed the quantitative sniff test and that's not clickbait. Running a one-tailed binomial test on the 4-6-U sequence reveals a p-value of 0.0478. This means that there's a 4.78% chance that the implications of the sequence could materialize randomly as opposed to intentionally. Scientists will scoff at this ratio and state that it barely falls under the threshold of statistical significance of 5%. Yet in the context of an open, entropic system like the stock market, this is an awfully compelling signal. No, it doesn't guarantee a positive outcome. However, the usage of Markovian principles helps to rationalize your wagers rather than depending on empirically unanchored opinions and vibes. On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on

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