Latest news with #CaboVerdeIslands
Yahoo
2 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Erin forecasted to become a hurricane. What's it track? Will it impact MA?
Tropical Storm Erin is expected to intensify into the first major hurricane of the season, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm formed near the Cabo Verde Islands over the weekend and has strengthened. 'Erin will enter an area with conducive atmospheric conditions that will allow it to quickly strengthen north of the Lesser Antilles," AccuWeather lead hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said in a press release. 'Water temperatures across much of the Atlantic main development region are plenty warm to support tropical development and even rapid intensification." Here's what to know about the track of Tropical Storm Erin. Where is Tropical Storm Erin? Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. NOAA hurricane tracker: See spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Erin Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. ➤ Track Tropical Storm Erin Who is likely to be impacted by Tropical Storm Erin? It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to Massachusetts, the rest of New England or the U.S. from Tropical Storm Erin. The track will be determined by "positioning of the Bermuda high and the strength of a cold front pushing off the East Coast." according to AccuWeather. The storm could be turned out to sea or set a track for the track depending on conditions. 'If the trough is stronger and faster, it will help steer Erin away from the East Coast and out to sea," DaSilva said. "This is the scenario we typically see with recurving storms. If the trough is slower, the storm will be able to advance farther westward toward the coast of the Carolinas." Regardless, the chance of New England seeing any of the effects of the storm are "low," according to those visiting beaches along the East Coast later this week and through the weekend should be vigilant of rough surf, learn the warning signs of rip currents, and only swim in areas with lifeguards on duty, AccuWeather stressed in a release. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) explained that "rip currents are powerful, narrow channels of fast-moving water... Moving at speeds of up to eight feet per second, rip currents can move faster than an Olympic swimmer." If you encounter a rip current, swim parallel to the shore and then back at an angle, according to NOAA. What tropical waves, disturbances are in Atlantic basin now? Northwestern Atlantic: A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada, is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity to the west of its center. Somelimited tropical or subtropical development is possible over the next day or so as the low meanders near the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream. The system is expected to move northward over cooler waters by Wednesday, ending its chances for tropical development. Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10 percent. Formation chance through seven days: low, 10 percent. Northeastern Gulf: A surface trough near the coast of Louisiana is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While development of this system is not anticipated before it moves inland latertoday, locally heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding across portions of the northern Gulf coast over the next day or so. Formation chance through 48 hours: near 0 percent. Formation chance through seven days: near 0 percent. What's the hurricane outlook for the 2025 season? The AccuWeather 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast is predicting 13-18 named storms, including 7-10 hurricanes, adding "Three to six direct U.S. impacts are forecast, the same range as last year's catastrophic season with six landfalls." The report noted that the climatological peak of hurricane season begins Sept. 10. What is the NOAA forecast on hurricanes in 2025? NOAA is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms. Of those, 6 to 10 are forecast to become hurricanes, including 3 to 5 major hurricanes. Cheryl McCloud contributed to this report. This article originally appeared on Cape Cod Times: Tropical Storm Erin expected to become hurricane. Will it impact MA?
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Erin expected to strengthen soon, become hurricane. See latest spaghetti models
Tropical Storm Erin continues to move quickly west, and is expected to become the first hurricane of the Atlantic season this week, according to the National Hurricane Center. Strengthening is expected to begin soon, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters are predicting Erin will become a major hurricane toward the end of the week or over the weekend. A major hurricane is one that's a Category 3 or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Even as a tropical rainstorm, Erin dumped 7 to 8 inches of rain on the Cabo Verde Islands off the coast of Africa, killing at least six people, according to AccuWeather. The National Hurricane Center said it is still too early to determine "what impacts, if any, Erin will bring" to Florida or the east coast of the United States. Officials are encouraging residents to monitor the storm closely and to make sure they're prepared. Where is Tropical Storm Erin and where is it going? Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. ➤ Track Tropical Storm Erin ➤ How often has Florida been impacted, threatened by August hurricanes? We took a look back Track all active Atlantic storms and disturbances What should you do now to prepare for hurricane season? Officials regularly encourage Florida residents to prepare for storms before a hurricane is approaching while shelves are full stocked and you aren't battling crowds all rushing to the store at the same time. "It only takes one storm to make it an impactful year for your community," the National Hurricane Center Miami posted on X. "Hurricane season is a marathon, not a sprint." On Aug. 1, specific hurricane supplies became permanently tax free in Florida, ranging from batteries to generators. ➤ See list of emergency supplies you can now buy tax free Florida weather radar for Aug. 12, 2025 Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida When is the Atlantic hurricane season? The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. When is the peak of hurricane season? The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Hurricane names for 2025 season Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea (June 20) Barry (June 29) Chantal (July 5) Dexter (Aug. 3) Erin: AIR-rin (Aug. 11) Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Naples Daily News: Tropical Storm Erin: Hurricane tracker, spaghetti models, Florida impact?
