
Dollar Gains and Gold Plunges as Trade Tensions Ease
Gains in the dollar are limited after the US Apr capital goods new orders nondefense ex-aircraft and parts fell more than expected. Also, today's stock rally has curbed liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar still has some negative carryover from last Thursday when the House passed President Trump's tax and spending plan, which would add to the burgeoning US budget deficit.
US Apr capital goods new orders nondefense ex-aircraft and parts fell -1.3% m/m, weaker than expectations of -0.2% m/m and the biggest decline in 6 months.
The US Mar S&P CoreLogic composite-20 home price index rose +4.07% y/y, weaker than expectations of 4.50% y/y and the smallest increase in 1-2/ years.
The Conference Board's US May consumer confidence index rose +12.3 to a 3-month high of 98.0, stronger than expectations of 87.1.
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari said he favors maintaining the fed funds rate at current levels until there is more clarity on the path of tariffs and their impact on prices.
The markets are discounting the chances at 2% for a -25 bp rate cut after the June 17-18 FOMC meeting.
EUR/USD (^EURUSD) today is down by -0.27%. Today's rally in the dollar is undercutting the euro. Losses in the euro are contained following today's better-than-expected Eurozone economic news, which showed strength in the economy. Additionally, hawkish comments from ECB Governing Council member Holzmann today supported the euro since he stated that he doesn't support additional ECB interest rate cuts.
The Eurozone May economic confidence indicator rose +1.0 to 94.8, stronger than expectations of 94.1.
Eurozone Apr new car registrations rose +1.3% y/y to 925,000 units, the first increase in four months.
ECB Governing Council member Holzmann said the ECB moving interest rates 'further south would be more risky than staying where we are and waiting until September.'
Swaps are discounting the chances at 97% for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at the June 5 policy meeting.
USD/JPY (^USDJPY) today is up by +1.06%. The yen today retreated from a 4-week high against the dollar after Japanese government bond yields plunged when Bloomberg News reported that Japan's finance ministry sent a questionnaire to market participants regarding appropriate issuance amounts for government bonds, a sign the finance ministry may seek to reduce debt issuance.
The yen today initially rallied to a 4-week high against the dollar after economic news showed Japan Apr PPI services prices rose more than expected, a hawkish factor for BOJ policy. Also, today's comments from BOJ Governor Ueda supported the yen when he said the BOJ will continue to tighten monetary policy as long as its objectives are met. In addition, lower T-note yields today are supportive of the yen.
Japan Apr PPI services prices rose +3.1% y/y, stronger than expectations of +3.0% y/y.
BOJ Governor Ueda said, 'We will adjust the degree of monetary easing as needed' to ensure that the BOJ achieves its sustainable price goal if incoming news gives authorities greater confidence that their economic expectations will be met.
June gold (GCM2 5) today is down -69.60 (-2.07%), and July silver (SIN2 5) is down -0.389 (-1.16%). Precious metals today are sharply lower on an easing of trade tensions after President Trump extended the deadline on 50% tariffs on EU goods to July 9 from June 1. Also, dollar strength and today's sharp rally in stocks have curbed safe-haven demand for precious metals. In addition, hawkish central bank comments today are weighing on precious metals after Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari and ECB Governing Council member Holzmann said they favor keeping interest rates steady, and BOJ Governor Ueda said the BOJ will keep raising interest rates as long as its objectives are met.
Weakness in today's US economic news is a bearish factor for industrial metals demand and silver prices. Apr capital goods new orders nondefense ex-aircraft and parts posted its biggest decline in 6 months, and the Mar S&P CoreLogic composite-20 home price index posted its smallest increase in 1-1/2 years.
Lower global bond yields today are supportive of precious metals. Also, geopolitical risks in the Middle East continue to support safe-haven demand for precious metals. Gains in silver were limited by concern that an escalation of the global trade war would dampen economic activity and demand for industrial metals.
