
Tropical Storm Erin expected to strengthen into hurricane: See tracker
In a 5 a.m. ET advisory on Tuesday, Aug. 12, the hurricane center said Erin was located about 690 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with maximum sustained winds near 45 mph with higher gusts. Forecasters said Erin is moving west, and this motion is expected to continue for the next several days.
"Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next several days, and Erin is expected to become a hurricane in the next couple of days," the hurricane center said in the advisory, noting that there are currently no hazards affecting land, or watches or warnings in effect due to Erin.
Meanwhile, in the Gulf, a surface trough in the north-central Gulf is associated with a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The system is not expected to develop before it moves inland, although locally heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding across portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Alabama, southern Mississippi, and southeastern Louisiana over the next day or so, according to the hurricane center.
Lastly, the hurricane center said it is keeping an eye on a non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada.
"Some limited tropical or subtropical development is possible over the next day or so as the low meanders near the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream," the NHC said, however the system is forecast to move northward over cooler waters, ending its chances of further tropical development.
More on Erin: Tropical Storm Erin forecast to become first hurricane of Atlantic season
Tropical Storm Erin path tracker
This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time.
Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models
This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time.
NHC also keeping tabs on Hurricane Henriette in Pacific
Meanwhile in the Pacific, the NHC said it is keeping tabs on Hurricane Henriette.
In an 11 p.m. Hawaiian Standard Time advisory on Monday, Aug. 11, forecasters said Henriette was located about 730 miles north of Honolulu, Hawaii, with maximum sustained winds near 75 mph with higher gusts.
The NHC said further weakening is forecast during the next few days, with Henriette expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Thursday, Aug. 14. There are currently no threats to land stemming from Henriette.
How do hurricanes form?
Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees Fahrenheit. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression.
A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reach 39 miles per hour. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane.
Prepare now for hurricanes
Delaying potentially life-saving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," NOAA recommends.
Gabe Hauari is a national trending news reporter at USA TODAY. You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at Gdhauari@gannett.com.
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Tropical Storm Erin formed in the Atlantic Ocean on Aug. 11 and long-range forecast models predict it will become a major hurricane that could impact Puerto Rico and the Eastern Caribbean, as well as the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda. As of the evening of Aug. 12, Erin was still more than 1,600 miles away from the Northern Leeward Islands and the edge of the Caribbean, but as eyes look eastward for what is expected to be the first hurricane of the 2025 season to form, here are some things to know about this storm. Erin Expected to Become Major Hurricane As of 5 p.m. on Aug. 12, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported that Tropical Storm Erin was moving fast across the Atlantic Ocean. The storm is expected to become a hurricane in the next couple of days, and to grow into a major hurricane by Sunday, Aug. 17. A major hurricane is one that is a Category 3 or higher with sustained wind speeds greater than 111 mph.
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Tropical Storm Erin tracker: Forecast to strengthen into 1st Atlantic hurricane of 2025 by late Thursday
Still great uncertainty around what impact Erin will have on the U.S. East Coast, NHC forecasters say. Tropical Storm Erin is likely to become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, and a major one at that, according to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. Erin formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean on Monday and is quickly moving westward. During the course of this week, it's expected to strengthen. The NHC said there is still great uncertainty about what might occur in parts of the U.S. East Coast, the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas next week, but added that now is a good time to make sure preparedness plans are in place. Where is Tropical Storm Erin, and what is its path? As of 5 p.m. ET Tuesday: Erin was located 950 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. The storm was quickly moving toward the west at 22 mph and is expected to continue through early Thursday. "A slightly slower westward motion is expected tonight through Thursday, with a west-northwestward motion beginning Thursday night and continuing into the weekend," the NHC said in a Tuesday evening update. What are the chances it will intensify? The NHC's intensity forecast shows Tropical Storm Erin could become a hurricane by late Thursday, according to the agency's Tuesday evening forecast discussion. "Continued strengthening is forecast after that time, and the NHC forecast continues to show Erin becoming a major hurricane by day 5 (early Sunday)," the NHC forecasts. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when maximum sustained winds reach at least 74 mph. Hurricanes are rated on a scale ranging from Category 1 to Category 5, with 5 being the most severe. A storm is considered a major hurricane when it reaches Category 3 strength, with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. Maximum sustained winds of 115 mph mean it would be considered a Category 3 major hurricane, according to the NHC. Watches and warnings in place As of 5 p.m. ET Tuesday, there were no coastal watches or warnings in effect. "Erin could move close enough to the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the weekend to produce some impacts on those islands," the NHC said Tuesday. "However, the magnitude of those impacts is still not known, and interests there should continue to monitor the progress of this storm." How is hurricane season shaping up? The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and runs through the end of November, has a 50% chance of being above normal. Last week, forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration slightly updated the number of expected storms to 13 and 18 (estimated at 13 to 19 in May), five of which could become major hurricanes (with winds of more than 111 mph). A typical hurricane season averages 14 named storms. We're currently about halfway through this year's hurricane season and there have been five so far: tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter and Erin.