WWE Money In The Bank 2025: The most likely to least likely briefcase winners, ranked
It's a big weekend in the WWE universe, as Money in the Bank returns Saturday for its 16th iteration as a standalone PLE. Across the men's and women's rosters, 12 wrestlers will compete for the chance to bag themselves a future title shot at the time and place of their choosing — provided, of course, they can climb that ladder before their rivals.
We all know the gimmick by now. What shouldn't go unappreciated, though, is just how difficult this year's lineup is to predict — particularly on the women's side, where all six could be plausible winners. Despite the various threads and variables, we've done our best to make the case for each potential victor and, from there, work out who is likely to triumph this weekend.
Men's match, most to least likely
Seth Rollins (Likelihood: 4 out of 5)
If we're taking things on face value, all the signs are pointing in the right direction for Seth Rollins. Not only does he command the most powerful alliance in WWE right now, but he's also the most obvious candidate to execute a successful cash-in on Jey Uso, bringing the kibosh down on Yeet-mania in a devastating heel move. The fact that Rollins has history with the MITB briefcase probably helps his case too. All things considered, he enters this one as the man to beat.
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LA Knight (Likelihood: 3 out of 5)
Certain parts of the fan base made their displeasure clear when WWE failed to capitalize on LA Knight's popularity back at MITB in 2023. With the megastar now set for his third back-to-back-to-back MITB appearance (having lost again in 2024), you have to wonder if the time has finally come for the former U.S. champion to move on to bigger things. The tricky question, though, is what you'd do with him afterward.
Given their respective babyface statuses, a cash-in on Jey Uso seems unlikely. But if you're looking for a fan-favorite to try their luck against heel John Cena, he might well be your guy. It would be a doomed venture, of course, but it'd blow the roof off the arena whenever it happened — and potentially add some welcome juice to Cena's meandering heel run.
El Grande Americano (Likelihood: 3 out of 5)
As heel moves go, it's an audacious one: Stealing a spot in the MITB match at the expense of perhaps the most popular man on the entire 'Raw' roster. Could El Grande Americano top that with a surprise victory on Saturday night? I've suspected since before WrestleMania 41 that WWE is going big on this lucha storyline, and the past few weeks have strongly hinted as much. Could it even involve the AAA crossover somehow?
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An El Grande win would be a bold move, admittedly, but given everything we know — not least the fact that Chad Gable is competing for the AAA title on Saturday afternoon — we'd be silly to rule it out.
Solo Sikoa (Likelihood: 2 out of 5)
It's been a funny six months for Solo Sikoa, who's been effectively relegated to valet status following his big loss to Roman Reigns on the Netflix premiere of "WWE Raw." Is MITB the moment that changes for the Bloodline leader? Prior to the qualification matches, he wasn't a name I'd have picked to compete, but his lack of obvious aerial ability (a common thread for MITB matches) suggests that he's in this match for another reason.
Penta (Likelihood: 2 out of 5)
Having already drawn entry No. 1 at the Royal Rumble and competed at WrestleMania 41, 2025 has been one hell of a year for Penta, who only arrived in WWE (from AEW) in January. Could winning MITB be the next step? As much as I love the lucha sensation, I wouldn't wager on him winning this time around. That's good news, then, for Dirty Dominik Mysterio, who can rest that bit easier knowing that his Intercontinental title is likely safe (for now, at least).
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Andrade (Likelihood: 1 out of 5)
Judging by the dearth of television time he's had for much of the past year, it's nigh on impossible to see Andrade winning this one. His prowess for the high-flying stuff makes me think that his inclusion is more about executing some death-defying stunts — think Logan Paul and Ricochet in 2023, for example — than providing serious competition. I may be wrong, of course, but it would be a major shock if he won this one.
Naomi appears poised for a major breakthrough on Saturday. (Heather McLaughlin/WWE via Getty Images)
(WWE via Getty Images)
Women's match, most to least likely:
Naomi (Likelihood: 4 out of 5)
In an extremely tight field, Naomi has to enter this match as the slight favorite. Her heel evolution since her big reveal at Elimination Chamber (when she was outed as Jade Cargill's assailant) has been solid. Having largely rolled over for Cargill at WrestleMania 41, you have to feel that Naomi is overdue a win soon — at least if we're to believe that she's as dangerous as she claims. And her new caution-tape branding would look excellent on a briefcase.
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Stephanie Vaquer (Likelihood: 3.5 out of 5)
When was the last time we saw an NXT call-up with half as much momentum as Stephanie Vaquer? She's only been on the red brand for five minutes and she's already been getting a massive pop for staring down Rhea Ripley. Given that, coupled with her more advanced age and experience compared to most NXT talents, I wouldn't be surprised if we see WWE propelling her straight into the title scene before long. Is this weekend the moment that it begins?
Roxanne Perez (Likelihood: 3.5 out of 5)
Welcome back Roxanne Perez, who impressed us all with her stellar performances at the Rumble and Elimination Chamber before being sadly parked for WrestleMania. Her current flirtation with the rather combustible Judgment Day stable (where she appears to be working with Finn Balor, in particular) provides an interesting case for her to leave with the briefcase. Just imagine how Liv Morgan would react to seeing Perez with that kind of power…
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Alexa Bliss (Likelihood: 3 out of 5)
It's been a stop-start year for Alexa Bliss since her surprise return at the Rumble. The former champion gets a monster pop every time she pops up on 'SmackDown,' even if the WWE doesn't appear to have a firm plan for her just yet. If Charlotte Flair had beaten Tiffany Stratton at WrestleMania, we'd probably be calling Bliss the firm favorite, given the backstage interactions between the duo. As it stands, she probably falls somewhere in the middle of the pack.
Rhea Ripley (Likelihood: 2.5 out of 5)
Ninety percent of the time, betting against Rhea Ripley to win is a speedy route to bankruptcy. But do we really think "Mami" is leaving Los Angeles as the MITB winner? Sure she'd relish the chance to get her women's championship back from Iyo Sky, but it isn't as if 'The Eradicator' needs a briefcase to get herself a title shot. Instead, WWE should use this match to build a decent non-title feud for Ripley.
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Giulia (Likelihood: 2 out of 5)
It's a testament to the strength of the women's match that even the least likely winner isn't completely out of the picture here. A win for Giulia would be a swerve, for sure, but it certainly isn't impossible. Just look how quickly the Japanese sensation was pushed to the top of NXT after arriving last year. As with her fellow developmental alumnus Stephanie Vaquer, WWE may be tempted to strike while the iron is hot.
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