Red Sox at Twins Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 28
Boston is 4-5 since the break and won the last two games coming against the Dodgers to take that series. For Minnesota, the Twins re 1-3 in the past four games and 3-6 out of the All-Star break.
Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Red Sox at Twins
Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
Time: 7:40PM EST
Site: Target Field
City: Minneapolis, MN
Network/Streaming: NESN, MNNT
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Red Sox at the Twins
The latest odds as of Monday:
Moneyline: Red Sox (+103), Twins (-123)
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 9.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Red Sox at Twins
Pitching matchup for July 28, 2025: Richard Fitts vs. Simeon Woods Richardson
Red Sox: Richard Fitts, (1-4, 4.87 ERA)
Last outing: 10.80 ERA, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 4 StrikeoutsTwins: Simeon Woods Richardson, (5-4, 4.15 ERA)
Last outing: 9.00 ERA, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 5 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
Red Sox: Richard Fitts, (1-4, 4.87 ERA)
Last outing: 10.80 ERA, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts
Twins: Simeon Woods Richardson, (5-4, 4.15 ERA)
Last outing: 9.00 ERA, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 2 Hits Allowed, 5 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
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Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Red Sox and the Twins
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Red Sox and the Twins:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Boston Red Sox at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 9.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Red Sox at Twins
Boston is 3-1 in the last four games
Minnesota is 1-3 in the last four games
The Red Sox have won their last 4 matchups against American League teams
The Under has cashed in the Red Sox's last 3 games
It has been 3 games since the Twins last covered the Run Line
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
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Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
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