Iran doesn't believe a nuclear deal is likely, sources say, as talks with US set to resume

CNN

23-05-2025

Iran and the United States are set to begin a fifth round of high-stakes nuclear talks in Rome on Friday amid growing skepticism in Tehran about the chances of a deal as Washington hardens its position.
Two Iranian sources have told CNN the talks seem unlikely to lead to an agreement, with the US insisting that Tehran dismantles its uranium enrichment program – a demand Iranian officials say would cause the nuclear negotiations to collapse.
The sources said Iran's participation in the Rome talks is solely to gauge Washington's latest stance rather than pursue a potential breakthrough.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi reiterated Tehran's red lines before he departed for Rome on Friday.
'Figuring out the path to a deal is not rocket science,' he posted on X before his flight. 'Zero nuclear weapons = we DO have a deal. Zero enrichment = we do NOT have a deal.'
The Trump administration has demanded Iran stop all uranium enrichment activity, which lead US negotiator Steve Witkoff says 'enables weaponization.' Uranium, a key nuclear fuel, can be used to build a bomb if enriched to high levels. Iran maintains that its nuclear program is peaceful and says it is willing to commit not to enrich uranium to weapons-grade as part of an agreement.
Speaking Thursday, Araghchi said Iran was open to enhanced monitoring by international inspectors but would not relinquish its right to pursue nuclear energy, including uranium enrichment. Washington is offering to wind back crippling economic sanctions on Iran in exchange for de-nuclearization.
The US had previously sent mixed signals about whether Iran would be allowed to enrich uranium, but in recent weeks it has hardened its stance, insisting that no enrichment will be permitted.
That shift has prompted officials in Tehran to question Washington's commitment to a deal, as Iran has repeatedly said enrichment is a red line in negotiations.
The two Iranian sources told CNN that Tehran harbors mounting doubts about US sincerity in talks.
'The media statements and negotiating behavior of the United States has widely disappointed policy-making circles in Tehran,' the sources said in a joint message. 'From the perspective of decision-makers in Tehran, when the US knows that accepting zero enrichment in Iran is impossible and yet insists on it, it is a sign that the US is fundamentally not seeking an agreement and is using the negotiations as a tool to intensify pressure.'
Initially, the sources noted, some Iranian officials believed Washington might seek a 'win-win' compromise. However, a consensus has now emerged that the Trump administration is steering discussions toward a deadlock.
The sources said that although neither the US nor Iran wants to leave the negotiating table, the position of the US is making the talks unproductive and formal meetings are unlikely to continue much longer.
They said that Tehran no longer takes seriously US efforts to distance itself from Israel's hardline stance on Iran, and it sees proposals made by the American side as following the agenda of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has insisted that no enrichment be allowed in Iran.
On Friday, Iranian delegates in Rome aim to probe whether the US has revised its approach. The sources suggested that Tehran will likely take a tougher stance unless the US offers tangible concessions.
Washington has kept up the pressure on Iran with fresh sanctions and threats of war even as diplomatic talks continue.
On Wednesday, the US State Department announced new measures, identifying Iran's construction sector as being 'controlled directly or indirectly' by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and 10 strategic materials that it said Iran is using in connection with its nuclear, military or ballistic missile programs.
'With these determinations, the United States has broader sanctions authorities to prevent Iran from acquiring strategic materials for its construction sector under IRGC control and its proliferation programs,' State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce said.
Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson criticized US Secretary of State Marco Rubio for the move, calling it 'as outrageous as it is unlawful and inhuman.'
'The US's consecutive rounds of sanctions only reinforce our people's deeply held belief that the American decision makers are set to make every malign effort to hinder Iran's development & progress. These sanctions, announced on the eve of the fifth round of Iran-US indirect talks, further put to question the American willingness & seriousness for diplomacy,' Baqaei wrote on X.
CNN's Angus Watson contributed to this report.