logo
Guardians vs. Reds odds, prediction: MLB best bets, picks Sunday

Guardians vs. Reds odds, prediction: MLB best bets, picks Sunday

New York Post18-05-2025
Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.
Ahh, the battle of Ohio. Cleveland is in Cincinnati.
The Guardians' Luis Ortiz limited the explosive Phillies to one run over six strong at home, but has been quite generous on the road, allowing 17 runs over 21 innings.
The Reds' Andrew Abbott has made six starts, has won twice and hasn't lost yet.
Abbott has given up just one run in his past 15 frames and seven in 30 innings.
Play $50 on Abbott and the Reds.
Luis Ortiz
James A. Pittman-Imagn Images
A night to forget.
The Padres lost. Our Preakness pick, Goal Oriented lost and the Kung Pao Chicken we ordered turned out to be two egg rolls and a fortune cookie.
Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting
Nick Pivetta pitched well and left the game tied 1-1.
In came Adrian Morejon and the game was over faster than you can say Journalism wins the Preakness.
Seattle's Cal Raleigh hit the first pitch all the way to Coachella.
Final 4-1. The fortune cookie said 'Don't bet the horses.' Down -187 seabiscuits.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Somehow Cy-Less Phillie Zack Wheeler Yet Again Is NL Frontrunner
Somehow Cy-Less Phillie Zack Wheeler Yet Again Is NL Frontrunner

Forbes

time5 minutes ago

  • Forbes

Somehow Cy-Less Phillie Zack Wheeler Yet Again Is NL Frontrunner

We're over two-thirds of the way through the regular season, so it's time to take my first looks at the Cy Young and MVP races in both leagues. The AL Cy Young race was examined yesterday - today it's the NL's turn. If you're new to my work, I take a slightly different approach to evaluation of current season performance. It's a purely analytical approach, and relies on batted ball data. I simply take every batted ball allowed by each ERA-qualifying pitcher, and calculate the damage they 'should have' allowed based on their exit speed/launch angle mix. That's expressed by their Adjusted Contact Score - 100 equals league average, the lower the number the better. I then add back the Ks and BBs to determine each pitcher's 'Tru' ERA-, and then spread it across their innings bulk to determine their 'Tru' Pitching Runs Above Average (TPRAA). While using replacement level as a baseline typically makes sense when doing most kinds of player evaluation, I find league average to be quite useful in evaluating elite performance, i.e., for award voting, Hall of Fame-worthiness, etc.. The Giants' Logan Webb is considered a viable contender by many this season. He stands just outside the Top Ten according to my method through July 31, with 9.1 'Tru' Pitching Runs Above Average (TPRAA). He has traditionally been valued less by my method - though he is a huge grounder generator, he has typically rated as a below average contact manager due to relatively authoritative contact allowed. His durability is a huge asset, and he has made some positive strides, but still (barely) rates as an outsider here. Now let's get to the top contenders. Padres' righty Dylan Cease (9.2 TPRAA) doesn't appear to be having a very good year on the surface, but he looks better once you peel back a couple layers. He's been exceedingly unlucky across all batted ball types (134 Unadjusted vs. 104 Adjusted Contact Score). He still walks more batters than you'd like, and at times struggles from the stretch, but the ability is certainly there. Braves' righty Spencer Schwellenbach (9.6 TPRAA) is currently injured and won't qualify for the ERA title at season's end, but deserves his flowers for how he pitched when healthy. His K/BB profile is immaculate, he was among MLB leaders in innings pitched before his injury, and he induces plenty of easy ground ball outs. Giants' lefty Robbie Ray (10.1 TPRAA) has been a poor contact manager throughout his career, but has made great strides this season. His 90.6 mph average exit speed allowed is deceptively high, but he has yielded a large number of can-of-corn 90-100 mph fly balls, keying a solid 83 Adjusted Fly Ball Contact Score. Cubs' lefty Matthew Boyd (10.2 TPRAA) has struggled to stay healthy throughout his career, but has been a constant this season as his club is making a push for the NL Central crown. He's the most extreme fly ball/pop up pitcher we'll discuss today, with an 18.0 degree average launch angle allowed. Brewers' righty Freddy Peralta (11.0 TPRAA) has watched the identity of his rotation-mates change all season, remaining a constant stabilizing presence. He's actually been eerily similar to Boyd, with a fractionally lower average exit speed (by 87.8 to 87.9 mph) and average launch angle allowed (17.7 degrees). #5 - LHP Nick Lodolo (Reds) - 15.3 TPRAA, 74 'Tru'-, 71 ERA-, 87 FIP- And now for a pretty significant jump upward in class. Lodolo's command is among the very best in the NL, and his contact management performance (87 Adjusted Contact Score) has also been well above average. He's struggled to remain healthy in the past, but (crosses fingers) has taken the ball every fifth day without incident this season. He's totally diffused the run-inflating effects of his stomping grounds at Great American Ball Park. #4 - LHP Cristopher Sanchez (Phillies) - 15.6 TPRAA, 74 'Tru'-, 61 ERA-, 69 FIP- Sanchez and the #1 guy below form the most potent #1-2 starting pitcher punch in the game today. He's an elite sinkerballer, with a 2.7 degree average launch angle allowed this season. His contact management hasn't been quite up to his 2024 NL Contact Manager of the Year standard, but is still well above average (89 Adjusted Contact Score). His 'Tru''- is slightly higher than his ERA- and FIP-, but is still quite impressive. #3 - RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers) - 17.6 TPRAA, 67 'Tru'-, 64 ERA-, 72 FIP- While his fellow highly-compensated rotation-mates have gone down all aroud him, Yamamoto has gone to the post every fifth day and excelled. The top three guys on this list currently stand #1-2-3 in the NL Contact Manager of the Year race - Yamamoto has an 80 Adjusted Contact Score through July 31. He's gotten it done by inducing plenty of ground balls and throttling fly ball authority - his 88.7 mph average fly ball exit speed allowed ranks 2nd lowest among NL ERA qualifiers. #2 - RHP Paul Skenes (Pirates) - 22.6 TPRAA, 63 'Tru'-, 43 ERA-, 58 FIP- He gets no run support, but Skenes' greatness shines through. His K/BB profile is exceptional, and his contact management skill is also top shelf. He's currently 2nd in the NL Contact Manager of the Year race with a 78 Adjusted Contact Score. His 88.3 mph average fly ball exit speed allowed is also 2nd in the NL. His 'Tru'- is a bit higher than his ERA- and FIP-, but is still top notch, and he's quietly among NL innings pitched leaders. He seems to be the mainstream favorite for the NL Cy at present, but….. #1 - RHP Zack Wheeler (Phillies) - 29.4 TPRAA, 52 'Tru'-, 61 ERA-, 65 FIP- He's never won a Cy, but has been 'my' winner multiple times. Here we go again. His 'Tru'- is easily better than his ERA- and FIP-. What gives? Well, he's been exceedingly unlucky on fly balls this season, with his 121 Unadjusted Fly Ball Contact Score far exceeding his adjusted 61 mark. He's the current leader in the NL Contact Manager of the Year race - another honor he's earned multiple times in the past - with a 76 Adjusted Contact Score. His 87.2 mph average exit speed allowed is the lowest in the NL, and his 29.4 TPRAA is the highest of any pitcher in baseball, including AL Cy leader Tarik Skubal. The Fangraphs WAR race has Skenes (4.5 WAR) ahead of Wheeler (4.0) through July 31.

