AAC Championship Game: UAB vs. Memphis odds, picks and predictions
The UAB Blazers (22-11) and the Memphis Tigers (28-5) meet Sunday in the American Athletic Conference (AAC) Tournament final at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's college basketball odds around the UAB vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The third-seeded Blazers opened the AAC Tournament with a 94-77 win over the East Carolina Pirates Friday in the quarterfinals as a 5.5-point favorite as the Over (150) cashed. UAB won 66-56 over the North Texas Mean Green as a 2-point underdog as the Under (135) hit Saturday in the semifinals. F Yaxel Lendeborg went for 23 points and 13 rebounds in the victory Saturday.
The AAC is likely a 1-bid league as long as Memphis takes care of business. If UAB wins, there are a lot of bubble teams which will be super nervous on Selection Sunday.
The Tigers nearly blew it Saturday, edging the Tulane Green Wave 78-77 as an 8.5-point favorite as the Over (148) cashed. Memphis is 2-0 SU in the first 2 games of the tourney, but 0-2 against the spread (ATS). The Over has cashed in both games, averaging 80.5 points per game (PPG) on offense, while allowing 78.5 PPG. Former Illinois F Dain Dainja saved the Tigers with 23 points and 11 rebounds on 10-of-15 shooting in Saturday's win.
Memphis swept the regular-season series with UAB, winning 100-77 in Memphis Jan. 26 as a 7-point favorite as the Over (159) cashed, and winning 88-81 in Birmingham March 2 as a 1-point 'dog as the Over (161.5) also hit.
The Tigers are 5-1 SU/ATS in the past 6 meetings since Dec. 8, 2018, while the Over has cashed in 4 straight, and 5 of the past 6 in the series.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men's Basketball Coaches Poll
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UAB vs. Memphis odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:49 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : UAB +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Memphis -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
: UAB +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Memphis -210 (bet $210 to win $100) Against the spread : UAB +4.5 (-110) | Memphis -4.5 (-110)
: UAB +4.5 (-110) | Memphis -4.5 (-110) Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
UAB vs. Memphis picks and predictions
Prediction
Memphis 85, UAB 81
Memphis (-210) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that's just a little too much risk for not enough reward for a straight-up bet.
If you were to throw the Tigers into a multi-leg parlay, they're not as bad of a play as long as Memphis stays below -250.
PASS.
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UAB +4.5 (-110) is worth a look, although there is plenty of risk.
Memphis -4.5 (-110) has won and covered both games this season, but it's tough to beat the same team 3 times in the same season. Lendeborg is a superstar, and he'll help the Blazers keep close in this battle, if not threaten to win outright.
OVER 160.5 (-110) is the best play in this AAC title game.
The Over hit in both regular-season meetings, while cashing high in 4 straight meetings since Jan. 28, 2024.
The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 5 games for UAB, while going 6-4 in the past 10 outings.
For Memphis, the Over has hit in both AAC tourney games to date, while going 8-4 across the past 12 outings since Feb. 2.
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