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USA Today
4 days ago
- Sport
- USA Today
Popular analytics model projects Colorado football win total for 2025 season
In just a few days, we will be into August, which means the 2025 season is right around the corner. As we prepare for the 2025 season, power ratings and projection models take center stage. We have gone in-depth with ESPN's SP+ and FPI, but there are also other projection models worth mentioning. One of those is analytics guru Parker Fleming (@statsowar on X), who recently released his model's projected win totals for every Football Bowl Subdivision team. Colorado's projected win total, according to the model, is 6.1, which aligns with most predictions, as well as our own. The Buffaloes' win mark sits at No. 11 in the Big 12 behind Arizona State (8.5), Kansas State (8.3), Utah (7.7), Baylor (7.5), Iowa State (7.4), Kansas (6.9), BYU (6.9), Cincinnati (6.6), Houston (6.6) and TCU (6.3). Colorado faces seven of those teams listed above, showing the difficulty of their 2025 schedule. ESPN's FPI projected the Buffs to win 6.5, aligning closely with Fleming's model. Our Buffaloes Wire record prediction had Colorado going 6-6, with wins over Georgia Tech, Delaware, Houston, Wyoming, Iowa State and Arizona, and losses to BYU, TCU, Utah, West Virginia, Arizona State, and Kansas State. Colorado appears to have six solid win opportunities on their schedule, making bowl eligibility seem like the floor for 2025. However, the abundance of top-flight opponents makes winning 7-9 games a challenging task. Deion Sanders and the Buffs begin their 2025 season at home against Georgia Tech on August 29. Follow Charlie Strella on X, Threads and Instagram. Contact/Follow us @BuffaloesWire on X (formerly Twitter) and like our page on Facebook for ongoing coverage of Colorado news, notes and opinions.


USA Today
22-07-2025
- Sport
- USA Today
Popular analytics guru projects Michigan State football win total for 2025 season
One of the most knowledgeable college football analytics guys on social media has released his preseason win total projections, and it's right about on par with many others for the Spartans. Parker Fleming -- better known by the handle of @statsowar on social media platform X -- published his preseason average wins total for the upcoming season on Monday. And for Michigan State, the number is right above the betting win total found at most sportsbooks. Fleming ran his simulation model 10,000 times and it produced an average win total for the Spartans of 5.7 -- which is essentially right on the cut line to reach bowl eligibility. This should come as no surprise, as Michigan State's win total over/under betting line is 5.5 -- so essentially the same number as Fleming's output. Among Big Ten teams, the Spartans came in at No. 13 in highest average number of wins in Fleming's model. That is also right on par with where the Big Ten media picked the Spartans to finish in the annual preseason poll released by on Monday. Check out Fleming's complete average win total projections in the graphic below: Contact/Follow us @The SpartansWire on X (formerly Twitter) and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Michigan State news, notes and opinion. You can also follow Robert Bondy on X @RobertBondy5.