Reds at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 5
Reds at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 5

Yahoo

time34 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Reds at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 5

It's Tuesday, August 5 and the Reds (59-54) are in Chicago to take on the Cubs (65-47). Zack Littell is slated to take the mound for Cincinnati against Shota Imanaga for Chicago. The Reds opened the series with a 3-2 win off a RBI single in the seventh inning. Despite the win, the Cubs still own the season edge, 4-3. Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Reds at Cubs Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025 Time: 8:05PM EST Site: Wrigley Field City: Chicago, IL Network/Streaming: FDSNOH, MARQ, TBS Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Reds at the Cubs The latest odds as of Tuesday: Moneyline: Reds (+152), Cubs (-183) Spread: Cubs -1.5 Total: 8.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Reds at Cubs Pitching matchup for August 5, 2025: Zack Littell vs. Shota Imanaga Reds: Zack Littell, (8-8, 3.58 ERA)Last outing: 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 4 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts Cubs: Shota Imanaga, (8-4, 3.25 ERA)Last outing: 5.40 ERA, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 8 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Reds and the Cubs Rotoworld Best Bet Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Reds and the Cubs: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Cincinnati Reds at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC. Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Reds at Cubs The Cubs have won 4 of their last 5 home series The Over is 4-1 in the Cubs' last 5 divisional matchups Chicago is 8-8 since the All-Star break Cincinnati is 9-7 since the All-Star break If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)

Reds at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 5
Reds at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 5

NBC Sports

time37 minutes ago

  • NBC Sports

Reds at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 5

It's Tuesday, August 5 and the Reds (59-54) are in Chicago to take on the Cubs (65-47). Zack Littell is slated to take the mound for Cincinnati against Shota Imanaga for Chicago. The Reds opened the series with a 3-2 win off a RBI single in the seventh inning. Despite the win, the Cubs still own the season edge, 4-3. Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Reds at Cubs Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025 Time: 8:05PM EST Site: Wrigley Field City: Chicago, IL Network/Streaming: FDSNOH, MARQ, TBS Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Reds at the Cubs The latest odds as of Tuesday: Moneyline: Reds (+152), Cubs (-183) Spread: Cubs -1.5 Total: 8.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Reds at Cubs Pitching matchup for August 5, 2025: Zack Littell vs. Shota Imanaga Reds: Zack Littell, (8-8, 3.58 ERA) Last outing: 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 4 Walks, and 4 StrikeoutsCubs: Shota Imanaga, (8-4, 3.25 ERA) Last outing: 5.40 ERA, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 8 Strikeouts Reds: Zack Littell, (8-8, 3.58 ERA) Last outing: 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 4 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts Cubs: Shota Imanaga, (8-4, 3.25 ERA) Last outing: 5.40 ERA, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 8 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Reds and the Cubs Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Reds and the Cubs: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Cincinnati Reds at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC. Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Reds at Cubs The Cubs have won 4 of their last 5 home series The Over is 4-1 in the Cubs' last 5 divisional matchups Chicago is 8-8 since the All-Star break Cincinnati is 9-7 since the All-Star break If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store