Latest news with #easternAtlantic
Yahoo
2 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center eyes two potential storms, in addition to Hurricane Erin
As if on cue, storm activity is increasing in the Atlantic Ocean as the 2025 hurricane season reaches the time of year when peak activity traditionally begins. In addition to major Hurricane Erin, the National Hurricane Center is watching a potential tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic. A westward-moving tropical wave could produce an area of low pressure in the tropical Atlantic late in the week of Aug. 18, the hurricane center said on Aug. 16. The center shows a 20% chance of storm formation over the next week. If the wave becomes the next named tropical storm, it would receive the name Fernand. Yes, that's right, Fernand. A long-term outlook from the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration also shows the potential for storm formation increasing between the eastern Caribbean and the African coast. It lists the chances of storm formation in the central tropical Atlantic at greater than 40% during the seven-day period beginning on Aug. 20. The peak period of the annual six-month hurricane season in the Atlantic traditionally begins in mid-August and continues through late October. Outlooks for the 2025 season have called for busier-than-normal activity, including recent updates from NOAA and Colorado State University. Hurricane Erin, which formed on Aug. 15, quickly exploded into a Category 5 storm with sustained minimum winds of 160 mph on Aug. 16 as it moved westward north of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico. Erin is the fifth-named storm of the season Another potential disturbance is shown a couple of hundred miles east of the North Carolina coast, but the hurricane center reports only a 10% chance of development before it moves into an unfavorable environment on Monday, Aug. 18. Dinah Voyles Pulver covers climate change and the environment for USA TODAY. She's written about hurricanes, tornadoes and violent weather for more than 30 years. Reach her at dpulver@ or @dinahvp on Bluesky or X or dinahvp.77 on Signal. This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: National Hurricane Center eyes 2 possible storms beyond Hurricane Erin
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Erin becomes fifth named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
The National Hurricane Center has its hands full as it tracks a number of disturbances in the Atlantic, including one that could become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Invest 97L strengthened into Tropical Storm Erin around 9:45 a.m. CT, just west of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern tropical Atlantic, less than a day after AccuWeather started to refer to it as a tropical rainstorm. AccuWeather believes that Erin could become Hurricane Erin by the end of the week. If so, Erin would become the first hurricane of the season in the Atlantic. The NHC is watching another disturbance, dubbed Invest 96L, in the Central Atlantic, which it characterizes as a 'weak trough of low pressure.' The system isn't expected to see significant development, however. Finally, the third area of interest is a non-tropical area of low pressure currently located a few hundred miles to the south-southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada. This disturbance is also unlikely to see much development, according to NHC. Quick facts you should know about Tropical Storm Erin Strength: Maximum sustained winds measured at 45 mph; minimum central pressure measured at 1004 MB, 29.65 inches. Location: 280 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, 2,305 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands Movement: Tropical Storm Erin is expected to continue moving west-northwest at 15-20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. What are the chances that Tropical Storm Erin becomes a hurricane? AccuWeather forecasters believe that it's likely we will see Hurricane Erin later this week, but there are a few obstacles it must contend with. "Several factors are working in its favor, including lack of dust, warm water and a lack of disruptive breezes (wind shear)," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill." AccuWeather says that there is a large plume of dust and dry air ahead of Erin, but that the storm's current environment is conducive to further organization and strengthening. Where will Tropical Storm Erin's path take it next? Tropical Storm Erin will continue to move westward over the Atlantic throughout the week. AccuWeather's current timeline shows that Erin will start to hook north on Friday. The storm will gradually shift from a west-northwest motion to a north-northwest path into Monday, where it should be just southwest of Bermuda. Will Tropical Storm Erin impact Florida? Under its current track, Florida's eastern coast could see some impacts in the form of potential rainfall and winds, but the chances would be low, if at all. 'The upper air pattern late week favors it turning north and likely staying east of the U.S. East Coast," said Merrill. "However, there can be an increase in rough surf and rip currents along the East Coast beaches next weekend into early the following week." Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. How likely is a hurricane to make landfall in the US in 2025? Unsurprisingly, Florida leads the pack in terms of probability, but it's not the only state with odds that are essentially impossible to avoid. Here's a look at the probabilities of coastal states from Texas to Maine: Named storms in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season Here's a list of the five named storms we've had during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Editor's note: This story has been updated with the latest information regarding Tropical Storm Erin. This article originally appeared on Pensacola News Journal: Tropical Storm Erin forms in the Atlantic. Will it impact Florida?
