Why is stock market rising today? Key factors behind 900-pt Sensex surge, Nifty over 25,200
Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty50 witnessed a significant surge at the opening on Tuesday, mirroring positive trends in Asian markets. This rally followed US President Donald Trump's announcement of a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, which led to a drop in global oil prices. Market capitalization of BSE-listed companies also saw a substantial increase.
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1. Ceasefire Between Iran and Israel
2. Oil Prices Slide
3. Global Market Rally
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4. Decline in Dollar
Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty50 opened sharply higher on Tuesday, tracking gains in broader Asian markets after US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, leading to a decline in global oil prices . However, Iran refuted Trump's claims.The BSE Sensex jumped as much as 910 points (1.11%) to 82,782, and the Nifty50 climbed 262 points (1.05%) to 25,232 in early trade. However, gains moderated slightly. By 9:45 am, the Sensex was up 594 points (0.72%) at 82,488, while the Nifty rose 179 points (0.72%) to 25,150.Meanwhile, the market capitalisation of all listed companies on BSE surged by Rs 4.43 lakh crore to Rs 452.25 lakh crore.On the sectoral front, Nifty Bank, Financial Services, Auto, IT, Metal, PSU Bank, Consumer Durables, and Oil & Gas indices rose between 1 and 2% in early trade. In the broader market, the Nifty Midcap and Smallcap indices also opened nearly 1% higher.The rally was triggered by reports that Iran and Israel have agreed to a phased ceasefire, following nearly two weeks of escalating military tensions. The development was announced by US President Donald Trump, who credited Qatar for facilitating the negotiations.However, tensions remain on the ground. The Israeli military said early Tuesday that it had detected another wave of missiles launched from Iran. Sirens were activated across several cities, including Jerusalem, where residents took shelter in underground parking lots after receiving mobile alerts.The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the alerts in a social media post, stating that sirens were heard following the missile launch. According to AP reports, notifications were sent to citizens' phones ahead of the missile barrage's expected arrival.Oil prices dropped over 3% on Tuesday, extending the 9% slide seen on Monday after Iran's limited retaliation against a U.S. air base signaled a potential de-escalation of hostilities.With the immediate threat to the crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping route appearing to ease, U.S. crude futures fell another 3.4% to $66.15 per barrel, the lowest level since June 11.On Monday, oil prices had plunged nearly 6% after Iran launched missiles at a U.S. air base in Qatar in response to earlier American airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.A continued decline in crude oil prices would be a positive for India, which depends heavily on imports to meet its energy needs. Lower oil prices help ease inflationary pressures and narrow the fiscal deficit, offering relief to policymakers and consumers alike.Indian equities mirrored the global rally, opening sharply higher as easing tensions between Iran and Israel lifted investor sentiment. U.S. President Donald Trump, in a post on Truth Social, said the ceasefire would take effect within 12 hours and declared the war 'ended.'The MSCI Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) jumped 1.8%, Japan's Nikkei gained 1.4%, China's blue-chip index rose 1%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng advanced 1.7%.The dollar index extended its overnight losses, slipping 0.3% to 98.12 following the ceasefire announcement. The retreat in the greenback added to the positive sentiment across global markets.Meanwhile, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose 2 basis points to 4.35%, after falling 5 bps overnight. The move came as Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman indicated that the time to cut interest rates may be approaching, citing growing risks to the labour market.All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who is set to testify before Congress later on Tuesday. Powell has so far remained cautious on signalling near-term rate cuts.
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