You can't manage risk if you don't know what you're holding
You can catch Trader Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you get your podcasts.
In the latest episode of "Trader Talk," Kenny Polcari sits down with Mark Malek, chief investment officer of SiebertNXT, to explore how quantitative investing and clear investment theses can help investors navigate today's volatile markets. Malek emphasizes using data-driven models to cut through noise, avoid over-diversification, and focus on high-probability opportunities, especially in defensive sectors. The two also weigh in on rate-cut expectations, soft versus hard data, and why sticking to fundamentals matters more than ever.
Watch more episodes of Trader Talk here.
Trader Talk with Kenny Polcari on Yahoo Finance delivers expert analysis and actionable insights, empowering you to navigate market volatility and secure your financial future.
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The green and yellow colors serve a larger purpose than branding — the green helps machinery blend into agricultural fields, reducing the visual impact on the landscape and the yellow provides contrast for when operators are looking for their machinery. Every detail is thought about through the lens of the operator. DE is incredibly focused on innovation and quality. In 1837, John Deere (a blacksmith in Illinois) developed the first commercially successful steel plow. Deere's innovation dramatically increased farming efficiency and helped fuel agricultural expansion in the United States. In 2025, they're still pushing the boundaries of agriculture. Today, 50% of operating earnings come from Production and Precision Agriculture — their largest and most profitable segment, focused on transforming farming into a tech-focused, data-driven operation. 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John Deere is an industrial company, but they've built a cloud-based, AI-capable software as a service platform within it. DEs Production and Precision segment is forecasting 15.5%-17% operating margins for 2025. The company is expecting 18% EPS growth in the next year. DE trades at a 25x trailing PE and a 23x forward PE. The company has a competent and experienced management team, an exciting growth story, a defensible moat, and a reasonable valuation. On a technical basis — DE is reflecting strength. Over the last 3 years, DE has touched its 200-week moving average once on a weekly closing basis: Looking at the 1-year chart earlier in the article, the rising 200-day moving average is serving as strong support. DE is an AI-wolf in sheep's clothing. At first glance, the tariff narrative may seem like a headwind for DE. But look a little deeper, and it's clear the company continues to innovate with the same spirit it had in the late 1800s. Risk management Josh — This one is simple to me. As you can see in the one-year chart above, DE buyers have respected the 200-day moving average since November. There was a false breakdown below it this April during the tariff announcement that was cleaned up relatively quickly. I would trail a position here with a rolling stop just below the 200-day. The stock has cooled off from its high in early May but the uptrend is intact and an RSI reading in the 50s is a better entry point than when the stock was making fresh highs and RSI was pushing 75. This is my kind of set-up. DISCLOSURES: (None) All opinions expressed by the CNBC Pro contributors are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, their parent company or affiliates, and may have been previously disseminated by them on television, radio, internet or another medium. THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. THE ABOVE CONTENT MIGHT NOT BE SUITABLE FOR YOUR PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR. INVESTING INVOLVES RISK. EXAMPLES OF ANALYSIS CONTAINED IN THIS ARTICLE ARE ONLY EXAMPLES. THE VIEWS AND OPINIONS EXPRESSED ARE THOSE OF THE CONTRIBUTORS AND DO NOT NECESSARILY REFLECT THE OFFICIAL POLICY OR POSITION OF RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC. JOSH BROWN IS THE CEO OF RITHOLTZ WEALTH MANAGEMENT AND MAY MAINTAIN A SECURITY POSITION IN THE SECURITIES DISCUSSED. 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