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CNN
16 minutes ago
- CNN
Analysis: Trump's tariffs are as unpopular as ever, but the GOP's tolerance is growing
Donald Trump TariffsFacebookTweetLink Follow There has been something of a shift in the conventional wisdom about President Donald Trump's tariffs of late. On the one hand, economists and political analysts have warmed to the idea that Trump is more or less getting what he bargained for out of his threats of a global trade war. This has come as a number of foreign nations come to the table and, in a few cases, cut apparent deals. On the other, that's different from saying Trump's tactics will ultimately work. And the picture there certainly got more complicated this week, including with yet more judges suggesting they could rein in Trump's tariff authorities and the increasingly troubling economic numbers highlighted by another bad jobs report Friday. Many have been wondering when (and if) the economic pain many economists predicted would actually arrive, and signs are increasing that it might be upon us. In other words, we seem to be at an inflection point, particularly with Trump signaling Thursday that he'll finally press forward with global tariffs (probably!) next week. But how is all of this playing? Are people reevaluating their previous positions? It's too soon to gauge public opinion on Trump's latest moves this week. But the short answer is that we haven't seen many shifts of late in the already pretty dismal views of Trump's trade war at the macro level; if anything, views appear to have gotten slightly worse. But there have been some key shifts that suggest his base is more on-board than it used to be, which could allow Trump to press forward. Overall, foreign trade and tariffs remain some of the president's worst issues, and it continues to look like the policy that very few people (besides Trump) are asking for right now. Gallup polling shows Trump's approval on 'foreign trade' dropping from 42% in February to 36% in mid-July. Fox News polling around the same time showed Americans disapproved of Trump on tariffs by a 26-point margin, virtually the same as in April (25 points). And CBS News-YouGov polling shows people increasingly dislike that this is a priority for Trump. Its most recent data, from mid-July, show 61% say Trump is too focused on tariffs, similar to April but up from March. It also showed a new high in the percentage of people who say Trump isn't focused enough on lowering prices (70%). (This also ties into the tariffs, because tariffs are often inflationary.) The CBS data also show a slight drop in the percentage of Americans who think Trump's policies are making them better off financially (23% in March versus 18% today), and an increase in perceptions that his policies are making food prices increase (52% in March versus 62% today). Overall, Americans went from opposing the tariffs by 12 points in March to opposing them by 20 points today. So if there is a vibe shift on Trump's tariffs, it hasn't really shown up in the polls – at least yet. But as with most things Trump, overall views probably don't matter as much as how his base feels. The president has proven over and over again that he's happy to plow ahead as long as his supporters are on board. And those supporters might be growing in their tolerance for this gambit. The percentage of Republicans who say Trump is focused too much on tariffs in the CBS poll actually fell from 34% in April to 28% today. And polling from Quinnipiac University suggests Republicans are also less pessimistic about economic pain from the tariffs. Republicans were already much more patient with Trump's gambit. More than 8 in 10 said in that polling in both April and today that the tariffs were likely to help the economy over the long term. That's been consistent. But there has been a shift in Trump's favor in views of their short-term impact. While Republicans back in April were about evenly split on whether the tariffs would help or hurt in the short term, they now say by about a 2-to-1 margin that they'll help over the short term. While Republicans in April said 46-44% that the tariffs would help in the short term, they now say that 62-30%. Republicans also overwhelmingly express confidence in Trump's strategy on tariffs, saying it's working, 84-9%, in Quinnipiac's July polling. All of which suggests Trump's leash on this has lengthened with his base, which matters a great deal. It means GOP lawmakers who might feel compelled to try and check Trump on this gambit will probably be less likely to do so. But all of this is subject to change, particularly if the economic numbers look suspect like many economists predicted they will. How Republicans respond to that is when the rubber will really meet the road and the White House could face some really hard choices.

USA Today
17 minutes ago
- USA Today
What does TACO mean? What to know when Trump issues new tariffs after 2 delays
President Donald Trump signed an executive order to issue a new slate of tariffs on July 31, the latest in a long saga of policy changes for imports from countries around the world. Reciprocal tariff rates for 70 countries will range from 15% to 41%, set to go into effect seven days from the order. Trump also separately raised the tariff rate on imports from Canada from 25% to 35%, which is set to go into effect Aug. 1. Tariffs are a tax on goods from other countries that importers pay, and economists generally agree it leads to higher prices for consumers. Trump began imposing tariffs on imports from the U.S.'s top trade partners in February, only to change their effective date, scope or rate over the following months. The on-again-off-again tariffs have been a theme of Trump's second term, leading to the creation of the term TACO. Here is what to know: Live updates: Trump fires head of labor statistics bureau after weak jobs report What does TACO mean? Financial Times columnist Robert Armstrong coined "TACO trade" in May, describing how some investors anticipate market rebounds amid Trump's on-again, off-again tariff policies. The acronym stands for "Trump always chickens out." Armstrong describes TACO trade as many investors' strategy to buy into the market that dips when Trump announces steep tariffs on the assumption that he will back off his tariff order, and the market will rebound. Trump hit back at a reporter who asked about the term on May 28, saying, "you ask a nasty question like that. It's called negotiation." Trump's tariffs have been on-again-off-again Back in February, Trump announced a 25% tariff on goods from top trade partners Mexico and Canada and 10% on goods from China. Such was the start of a series of delays and negotiations that left Canada and Mexico relatively untouched when Trump expanded steeper tariff orders to the rest of the world in April. China and the U.S. were caught up in an intense trade war where the economic powerhouses retaliated until both sides issued tariffs in the triple digits. They reached a truce in May and have discussed extending the 90-day pause while they work out a deal. Trump on April 2 announced widespread tariffs in what he called "Liberation Day." Shortly after, he paused the climbing rates for 90 days. That pause was set to expire on July 9, but instead of the tariffs going into effect, Trump extended the deadline. That deadline was Aug. 1, and Trump had said the deadline would not change, but the recent order gives it another week. Mexico remains at 25% while it continues to work on a trade deal for the next 90 days, Trump said. Contributing: Joey Garrison, USA TODAY Kinsey Crowley is the Trump Connect reporter for the USA TODAY Network. Reach her at kcrowley@ Follow her on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley or Bluesky at @


Hamilton Spectator
18 minutes ago
- Hamilton Spectator
Democrats decry firing Bureau of Labour Statistics director
Senate Democrats are quickly jumping on the dismissal of Erika McEntarfer, the director of the Bureau of Labour Statistics, warning that it shows Trump is acting like a dictator. In a Senate floor speech, Democratic leader Sen. Chuck Schumer said, 'Donald Trump sometimes admires dictators, he admires them. Well, he sometimes acts just like them. It's classic Donald Trump. When he gets the news he doesn't like, he shoots the messenger.' Other Senate Democrats said it showed Trump was not facing up to the realities of the economy. 'This is the act of somebody who is soft, weak and afraid to own up to the reality of the damage his chaos is inflicting on our economy,' said Sen. Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee.