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Hurricane forecast cones don't show the full picture. Why inland threats can be devastating.
Hurricane forecast cones don't show the full picture. Why inland threats can be devastating.

CBS News

time8 hours ago

  • Climate
  • CBS News

Hurricane forecast cones don't show the full picture. Why inland threats can be devastating.

As Hurricane Milton demonstrated, a storm's impacts can stretch far beyond its center or the forecast cone. That's why meteorologists urge residents to pay attention to more than just the projected track — especially as the hurricane season grows more intense. What the hurricane forecast cone shows and what it doesn't When a hurricane is out over the ocean, meteorologists primarily focus on the forecast cone, which maps out where the center of the storm is expected to track over the next five days. It's a critical tool for anticipating landfall zones, but experts say it doesn't capture the full scope of a storm's reach. Once a hurricane approaches land, forecasters begin to shift attention from just the cone to the broader impacts on the surrounding region. That's because damaging effects, like heavy rain, tornadoes and power outages, can occur well outside the cone. Hurricane Milton: A cautionary example Hurricane Milton, which churned through the Gulf in early October 2024, serves as a stark reminder of the risks beyond the cone. While its forecast track pointed toward the Gulf Coast, South Florida experienced a rash of tornadoes that developed in the storm's outer rainbands — a full day before the hurricane made landfall. "These storms developed a good distance from the forecast cone," the NEXT Weather team reported, highlighting how far-reaching tropical systems can be. Rain bands tied to hurricanes can spawn severe weather events, including tornadoes and strong winds, many miles from the storm's center. Such events can knock out power for days, sometimes even weeks, regardless of whether the core of the storm comes close. "Increasingly we are seeing these outages for days and weeks," said Jamie Rhome, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center. "A lot of people struggle to understand they can lose power for that long and what they would do." Inland flooding poses another hidden risk Another underappreciated hazard is inland flooding, which can be triggered by bands of tropical rain repeatedly moving over the same area. While most public attention focuses on storm surge, flash flooding from heavy inland rain can block roads, damage homes, and trap residents for days. "If you stocked up and did your due diligence… you can confidently stay in your home for 1-2 days as those flood waters subside and not put yourself in danger in those conditions," Rhome said. Having enough food, water, and essential supplies for a multi-day stretch can eliminate the need to wade or drive through floodwaters in the aftermath of a storm, conditions that can endanger both you and first responders. A new hurricane forecast cone is coming In response to these far-reaching hazards, the National Hurricane Center plans to roll out an experimental version of the hurricane forecast cone in 2026. This new format will not only show the storm's projected path but also include inland hazards like wind, flooding, and the potential for tornadoes. The goal: make sure people understand that even if they're far from the forecast track, they're not necessarily safe from harm. As Hurricane Milton showed, the cone is just one piece of the puzzle. To truly stay safe, residents must monitor the entire system's impacts, no matter how far removed they may seem.

A few more storms today ahead of drier and hotter weather pattern
A few more storms today ahead of drier and hotter weather pattern

Yahoo

time14 hours ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

A few more storms today ahead of drier and hotter weather pattern

(PINPOINT WEATHER) — Good Sunday morning! We are starting warmer and a touch more humid this morning compared to yesterday. Temperatures are in the lower 60s for the most part this morning, with a few more 50s towards the foothills and mountains. Expect high temperatures to be anywhere between the mid to upper 70s and lower 80s this afternoon. We will have a secondary cold front moving through today, which will trigger scattered showers and storms this afternoon and evening across the Charlotte metro. A storm or two may contain gusty winds and hail, however, the severe threat is very isolated today. Storms will gradually clear out as we head into the late evening and overnight hours, allowing for clearing skies and temperatures to fall into the 50s. Keep your eyes on the sky later tonight; there is a chance the Carolinas could witness the Northern Lights due to a severe geomagnetic storm. No promises, but there is a legit chance to see the aurora borealis tonight into early Monday. When viewing the northern lights, be sure to be away from any light pollution. A nice weather pattern for the start of the work week is ahead. Seasonable temperatures to start the week, with high temperatures in the lower 80s and morning lows in the upper 50s. By Wednesday of this week, temperatures will turn more summerlike, with highs rising into the mid to upper 80s. That hotter and more humid pattern will continue into next weekend, with increasing storm chances by Friday and into 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

CWG Live updates: Dry and comfortable today, with toasty temperatures on the way
CWG Live updates: Dry and comfortable today, with toasty temperatures on the way

