
Growth still steady, says BNM governor
THE growth in capital imports will strengthen Malaysia's exports in the long term, as the operationalisation of data centre investments is expected to contribute to services exports, says Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour.
Speaking at a media conference on the country's gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the second quarter of 2025 (2Q25) yesterday, the central bank head was commenting on the current account of the balance of payments, which recorded a lower surplus of RM300mil, or 0.1% of GDP, in 2Q25 – compared to the RM16.7bil in 1Q25, which represented 3.4% of GDP.

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Focus Malaysia
7 hours ago
- Focus Malaysia
BNM's interest rate cut stimulates Malaysia's loan, property and economic sectors
THE recent decision by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to reduce the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points to 2.75% marks a strategic shift in monetary policy aimed at revitalising domestic demand and supporting Malaysia's economic recovery amid global uncertainties. This move, the first rate cut since 2023, is expected to have a ripple effect across the loan and property markets, while also stimulating broader economic activity. Lowering the OPR directly reduces the cost of borrowing for both individuals and businesses. For households, especially those with floating-rate mortgages, this translates into lower monthly repayments. For example, a RM500,000 home loan over 30 years could see a reduction of RM70–RM75 per month. This additional disposable income can be redirected toward consumption, savings, or investment, thereby improving household financial resilience. For new borrowers, the lower interest environment enhances loan eligibility, as banks adjust their debt-service ratio calculations, making it easier for first-time homebuyers and middle-income earners to secure financing. In the property market, the OPR cut is expected to boost buyer sentiment and stimulate demand, particularly in the residential segment. With mortgage rates declining, home ownership becomes more affordable, especially for the B40 and M40 groups living in urban areas where housing costs are disproportionately high. Developers may also benefit from increased sales volume, helping to clear existing inventory and revive stalled projects. While the monthly savings from the rate cut may seem modest, they can be significant when combined with other incentives such as stamp duty exemptions, targeted subsidies, and affordable housing schemes. From a macroeconomic perspective, the rate cut serves as a preemptive measure to cushion Malaysia's growth trajectory against external headwinds such as global trade tensions, geopolitical risks, and tariff developments. Domestic demand, which has shown signs of softening due to rising living costs and subsidy rationalisation, is expected to rebound as borrowing becomes more attractive. Businesses, particularly small and medium enterprises (SMEs), can access cheaper credit to expand operations, invest in technology, or manage cash flow more effectively. This, in turn, supports employment and wage growth, reinforcing consumer spending and economic momentum. The property sector, often seen as a bellwether of economic health, stands to gain from improved financing conditions. Lower interest rates reduce the cost of capital for developers and investors, encouraging new launches and infrastructure development. Retail and commercial real estate may also benefit from increased footfall and tenant activity as consumer confidence improves. Additionally, sectors linked to property—such as construction, manufacturing and services—could experience a positive spillover effect, further amplifying the economic impact. BNM's decision also aligns Malaysia with regional monetary trends, where central banks are easing rates to counter global volatility. While savers may face lower returns on fixed deposits, the overall strategy prioritises growth and financial stability. With inflation remaining moderate and the ringgit supported by structural reforms, the rate cut provides a timely boost to Malaysia's economic resilience. In summary, the 25-basis-point reduction in the OPR is more than a technical adjustment—it is a targeted intervention to stimulate loans, energise the property market, and reinforce Malaysia's economic recovery. Its success will depend on complementary fiscal measures, continued policy clarity, and sustained consumer and investor confidence. ‒ Aug 18, 2025 The author is a Research Fellow at the Ungku Aziz Centre for Development Studies (UAC), Universiti Malaya. The views expressed are solely of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Focus Malaysia. Main image: Unsplash/Benjamin Zorn


