PSX surges nearly 10,000 points on India-Pakistan ceasefire, IMF approval
The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) staged a strong comeback on Monday, driven by a 'convergence of positive developments' including a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan, as well as the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) approval of crucial funding. The benchmark KSE-100 Index surged nearly 10,000 points during the opening hours of trading.
At 9:30am, the benchmark index was hovering at 117,104.11 level, an increase of 9,929.48 points or 9.26%.
'As expected, the Pakistani stock market rallied at the open with the KSE 100 index opening up at a record 9,900 or 9.3%. Sentiments are extremely positive after the ceasefire and approval of the loan tranche by the IMF at the weekend,' said Mohammed Sohail, CEO of Topline Securities, in a note.
Following a 9% jump, market operations were halted temporarily. 'This upside market halt has happened after two years,' said Sohail.
'A powerful convergence of positive developments has set the stage for a potential resurgence in the PSX, with Monday's session expected to open on a markedly bullish note,' said Arif Habib Limited (AHL) in its report on Monday.
The brokerage house anticipates the KSE-100 index to post a strong rally, potentially gaining 6 – 7%, while believing many stocks will close to the upper limit of 10% as investor sentiment flips from fear to opportunity.
'The most significant catalyst is the ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan — a major diplomatic achievement that sharply lowers geopolitical risk in the region. The announcement comes after weeks of tension following the Pahalgam attack, which had triggered aggressive selloffs and fueled widespread investor concerns.
'Adding further momentum is the US President's recent statement pledging support for resolving the Kashmir issue and encouraging enhanced trade relations between India and Pakistan,' read the report.
'Together, the ceasefire, IMF support, monetary easing, and the positive shift in trade relations with the US form a powerful trifecta of bullish triggers just as the market attempts to recover from its recent sharp correction that began on April 22, 2025, following the Pahalgam attack and subsequent regional tensions,' read the report.
AHL noted that since April 22nd, 2025, the KSE-100 index has declined by 12.6%.
During the previous week, the PSX closed in the red, as mounting geopolitical tensions between Pakistan and India weighed heavily on investor sentiment.
Persistent uncertainty surrounding regional stability prompted widespread caution, dragging market performance down throughout the trading week except Friday, in which the market showed strong recovery.
The benchmark KSE-100 Index shed 6,939 points, or 6.1%, on a week-on-week basis, closing at 107,175 points compared to 114,114 points in the previous week.
Internationally, Wall Street stock futures climbed and the dollar firmed against safe haven peers on Monday as signs of progress in US-China trade talks boosted hopes a global recession might be avoided, though details of any deal were still to come.
Geopolitical tensions also looked to be easing as a fragile ceasefire held between India and Pakistan, while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiyy said he was ready to meet Vladimir Putin in Turkey on Thursday for talks.
Over in Geneva, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent touted 'substantial progress' in trade discussions, while Chinese officials said the sides had reached 'important consensus' and agreed to launch another new economic dialogue forum.
A joint statement is expected later on Monday, though it was notable that neither side mentioned tariff rates specifically.
Markets reacted by pushing S&P 500 futures up 1.2%, while Nasdaq futures rose 1.4%. EUROSTOXX 50 futures firmed 0.9%, while FTSE futures added 0.4% and DAX futures 0.7%.
Japan's Nikkei edged up 0.3%, while South Korea gained 0.4%.
This is an intra-day update
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