Washington Post

time19 hours ago

  • Climate
  • Washington Post

CWG Live updates: Dry and comfortable today, with toasty temperatures on the way

Welcome to updated around-the-clock by Capital Weather Gang meteorologists. Happening now: Welcome to a drier pattern. After a cool start in the mid-40s to low 50s, mostly to partly sunny skies help push highs to near 70 to 75, with lighter winds. What's next? High pressure keeps skies mostly sunny through midweek. The big story is temperatures rising well into the 80s to near 90. Today's daily digit — 8/10: Temperatures still a touch cool, but pleasantly mild by afternoon with some sun. Enjoy! | 🤚 Your call? The digit is a somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a 0-to-10 scale. Forecast in detail Today (Sunday): Mostly sunny skies turn partly cloudy during the afternoon, with low humidity. Morning temperatures climb through the 50s into the 60s, and afternoon highs reach about 70 to 75. Less windy than yesterday but still some gusts from the west around 20 to 25 mph. Confidence: High 😎 Nice Day! Tonight: Dry conditions carry on as partly cloudy evening skies turn mostly clear overnight. It should be a nice night to open the windows as lows dip to the upper 40s and low 50s, but perhaps a bit too cool for some. Confidence: High Tomorrow (Monday): Another cool, almost refreshing start before morning temperatures rise through the 50s and 60s, building to afternoon highs in the mid- to upper 70s. Skies are mostly sunny, with light winds. Confidence: Medium-High 😎 Nice Day! Tomorrow night: Mostly clear skies continue through the night, with lows in the mid- to upper 50s. Confidence: Medium-High A look ahead High pressure keeps mostly sunny skies going Tuesday and Wednesday, and as it drifts offshore, it will send southerly winds and warmer air our way. Tuesday highs should reach the mid-80s, heating into the upper 80s to perhaps low 90s by Wednesday. Nice pool weather, if only it were the weekend! Confidence: Medium-High Highs should be in the upper 80s to perhaps low 90s again Thursday and mid-80s to near 90 Friday. Could see some increasing clouds Thursday, and Friday may bring our next chance of showers and thunderstorms. Confidence: Medium Today's daily digit — 8/10: Temperatures still a touch cool, but pleasantly mild by afternoon with some sun. Enjoy! | 🤚 Your call? The digit is a somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a 0-to-10 scale. Forecast in detail Today (Sunday): Mostly sunny skies turn partly cloudy during the afternoon, with low humidity. Morning temperatures climb through the 50s into the 60s, and afternoon highs reach about 70 to 75. Less windy than yesterday but still some gusts from the west around 20 to 25 mph. Confidence: High 😎 Nice Day! Tonight: Dry conditions carry on as partly cloudy evening skies turn mostly clear overnight. It should be a nice night to open the windows as lows dip to the upper 40s and low 50s, but perhaps a bit too cool for some. Confidence: High Tomorrow (Monday): Another cool, almost refreshing start before morning temperatures rise through the 50s and 60s, building to afternoon highs in the mid- to upper 70s. Skies are mostly sunny, with light winds. Confidence: Medium-High 😎 Nice Day! Tomorrow night: Mostly clear skies continue through the night, with lows in the mid- to upper 50s. Confidence: Medium-High A look ahead High pressure keeps mostly sunny skies going Tuesday and Wednesday, and as it drifts offshore, it will send southerly winds and warmer air our way. Tuesday highs should reach the mid-80s, heating into the upper 80s to perhaps low 90s by Wednesday. Nice pool weather, if only it were the weekend! Confidence: Medium-High Highs should be in the upper 80s to perhaps low 90s again Thursday and mid-80s to near 90 Friday. Could see some increasing clouds Thursday, and Friday may bring our next chance of showers and thunderstorms. Confidence: Medium

Storms clear out, cool, breezy Sunday ahead as heat build up in in latest Philadelphia weather forecast
Storms clear out, cool, breezy Sunday ahead as heat build up in in latest Philadelphia weather forecast

CBS News

timea day ago

  • Climate
  • CBS News

Storms clear out, cool, breezy Sunday ahead as heat build up in in latest Philadelphia weather forecast

Storms ending tonight, Sunday will be partly cloudy, cool, and breezy with a high of 71 Storms ending tonight, Sunday will be partly cloudy, cool, and breezy with a high of 71 Storms ending tonight, Sunday will be partly cloudy, cool, and breezy with a high of 71 After a stormy start to the weekend, the atmosphere is finally settling down. Skies will continue to clear tonight, though breezy northwest winds will keep it feeling cool. Overnight lows will dip to around 50° by daybreak. Sunday brings the start of meteorological summer, though it will feel more like spring. Expect plenty of morning sun followed by afternoon fair weather clouds. It stays on the cool side with highs near 70°, and northwest breezes will continue. A stray sprinkle is possible north and west, but the day will be mainly dry and pleasant. Looking ahead to next week, the pattern turns decidedly more summer-like. Monday remains dry with lots of sun — and likely our last day in the 70s for a while. Starting Tuesday, heat builds with highs in the 80s, and we may be chasing 90° by Wednesday and Thursday. The next chance for showers and storms arrives on Friday as another system moves in. Here's your 7-day forecast: CBS Philadelphia Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 71, Low 51. Monday: Warming up. High 76, Low 52. Tuesday: Heat builds. High 85, Low 57. Wednesday: Summer heat. High 92, Low 67. Thursday: Increasing clouds. High 92, Low 67. Friday: Chance of storms. High 88, Low 71. Saturday: A storm or two. High of 79, Low of 69. NEXT Weather Radars Hourly Forecast

Smoke descends on Albuquerque, where is it coming from?
Smoke descends on Albuquerque, where is it coming from?

Yahoo

timea day ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

Smoke descends on Albuquerque, where is it coming from?

May 31—Albuquerque and much of the Rio Grande Valley were blanketed in a haze of smoke on Saturday from south of the border. Meteorologists say an outflow boundary, described as a kind of "shockwave," from thunderstorms in Mexico on Friday carried the smoke 500 miles from wildfires in northwestern Chihuahua. Belen and Socorro felt some of the worst effects, with less than two miles of visibility, and health alerts were issued for Bernalillo County through Saturday. The National Weather Service expected the smoke to be gone by Sunday and said a lack of wind in the metro area was causing it to hang around longer than expected.

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