The Star
13 hours ago
- The Star
Ringgit rally not over yet as analysts eye rate cuts
Malaysia's ringgit is poised to restart a rally, potentially hitting its strongest level against the dollar in almost a year, as analysts see a dovish central bank and fiscal pledges boosting sentiment. The ringgit may appreciate to 4.15 per dollar in the fourth quarter on further central bank easing, according to Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp., while Malayan Banking Bhd . forecasts 4.10 by December. MUFG Bank Ltd. expects a gain of 1.5% from current levels as a US tariff deal boosts Malaysia's export competitiveness. The ringgit's rebound from an April low has stalled, but upcoming inflation data may revive expectations of Bank Negara Malaysia rate cuts, spurring bond inflows. While looser monetary policy can weigh on currencies, prospects of a Federal Reserve cut in September reduce the risk of a selloff against the dollar. Analysts are now focusing on the potential benefits of lower domestic rates, with currency sentiment further buoyed by government structural reforms that may support long-term growth. Expectations for a stronger ringgit also hinge on sustained foreign inflows and the government's "commitment to follow through on fiscal consolidation,' said Christopher Wong, executive director and foreign-exchange strategist at OCBC. His bank projects another rate cut by Malaysia's central bank later this year. Global funds poured a record $4.3 billion into Malaysia's bonds in the second quarter, betting the last rate-cut holdout central bank in Southeast Asia would lower rates - a move BNM delivered with a 25-basis-point reduction in July. Prospects of looser US monetary policy and a weaker dollar may also stoke demand for Malaysia's sovereign debt. Risks remain despite Malaysia securing a reduction in the US reciprocal tariff rate to 19% from a threatened 25%. Some analysts warn that global trade volatility could still weigh on the currency. "The prolonging of the trade uncertainty, and the lingering possibility that the tariffs land higher than current levels' presents a sizable risk for Malaysian businesses, said Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at Ebury Partners. In this scenario, "we would expect a moderate hit to Malaysia's economy, and a more pronounced sell-off in the ringgit,' he said. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim unveiled an ambitious five-year plan to boost growth through 2030, alongside a one-time RM2.8bil stimulus with cash handouts and lower fuel prices. But the government has also made attempts to rein in fiscal largesse, including cutting diesel subsidies and expanding the sales and service tax. These measures, combined with contained inflation - "which could give rise to market expectations for further BNM policy easing,' - are seen as a key pillar for the ringgit's strength, according to Lloyd Chan, a currency strategist at MUFG, who expects the currency to reach 4.15 by year-end. "What stands out for the ringgit is the ongoing government-led structural reforms aimed at boosting productivity and enhancing fiscal discipline, which should provide enduring support for the currency,' he said. The ringgit closed at 4.2120 on Friday. - Bloomberg


Malay Mail
14 hours ago
- Malay Mail
BNM's interest rate cut stimulates Malaysia's loan, property and economic sectors — Cheah Chan Fatt
AUGUST 18 — The recent decision by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to reduce the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points to 2.75 per cent marks a strategic shift in monetary policy aimed at revitalising domestic demand and supporting Malaysia's economic recovery amid global uncertainties. This move, the first rate cut since 2023, is expected to have a ripple effect across the loan and property markets, while also stimulating broader economic activity. Lowering the OPR directly reduces the cost of borrowing for both individuals and businesses. For households, especially those with floating-rate mortgages, this translates into lower monthly repayments. For example, a RM500,000 home loan over 30 years could see a reduction of RM70–RM75 per month. This additional disposable income can be redirected toward consumption, savings, or investment, thereby improving household financial resilience. For new borrowers, the lower interest environment enhances loan eligibility, as banks adjust their debt-service ratio calculations, making it easier for first-time homebuyers and middle-income earners to secure financing. In the property market, the OPR cut is expected to boost buyer sentiment and stimulate demand, particularly in the residential segment. With mortgage rates declining, home ownership becomes more affordable, especially for the B40 and M40 groups living in urban areas where housing costs are disproportionately high. The writer argues that Bank Negara Malaysia's 25-basis-point OPR cut to 2.75 per cent is a strategic move to ease borrowing, spur property demand, and shore up Malaysia's economic resilience amid global headwinds. — Unsplash pic Developers may also benefit from increased sales volume, helping to clear existing inventory and revive stalled projects. While the monthly savings from the rate cut may seem modest, they can be significant when combined with other incentives such as stamp duty exemptions, targeted subsidies, and affordable housing schemes. From a macroeconomic perspective, the rate cut serves as a preemptive measure to cushion Malaysia's growth trajectory against external headwinds such as global trade tensions, geopolitical risks, and tariff developments. Domestic demand, which has shown signs of softening due to rising living costs and subsidy rationalisation, is expected to rebound as borrowing becomes more attractive. Businesses, particularly small and medium enterprises (SMEs), can access cheaper credit to expand operations, invest in technology, or manage cash flow more effectively. This, in turn, supports employment and wage growth, reinforcing consumer spending and economic momentum. The property sector, often seen as a bellwether of economic health, stands to gain from improved financing conditions. Lower interest rates reduce the cost of capital for developers and investors, encouraging new launches and infrastructure development. Retail and commercial real estate may also benefit from increased footfall and tenant activity as consumer confidence improves. Additionally, sectors linked to property — such as construction, manufacturing, and services — could experience a positive spillover effect, further amplifying the economic impact. BNM's decision also aligns Malaysia with regional monetary trends, where central banks are easing rates to counter global volatility. While savers may face lower returns on fixed deposits, the overall strategy prioritises growth and financial stability. With inflation remaining moderate and the ringgit supported by structural reforms, the rate cut provides a timely boost to Malaysia's economic resilience. In summary, the 25-basis-point reduction in the OPR is more than a technical adjustment — it is a targeted intervention to stimulate loans, energise the property market, and reinforce Malaysia's economic recovery. Its success will depend on complementary fiscal measures, continued policy clarity, and sustained consumer and investor confidence. *The author is a Research Fellow at the Ungku Aziz Centre for Development Studies (UAC), Universiti Malaya, and can be reached at [email protected] **This is the personal opinion of the writer or publication and does not necessarily represent the views of Malay Mail.