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Winnipeg Free Press
23 minutes ago
- Winnipeg Free Press
South Korea's Lee must navigate the ‘Trump risk' at key summits in Japan and US
SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — South Korea's President Lee Jae Myung faces a pivotal foreign policy test barely two months after taking office, with back-to-back summits in Tokyo and Washington that reflect the wider struggle of U.S. allies to navigate Donald Trump's unilateral push to redefine postwar orders on trade, security and alliances. The meetings come after Seoul and Tokyo reached trade deals with Washington that spared them from the Trump administration's highest tariffs, but only after pledging hundreds of billions of dollars in new U.S. investments. Trump's transactional approach with long-standing allies extends beyond trade to security and has fueled fears in South Korea that he will demand higher payments to support the U.S. troop presence in the country, even as he possibly seeks to scale back America's military footprint there to focus on China. The looming concerns about a U.S. retreat in leadership and security commitments come as South Korea and Japan confront growing cooperation between their nuclear-armed adversaries, North Korea and Russia, partners in the war in Ukraine and in efforts to break isolation and evade sanctions. Here is what is at stake for the Asian allies of the U.S. as they deal with an America-first president who's more unyielding than his predecessors: Asian allies pulled closer by Trump A day after confirming his Aug. 25 summit with Trump, Lee's office announced he will visit Japan on Aug. 23-24 to meet Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, a rare diplomatic setup that underscores how Trump is drawing closer two often-feuding neighbors with deep-rooted historical grievances. The meeting on Saturday in Tokyo of Lee and Ishiba — who last met on the sidelines of the Group of Seven summit in June — is largely about projecting leverage as the countries seek to coordinate their response to Trump, said Choi Eunmi, an analyst at South Korea's Asan Institute for Policy Studies. 'There is now the Trump risk,' Choi said. 'There's especially a lot of uncertainty in the business sector, so they might discuss ways to ease that uncertainty … not necessarily in joint efforts to confront Trump, but within the framework of trilateral cooperation.' Yukiko Fukagawa, a professor at Japan's Waseda University, said Lee's visit to Tokyo will also be seen positively in Washington, long frustrated by its Asian allies' persistent disputes over Japan's colonial rule of Korea before the end of World War II, and the way these tensions hindered three-way security collaborations. 'Because they have to deal with increasingly challenging mutual counterparts, such as China and America, both Japan and South Korea are under pressure to set aside minor differences to cooperate on larger objectives,' Fukagawa said. Yoshimasa Hayash, Japan's chief cabinet secretary, said Lee's visit will help promote the 'stable development' of bilateral ties as their countries work together on international challenges by utilizing the 'shuttle diplomacy' of regular summits. Lee and Ishiba could discuss restarting long-stalled free trade talks and South Korea's potential entry into the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, or CPTPP, a 12-member Asia-Pacific trade pact that Ishiba has pushed to expand amid tensions over U.S. tariffs. Ishiba, who has met Trump twice in person — at the White House in February and at the G7 in Canada — could also offer Lee tips ahead of his summit in Washington. Seoul and Tokyo clearly share many crucial interests in the face of Trump's efforts to reset global trade and U.S. security commitments. They are both under pressure from Washington to pay more for the tens of thousands of American troops stationed in their countries and also to increase their own defense spending. Their vital automobile and technology industries are vulnerable to Trump's tariff hikes. They navigate a tricky balance between the U.S. and its main rival, China, a growing regional threat that is also the largest trade partner for Seoul and Tokyo. They are alarmed by North Korea's accelerating nuclear program and its deepening alignment with Russia, which could complicate future diplomatic efforts after a long stalemate in U.S.-led denuclearization talks. It makes more sense for South Korea and Japan to work with the Trump administration under a trilateral framework rather than engage Washington separately, especially given how Trump mixes security and economic demands, said Ban Kil-joo, a professor at South Korea's National Diplomatic Academy. For example, the countries could propose a trilateral scheme to support Trump's push to expand natural gas and other energy production in Alaska, rather than negotiating potential investments bilaterally, he said. 