Tropical Storm Erin becomes fifth named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
Invest 97L strengthened into Tropical Storm Erin around 9:45 a.m. CT, just west of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern tropical Atlantic, less than a day after AccuWeather started to refer to it as a tropical rainstorm.
AccuWeather believes that Erin could become Hurricane Erin by the end of the week. If so, Erin would become the first hurricane of the season in the Atlantic.
The NHC is watching another disturbance, dubbed Invest 96L, in the Central Atlantic, which it characterizes as a 'weak trough of low pressure.' The system isn't expected to see significant development, however.
Finally, the third area of interest is a non-tropical area of low pressure currently located a few hundred miles to the south-southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada. This disturbance is also unlikely to see much development, according to NHC.
Quick facts you should know about Tropical Storm Erin
Strength: Maximum sustained winds measured at 45 mph; minimum central pressure measured at 1004 MB, 29.65 inches.
Location: 280 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, 2,305 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands
Movement: Tropical Storm Erin is expected to continue moving west-northwest at 15-20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
What are the chances that Tropical Storm Erin becomes a hurricane?
AccuWeather forecasters believe that it's likely we will see Hurricane Erin later this week, but there are a few obstacles it must contend with.
"Several factors are working in its favor, including lack of dust, warm water and a lack of disruptive breezes (wind shear)," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill."
AccuWeather says that there is a large plume of dust and dry air ahead of Erin, but that the storm's current environment is conducive to further organization and strengthening.
Where will Tropical Storm Erin's path take it next?
Tropical Storm Erin will continue to move westward over the Atlantic throughout the week. AccuWeather's current timeline shows that Erin will start to hook north on Friday.
The storm will gradually shift from a west-northwest motion to a north-northwest path into Monday, where it should be just southwest of Bermuda.
Will Tropical Storm Erin impact Florida?
Under its current track, Florida's eastern coast could see some impacts in the form of potential rainfall and winds, but the chances would be low, if at all.
'The upper air pattern late week favors it turning north and likely staying east of the U.S. East Coast," said Merrill. "However, there can be an increase in rough surf and rip currents along the East Coast beaches next weekend into early the following week."
Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models
Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
How likely is a hurricane to make landfall in the US in 2025?
Unsurprisingly, Florida leads the pack in terms of probability, but it's not the only state with odds that are essentially impossible to avoid. Here's a look at the probabilities of coastal states from Texas to Maine:
Named storms in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
Here's a list of the five named storms we've had during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Editor's note: This story has been updated with the latest information regarding Tropical Storm Erin.
This article originally appeared on Pensacola News Journal: Tropical Storm Erin forms in the Atlantic. Will it impact Florida?
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