The Independent
11-08-2025
- Climate
- The Independent
The Atlantic may get its first hurricane of the season - and it has the US in its sights
A tropical storm churning in the Atlantic may become not only the first hurricane of the North American 2025 season, but also the first to bring severe tropical storm conditions to the continental U.S. this year. Tropical Storm Erin is gaining power in the eastern Atlantic, according to AccuWeather meteorologists. The storm began as a small cluster of rain storms off the western African coast, but has now intensified and could be designated as a hurricane as soon as Wednesday, according to CNN. While the first hurricane of the season, on average, shows up by August 11, major hurricanes don't typically start forming until at least the first of September. But forecasters believe Erin could be an unseasonably early major storm. That is thanks, in part, to a lack of barriers to its intensification. "Several factors are working in its favor, including lack of dust, warm water and a lack of disruptive breezes," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill said. Hurricane season in the U.S. typically lasts from June 1 to November 30. Forecasters believe the storm will move west over the Atlantic for the next week and will then begin a slight northwest curve from Thursday to Friday. That course adjustment should prevent the main body of the storm from hitting the northeast Caribbean. AccuWeather warned that residents of Bermuda and the Bahamas should keep informed about the storm's progression and direction. In some scenarios forecasted, Erin will turns north and away from the U.S. But if the storm becomes powerful, the tropical storm conditions at its periphery could stretch for 100 miles or more, meaning even a northward turn might bring severe storms, high winds, and damaging surf and rain to the coastal U.S. In that scenario, the east coast of the U.S. from North Carolina to New England would likely bear the brunt of the storm. "Any development could bring impacts for a large swath from the Caribbean to the United States East Coast," AccuWeather warned in a social media post. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced that it would release advisories on Tropical Storm Erin sometime on Monday. If storm does spin up into a hurricane, it will become the first hurricane in a season that the NOAA predicts will be more active than usual. The NOAA believes between 13 and 19 named storms will whip up, and of those that approximately six to 10 will become full fledged hurricanes — with wind speeds of 74 miles per hour or greater. The NOAA believes three to five hurricanes will become major Category 3, 4, or 5 storms, which have 111 mph wind speeds or greater. The federal agency said it had 70 percent confidence in its forecast. 'This outlook is a call to action: be prepared. Take proactive steps now to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure you're ready before a storm threatens," NOAA's National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said in a statement.
CBS News
11-08-2025
- Climate
- CBS News
Tropical Storm Erin forms, could become first hurricane in Atlantic Ocean this season
Tropical Storm Erin formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean on Monday, forecasters said. The storm could strengthen to become the Atlantic's first hurricane of the season. The National Weather Service predicted an above-normal season for the Atlantic basin this year with an expected number of named storms between 13 and 18, five to nine of which could become hurricanes. A tropical cyclone becomes a tropical storm when its maximum sustained wind speeds reach at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are more powerful with sustained winds of at least 74 mph. Hurricanes are rated on a scale ranging from Category 1 to Category 5, which is the most severe rating. A storm is considered to be a major hurricane when it reaches Category 3 strength with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. This is a breaking news story. Check back for updates.
CBS News
11-08-2025
- Climate
- CBS News
Tropical wave in Atlantic could become first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season
The NEXT Weather team is tracking three areas in the tropics, one of which could become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been given a high potential (90% chance) for development over the next two to seven days by the National Hurricane Center. This wave continues to get better organized with a well-defined area of low pressure located just to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is likely to become a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Erin, possibly as soon as late Monday morning. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to continue across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system. This system is expected to continue moving west to west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. There is still a lot of uncertainty late week and into the weekend regarding exactly where this system will go. This will be a long track storm which the NEXT Weather team will continue to monitor. Forecast models have remained consistent on the track continuing west-northwest, staying north of the Leeward Islands. This could become the first hurricane of the season with some intensity forecasts suggesting this could even become a major hurricane by next weekend. Next weekend a number of forecast models continue to show a turn to the north and eventually the northeast keeping it off the U.S. coast entirely. This has been the forecast trend but it could easily shift back to the west, a few forecast models continue the western movement over the weekend, but they remain the minority. There are two other areas being monitored but they are not a concern for South Florida. In the Central Atlantic a weak trough of low pressure is only producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Significant development of this system is becoming unlikely over the next few days as the system drifts generally northward, remaining over the ocean. The National Hurricane Center is giving this area only a 10% chance of development. In the Northwest Atlantic, a non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located a few hundred miles to the south-southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada. This system is drifting over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream where some tropical or subtropical development could occur over the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system only a 10% chance of development over the next two to seven days. By the middle of this week, the system is expected to move northward over cooler waters, ending its changes for further tropical development.
