
Popular analytics guru projects Michigan State football win total for 2025 season
Parker Fleming -- better known by the handle of @statsowar on social media platform X -- published his preseason average wins total for the upcoming season on Monday. And for Michigan State, the number is right above the betting win total found at most sportsbooks.
Fleming ran his simulation model 10,000 times and it produced an average win total for the Spartans of 5.7 -- which is essentially right on the cut line to reach bowl eligibility. This should come as no surprise, as Michigan State's win total over/under betting line is 5.5 -- so essentially the same number as Fleming's output.
Among Big Ten teams, the Spartans came in at No. 13 in highest average number of wins in Fleming's model. That is also right on par with where the Big Ten media picked the Spartans to finish in the annual preseason poll released by Cleveland.com on Monday.
Check out Fleming's complete average win total projections in the graphic below:
Contact/Follow us @The SpartansWire on X (formerly Twitter) and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Michigan State news, notes and opinion. You can also follow Robert Bondy on X @RobertBondy5.

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