Powell is costing the US by not lowering rates, says Trump. Here's what he may mean
As part of his campaign to get rid of Jerome Powell, President Donald Trump has blamed the Federal Reserve chair for costing the country 'hundreds of billions of dollars' by not slashing interest rates.
'You have cost the USA a fortune and continue to do so,' Trump wrote in a handwritten note to Powell that he posted on Truth Social last month. 'You should lower that rate by a lot. Hundreds of billions of dollars are being lost.'
In the same post, Trump blamed the Fed board, saying, 'If they were doing their job properly, our Country would be saving Trillions of Dollars in Interest Cost … We should be paying 1% Interest, or better!'
Trump's focus on interest costs comes at a time of renewed attention on the nation's skyrocketing interest payments on its ever-growing federal debt.
Interest payments this fiscal year are nearing $1 trillion for the first time in the nation's history. The president just signed the 'big, beautiful bill,' which is expected to add more than $3 trillion to the deficit over the next decade and push interest rates even higher. And Moody's recently downgraded the US debt in part because of the increase in government debt and interest payment ratios.
But even if Trump succeeds in pressuring the Fed to reduce rates, it may not significantly lighten the nation's interest payment burden, experts said. The federal funds rate is only one of the factors that influences the interest rates on the federal debt, which is made up of a mix of short-term, medium-length and longer-duration Treasury securities.
'It seems to be an easier lever to pull for those who want to impact either interest costs on the federal debt or economic growth,' said Shai Akabas, vice president of economic policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center. 'But it doesn't mean that action by the Fed will result in the outcome the president or others may want.'
What's indisputable is that America's interest costs have soared in recent years, in part because of the nation's growing debt and in part because interest rates rose after a period of super-low rates as the nation combatted high inflation earlier in the decade.
The US shelled out $346 billion in interest payments in fiscal 2020. That figure has jumped to a projected $952 billion for the current fiscal year and is expected to exceed $1 trillion in the coming year, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Interest payments are now the second-largest spending category in the federal budget, surpassing Medicare and defense in fiscal year 2024 and trailing only Social Security.
Currently, roughly 18 cents of every dollar in tax revenue goes to paying interest on the debt, Akabas said. By the end of the next decade, that figure will jump to about 25 cents.
While cutting the federal funds rate may lower rates on shorter-term securities, it may not reduce rates on 10-year or 30-year Treasury bonds. In fact, a sharp cut may increase longer-term rates for several reasons, including that a steep rate cut could spur inflation or could prompt investors to shift to longer-term securities to lock in higher rates, said Marc Goldwein, senior policy director at the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
'The Federal Reserve only has so much power to lower those interest rates,' he said of the rates on longer duration Treasury bonds. 'There's no guarantee that the Fed cutting rates will reduce interest payments at all.'
If Trump were truly interested in reducing interest payments, there is a more efficient way to do that, experts said. He could work to lower the annual deficit — though that would likely involve some politically unpalatable changes to taxes and spending, they said.
While Trump's agenda package will make historic reductions to federal spending on the nation's safety net, its hefty tax cuts far surpass the savings and widen the annual deficit.
'If your concern is the hundreds of billions of dollars we're adding to the deficit from higher interest costs, the solution is to enact policies that are deficit reducing, not deficit increasing' Goldwein said.
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17 minutes ago
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The bottom 50% hold 3% of wealth, with an average of just $60,000 to their names. Federal Reserve data also shows there are differences by race. Asian people outpace white people in the U.S. in median wealth, while Black and Hispanic people trail in their net worth. Barley was working as a journalist when her newspaper ended its pension program and she got a lump-sum payout of about $5,000. A colleague convinced her to invest it in a retirement account, and ever since, she's stashed away whatever she could. The investments dipped at first during the Great Recession but eventually started growing. In time, she came to find catharsis in amassing savings, going home and checking her account balances when she had a tough day at work. Last month, after one such day, she realized the moment had come. 'Did you know that we're millionaires?' she asked her husband. 'Good job, honey,' Barley says he replied, unfazed. It brought no immediate change. Like many millionaires, much of her wealth is in long-term investments and her home, not easy-to-access cash. She still lives in her modest Orlando, Florida, house, socks away half her paycheck, fills the napkin holder with takeout napkins and lines trash cans with grocery bags. Still, Barley says it feels powerful to cross a threshold she never imagined reaching as a child. 'But it's not as glamorous as the ideas in your head,' she says. All wealth is relative. To thousandaires, $1 million is the stuff of dreams. To billionaires, it's a rounding error. Either way, it takes twice as much cash today to match the buying power of 30 years ago. A net worth of $1 million in 1995 is equivalent to about $2.1 million today, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. A seven-figure net worth is, to some, as outdated a yardstick as a six-figure salary. Nonetheless, 'millionaire' is peppered in everything from politics to popular music as shorthand for rich. 'It's a nice round number but it's a point in a longer journey,' says Dan Uden, a 41-year-old from Providence, Rhode Island, who works in information technology and who hit the million-dollar mark last month. 'It definitely gives you some room to breathe.' No other country comes close to the U.S. in the sheer number of millionaires, though relative to population, UBS found Switzerland and Luxembourg had higher rates. Kenneth Carow, a finance professor at Indiana University's Kelley School of Business, says commonalities emerge among today's millionaires. The vast majority own stocks and a home. Most live below their means. They value education and teach financial responsibility to their children. 'The dream of becoming a millionaire,' Carow says, 'has become more obtainable.' Jim Wang, 45, a software engineer-turned finance blogger from Fulton, Maryland, says even if hitting $1 million was essentially 'a non-event' for him and his wife, it still held weight for him as the son of immigrants who saved money by turning the heat off on winter nights. The private jets he envisioned as a kid may not have materialized at the million-dollar threshold, but he still sees it as a marker that brings a certain level of security. 'It's possible, even with a regular job,' he says. 'You just have to be diligent and consistent.' The resilience of financial markets and the ease of investing in broad-based, low-fee index funds has fueled the balances of many millionaires who don't earn massive salaries or inherit family fortunes. Among them is a burgeoning community of younger millionaires born out of the movement known as FIRE, for Financial Independence Retire Early. Jason Breck, 48, of Fishers, Indiana, embraced FIRE and reached the million-dollar mark nine years ago. He promptly quit his job in automotive marketing, where he generally earned around $60,000 a year but managed to stow away around 70% of his pay. Now, Breck and his wife spend several months a year traveling. Despite being retired, they continue to grow their balance by sticking to a tight budget and keeping expenses to $1,500 a month when they're in the U.S and a few hundred dollars more when they travel. Hitting their goal hasn't translated to luxury. There is no lawn crew to cut the grass, no Netflix or Amazon Prime, no Uber Eats. They fly economy. They drive a 2005 Toyota. 'It's not a golden ticket like it was in the past,' Breck says. 'For us, a million dollars buys us freedom and peace of mind. We're not yacht rich, but for us, we're time rich.'