'Beyond the drilling project itself, they would need to address security, including protecting maritime routes for the LNG shipments, and that responsibility could count toward defense cost-sharing or higher defense spending,' which Trump demands, Ban said. Modernizing the military alliance Lee's meeting with Trump could include talks to flesh out the details of South Korea's $350 million investment fund for U.S. industries, centered on cooperation in shipbuilding, a sector Trump has highlighted in relation to South Korea. A more crucial topic for the leaders could be the future of their decades-long military alliance, a legacy of the brutal 1950-53 Korean War. The U.S., which keeps about 30,000 troops in South Korea to deter North Korea, has long urged Seoul to accept greater flexibility to use them for missions beyond the Korean Peninsula – a demand that has intensified under Trump. Comments by senior U.S. government and military officials suggest that, in addition to pressing South Korea to pay more for hosting American forces, the Trump administration could seek to reshape U.S. Forces Korea as part of a broader military focus on ensuring capability to respond to a conflict with China over Taiwan. That shift would mean conventionally armed South Korea taking on more of the burden against the North, while the U.S. turns its focus to China. This could affect the size and role of U.S. Forces Korea, leaving Seoul with fewer benefits but higher costs and risks at a time when the North Korean nuclear threat is growing, experts say. South Korean lawmakers have also expressed fears that Washington could ask for Seoul's commitment to intervene if a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, a tricky prospect given South Korea's reliance on China for trade and Beijing's role in dealing with North Korea. South Korea should enter the Trump summit with a clear stance on its role in regional security, Ban said, possibly supporting U.S. efforts to maintain Indo-Pacific stability and opposing changes to the status quo, but without explicitly naming China as an adversary. While potentially accepting a more flexible role for U.S. Forces Korea, South Korea should also seek U.S. commitments to ensure deterrence and readiness against North Korea aren't compromised. American troop deployments off the peninsula could be offset by increased airpower or the arrival of strategic assets like bombers, helping prevent any miscalculation by the North, Ban said. __ AP writer Mari Yamaguchi in Tokyo contributed.


CBC
23 minutes ago
- CBC
Facing calls for removal, Southern Chiefs' grand chief says development deal followed internal process
A Manitoba grand chief says he has no intention of leaving his leadership, despite calls from a group of chiefs for his ouster. Earlier this week, the Southeast Resource Development Council, which represents eight southern Manitoba First Nation communities, publicly released a motion calling for a non-confidence vote to remove Southern Chiefs' Organization Grand Chief Jerry Daniels from his role. The group accused him of acting outside of the organization's constitution by signing an agreement without proper consultation. Daniels said Thursday the memorandum of understanding signed last week with the Manitoba Métis Federation followed internal processes, and had approval from the Southern Chiefs' Organization's executive council. "The MOU draft was introduced back in June [and] shared with the executive representatives who represent those tribal councils, including Southeast [Resource Development Council]," he said. "Where it goes from there, we probably need to tighten up a few processes to make sure that we have a better communications between tribal councils and ourselves. And I think that that is the nature of the conversation that we're going to be having." The Southeast Resource Development Council said Monday it had no part in negotiations with the Métis Federation, and only learned about the deal the day it was publicly announced. The five-year deal would see Southern Chiefs' work together with the federation on major infrastructure and development projects. WATCH | Grand chief responds to calls for his ouster: Manitoba grand chief responds to concerns about his leadership 3 hours ago Grand Chief Jerry Daniels has no plans to step down after the chiefs of some of the First Nations he represents called for a non-confidence vote of his leadership. The concerns stem from an agreement the Southern Chiefs' Organization signed with the Manitoba Métis Federation to work together on major infrastructure and development projects. Peguis First Nation Chief Stan Bird — who is not part of the southeast council, but whose First Nation is one of the 32 represented by the Southern Chiefs' Organization — said he doesn't have an issue with the MOU itself, but questions the process behind it. "The thing I take issue with is the fact that … we shouldn't move in the direction where we're allowing these individual entities to make decisions for our communities," Bird said Thursday. "Those discussions should take place before we arrive at this place. Those discussions didn't happen." The Southeast Resource Development Council said any agreement must be properly vetted through the SCO chiefs-in-summit or chief assembly. Brokenhead Ojibway Nation Chief Gordon Bluesky, who represents one of the communities in the development council, declined to make further comment on the matter during an unrelated event Thursday. Non-confidence vote may be discussed next month Daniels said he's responded to the group's letter and that he's working to meet directly with the eight chiefs. "Until such time that I've lost the confidence of the chiefs, I'll continue to be here," he said. This is the second time Daniels has faced a challenge to his leadership in recent months. The chief's executive committee of the SCO held a summit on his leadership after Daniels was involved in a December 2024 altercation at an Ottawa bar. The Southeast Resource Development Council had threatened to leave SCO if the organization didn't hold the summit before Daniels's return from a leave of absence. The chief's executive committee reinstated him in January, following his leave of absence. Daniels did not say whether a non-confidence vote will be held, but said it may be discussed during a chiefs-in-summit gathering in late September. "In September, I think that the chiefs will see the process that we followed that was internal. And we will be able to move forward," he said.


