Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions
Season series: First meeting; Yankees won series 6-0 in 2024
The Twins are in fourth place in the AL Central. They are coming off a 2-1 series win over the Kansas City Royals at home and have won 4 of their last 5 overall, including Sunday's series finale 5-3 win over the Royals in 11 innings. Rookie 2B Luke Keaschall had 3 hits, including a 2-run, walkoff homer in the 11th. It was the Twins' ninth walkoff win of the season. Rookie infielder Ryan Fitzgerald had his first 2 career hits with his first being a home run.
The Yankees, in third place in the AL East and trailing the Toronto Blue Jays by 5 1/2 games, still hold a Wild Card berth. They have lost 7 of their last 9 games and lost 2 out of 3 games in their last series at home against the Houston Astros. They lost the finale 7-1 Sunday and had only 3 hits as Astros SP Jason Alexander threw 6 shutout innings. Yankees SP Max Fried (5 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 3 K) fell to 12-5 on the season.
Twins at Yankees projected starters
RHP Zabby Matthews vs. RHP Will Warren
Matthew (3-3, 5.17 ERA) makes his ninth start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 38 1/3 innings.
Warren (6-5, 4.44 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 115 2/3 innings.
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Twins at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.
Twins at Yankees picks and predictions
Yankees 6, Twins 4
Moneyline
The Yankees are 35-23 at home, while the Twins are a paltry 24-36 on the road and 27-40 against teams with winning records. The Yankees have beaten the Twins in 7 straight meetings.
Matthews has not put together 2 good starts all season. His last 3 outings when he allowed 2 or fewer runs were followed up by starts allowing 4 or 5 runs. Meanwhile, Warren has allowed only 1 run in his last 11 innings and is good at Yankee Stadium.
But -175 odds don't give you enough value to bet the Yankees for the straight-up win.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Yankees are only 25-27 ATS as home favorites and 5 of their last 7 wins have only been by 1 run, but 9 of the Twins' last 12 losses have been by 2 or more runs.
The Twins are 26-13 ATS as road underdogs, but Matthews' trend of pitching poorly after a good start and Warren's play at home say follow that.
BET YANKEES -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under
Three of Matthews' last 4 starts have had 9 or more total runs. Four of the Yankees' last 5 wins have had 9 or more total runs while 6 of the Twins' last 8 games overall have had 9 or more total runs.
BET OVER 8.5(-120).
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