Analytics project NFC East win totals for Commanders and others
How many games will the Washington Commanders win in 2025? Last season, Washington shocked the world, going 12-5 and reaching the NFC championship game. It was the franchise's best season in 33 years and one year removed from a four-win season.
The Philadelphia Eagles ended the Commanders' dream season in the NFC title game before defeating the Kansas City Chiefs for their second Super Bowl championship.
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Washington spent the offseason trying to catch Philadelphia, which lost some talented defenders in free agency. However, in true Philly fashion, general manager Howie Roseman went defense-heavy in the 2025 NFL draft, using his first five picks on defensive players.
Meanwhile, Commanders' general manager Adam Peters was aggressive this offseason with star quarterback Jayden Daniels entering the second year of his rookie contract. Peters traded for left tackle Laremy Tunsil and wide receiver Deebo Samuel.
Did Washington do enough to catch Philadelphia? Cynthia Frelund, an analytics expert for NFL.com, doesn't believe so, using her model to project the number of wins for all four NFC East teams in 2025.
Frelund on Washington:
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"The Washington Commanders are projected to win 10.2 games and secure an NFC Wild Card after their breakout 2024 season with new head coach Dan Quinn and Offensive Rookie of the Year, quarterback Jayden Daniels," Frelund said. "Washington scored more than nine points per game last season compared to 2023. Daniels elevated everyone around him and was able to extend plays with his legs. General manager Adam Peters went all-in on building around his young quarterback, trading for Deebo Samuel and Laremy Tunsil, and drafting another tackle, Josh Conerly Jr., in the first round. Assuming the Commanders can better protect Jayden Daniels in 2025: Watch out."
This is encouraging for the Commanders. While 10 wins is less than last season, the Eagles won 14 games during the regular season in 2024. Quinn would settle for a Week 18 matchup against Philadelphia to determine the NFC East champion, even if it meant winning one or two fewer games in 2025.
Some analysts are more encouraged by the Cowboys than Frelund. Meanwhile, everyone agrees that the Giants are No. 4.
This article originally appeared on Commanders Wire: How many games will the Commanders win? Analytics predicts NFC East
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