New NCAA Tournament projections for Alabama baseball after takedown of top-ranked Georgia
New NCAA Tournament projections for Alabama baseball after takedown of top-ranked Georgia
Alabama baseball is coming off arguably its best week of the 2025 college baseball season to date.
The Crimson Tide jumped out to a big lead over a Top 25 Troy Trojans team on May 6 for a 10-2 win on the road and followed it up by taking two of three from a Georgia Bulldogs team that was ranked in the top five nationally, including No. 1 in Baseball America's rankings.
Kade Snell, Justin Lebron, Bryce Fowler and Richie Bonomolo had big performances in helping the Crimson Tide quickly forget an ugly 19-3 loss on Friday and rally for a doubleheader sweep on Sunday.
Alabama, up four spots to No. 16 in this week's USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is now 39-13 overall and 15-12 in SEC play entering the final weekend of the regular season. The Crimson Tide also rose four spots in the RPI to No. 8 after beating Georgia and will face the Florida Gators beginning Thursday in Gainesville.
Here are the latest postseason projections for Alabama from Baseball America, D1 Baseball, On3 and others.
Alabama baseball NCAA Tournament projections: Will Crimson Tide host a regional?
Here's where the major outlets see Alabama on the seed line for the 2025 NCAA Tournament entering the final weekend of SEC regular season play.
Baseball America: Alabama is No. 12 overall seed, hosting Wake Forest (34-18), UConn (33-19) and Fairfield (36-15) in Tuscaloosa Regional at Sewell-Thomas Stadium.
D1 Baseball: Alabama is No. 14 overall seed, hosting Southern Miss (38-13), Arizona State (35-18) and Missouri State (27-22) in Tuscaloosa Regional.
The Tennessean: Alabama is No. 10 overall seed, hosting Clemson (38-15), Northeastern (41-9) and Wright State (32-17) in Tuscaloosa Regional.
On3: Alabama is No. 11 overall seed, hosting West Virginia (40-10), East Tennessee State (37-13), and Austin Peay (40-12) in Tuscaloosa Regional.
"Alabama's series win over Georgia was massive for their hosting chances, and they slide into the top 16 as our No. 11 seed in this week's Field of 64," On3's Jonathan Wagner said earlier this week. "The Crimson Tide are 39-13 overall, 15-12 in the SEC and No. 8 in RPI, with a 12-9 Q1 record. If they earn a series win over Florida to end the regular season, top eight becomes a strong possibility, and they're already in the discussion. West Virginia is still in the mix to host, but their RPI is trending the wrong way. They're the first or second team off of the top 16 currently."
Baseball America moved Alabama back into its list of regional site hosts after the series win over Georgia, dropping West Virginia below the Crimson Tide on the seed line.
D1 Baseball also moved Alabama back in as a projected host site with a top 25 Southern Miss team. The Golden Eagles are No. 30 in RPI and ranked No. 19 in the Coaches Poll.
The Tennessean's Aria Gerson has Alabama just below Coastal Carolina and one spot ahead of the Oregon Ducks in her NCAA Tournament bracket predictions.
Top five NCAA Baseball Tournament seed projections, updated May 14
Despite losing back-to-back weekend series (to Arkansas and Florida), the Texas Longhorns (40-10) remain the projected No. 1 overall seed by the four outlets mentioned above. Baseball America has LSU as the No. 2 seed, Auburn at No. 3, Georgia at No. 4, and Arkansas rounding out the top five seeds.
D1 Baseball also has LSU as the No. 2 seed, but with Arkansas at No. 3. Florida State and Vanderbilt round out the top five seeds after the Commodores' big series win in Knoxville. On3 moved Auburn up to its projected No. 2 overall seed.
Alabama schedule 2025
The Crimson Tide travel to Gainesville to face a surging Florida (35-18 overall, 13-14 SEC) team that has won five straight weekend series. Alabama and Florida begin the final weekend of the regular season at 5:30 p.m. CT Thursday. The series can be streamed on SEC Network+.
Contact/Follow us @RollTideWire on X, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Alabama news, notes and opinion.
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