Daily Mail
3 days ago
- Climate
- Daily Mail
Storm Erin forms in Atlantic as models show possible Category 3 hurricane with path to US
Tropical Storm Erin formed in the Atlantic Ocean on Monday as meteorologists warned it could develop into a major hurricane this week. AccuWeather meteorologists are tracking the storm west of the Cabo Verde Islands, saying it could become a hurricane by August 14 and intensify to a Category 3 by August 16. Spaghetti models showed it curving northward along the US East Coast, with the potential for landfall or a close approach. A spaghetti model forecasts possible paths a tropical storm or hurricane might take, based on predictions from multiple weather computer programs. Senior meteorologist Chad Merrill said: 'The upper-air pattern late this week favors it turning north and likely staying east of the US East Coast.' 'However, rough surf and rip currents could increase along East Coast beaches next weekend into early the following week.' A large plume of dust and dry air lies ahead of Erin, but as long as the storm stays within its current moist, dust-free area, it will continue to organize and strengthen. 'There will be a significant increase in seas, surf and rip currents along the East coast beaches next weekend into the following week,' Merrill said. Dangerous conditions may develop in Bermuda and parts of the Bahamas as well. This is a developing story... More updates to come. The system formed as a tropical rainstorm off the coast of Africa over the weekend, moving west toward the US. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Monday morning gave it a 90 percent chance of cyclone formation over the next seven days, but predicted it would become a tropical storm today.
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Erin tracker: forecast to strengthen into first Atlantic hurricane of 2025 by this weekend
As of Monday afternoon, there are no watches or warnings in effect. Tropical Storm Erin could become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, and a major one at that, according to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. Erin formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean on Monday and is projected to move West. During the course of this week, it's expected to strengthen. As of Monday, it didn't pose an immediate threat to the U.S. Where is Tropical Storm Erin, and what is its path? As of 11 a.m. ET Monday: Erin was located 280 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. The storm was moving west at 20 mph and is expected to continue over the next several days. What are the chances it will intensify? The NHC's intensity forecast for Tropical Storm Erin is 'a little tricky' in the short term, with slow intensification through Wed, Aug. 13, the agency said in a Monday forecast discussion. Then the rate of intensity 'will likely increase,' and by Sat., Aug. 16, Tropical Storm Erin could become a 'major hurricane,' with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when maximum sustained winds reach at least 74 mph. Hurricanes are rated on a scale ranging from Category 1 to Category 5, with five being the most severe. A storm is considered a major hurricane when it reaches Category 3 strength, with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. According to the Tropical Storm Erin forecast, maximum sustained winds of 115 mph mean it would be considered a Category 3 major hurricane, according to the NHC. Watches and warnings in place As of 11 a.m. ET Monday, there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. How is hurricane season shaping up? The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and runs through the end of November, has a 50% chance of being above-normal. Last week, forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration slightly updated the number of expected named storms to between 13 and 18 (previously 13 to 19 in May), two to five of which could become major hurricanes (with winds of more than 111 mph). A typical hurricane season averages 14 named storms. We're currently about halfway through this year's hurricane season, and there have been five so far: Tropical Storms Andrea, Barry and Chantal, Dexter and Erin.
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Erin tracker: Forecast to strengthen into 1st Atlantic hurricane of 2025 by this weekend
As of Monday afternoon, there are no watches or warnings in effect. Tropical Storm Erin could become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, and a major one at that, according to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. Erin formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean on Monday and is projected to move west. During the course of this week, it's expected to strengthen. As of Monday, it didn't pose an immediate threat to the U.S. Where is Tropical Storm Erin, and what is its path? As of 11 a.m. ET Monday: Erin was located 280 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. The storm was moving west at 20 mph and is expected to continue over the next several days. What are the chances it will intensify? The NHC's intensity forecast for Tropical Storm Erin is 'a little tricky' in the short term, with slow intensification through Wednesday, Aug. 13, the agency said in a Monday forecast discussion. Then the rate of intensity 'will likely increase,' and by Saturday, Aug. 16, Tropical Storm Erin could become a 'major hurricane,' with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when maximum sustained winds reach at least 74 mph. Hurricanes are rated on a scale ranging from Category 1 to Category 5, with 5 being the most severe. A storm is considered a major hurricane when it reaches Category 3 strength, with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. According to the Tropical Storm Erin forecast, maximum sustained winds of 115 mph mean it would be considered a Category 3 major hurricane, according to the NHC. Watches and warnings in place As of 11 a.m. ET Monday, there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. How is hurricane season shaping up? The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and runs through the end of November, has a 50% chance of being above normal. Last week, forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration slightly updated the number of expected named storms to between 13 and 18 (previously 13 to 19 in May), two to five of which could become major hurricanes (with winds of more than 111 mph). A typical hurricane season averages 14 named storms. We're currently about halfway through this year's hurricane season, and there have been five so far: Tropical Storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter and Erin.