Globe and Mail
26 minutes ago
- Globe and Mail
Migraine Pipeline Outlook 2025: Clinical Trial Studies, EMA, PDMA, FDA Approvals, MOA, ROA, NDA, IND, and Companies
DelveInsight's, 'Migraine Pipeline Insight 2025' report provides comprehensive insights about 30+ companies and 30+ pipeline drugs in Migraine pipeline landscape. It covers the Migraine pipeline drug profiles, including clinical and nonclinical stage products. It also covers the Migraine Pipeline Therapeutics assessment by product type, stage, route of administration, and molecule type. It further highlights the inactive pipeline products in this space. Explore the comprehensive insights by DelveInsight and stay ahead in understanding the Migraine Treatment Landscape. Click here to read more @ Migraine Pipeline Outlook Key Takeaways from the Migraine Pipeline Report On 17 August 2025, Teva Branded Pharmaceutical Products R&D LLC announced a study is to evaluate the long-term safety and tolerability of subcutaneous fremanezumab in the preventive treatment of migraine in pediatric participants 6 to 17 years of age (inclusive at enrollment in the pivotal study). On 15 August 2025, Pfizer conducted a study is to learn about the effect of a study medicine called rimegepant in adolescents who have frequent migraine attacks. Rimegepant is a tablet that dissolves when you put it on or under your tongue. On 15 August 2025, AbbVie announced a study is to evaluate how safe and effective ubrogepant is in the acute treatment of migraine in children and adolescents. The study will include 2 cohorts of participants - PK Cohort and Main Study (non-PK cohort) DelveInsight's Migraine pipeline report depicts a robust space with 30+ active players working to develop 30+ pipeline therapies for Migraine treatment. The leading Migraine Companies such as Satsuma Pharmaceuticals, Biohaven Pharmaceuticals, Allodynic Therapeutics, Vaxxinity, AbbVie, Pulmatrix, AEON Biopharma, Eli Lilly and Company, Trevena, Xoc Pharmaceuticals, Pharmaleads, Pear Therapeutics and others. Promising Migraine Pipeline Therapies such as ALD403 (Eptinezumab), Ketorolac, Sumatriptan, divalproex sodium, Erenumab, GSK1838262, ALD403 and others. Stay informed about the cutting-edge advancements in Migraine Treatments. Download for updates and be a part of the revolution in Neurology care @ Migraine Clinical Trials Assessment Migraine Emerging Drugs Profile AXS-07: Axsome Therapeutics AXS-07 is a novel, oral, rapidly absorbed, multi-mechanistic, investigational medicine. AXS-07 consists of MoSEIC (Molecular Solubility Enhanced Inclusion Complex) meloxicam and rizatriptan. AXS-07 is thought to act by inhibiting Calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) release, reversing CGRP-mediated vasodilation, and inhibiting neuroinflammation, pain signal transmission, and central sensitization. Meloxicam is a new molecular entity for migraine enabled by MoSEIC™ technology, which results in rapid absorption of meloxicam while maintaining a long plasma half-life. AXS-07 is currently being developed for the acute treatment of migraine. The product is in the NDA submitted phase of development. STS-101: Satsuma Pharmaceuticals STS101 combines the Satsuma powder technology with an easy-to-use nasal delivery device to create a reliable and convenient DHE product potentially able to provide the unique clinical advantages of DHE while overcoming the shortcomings of existing DHE products. TS101 has a number of key advantages that we believe may provide significant benefits over other acute treatments for migraine and result in robust and consistent clinical performance. These advantages arise from our proprietary dry-powder formulation, which incorporates a mucoadhesive drug carrier and engineered drug particle technologies, and our proprietary nasal delivery device. STS101 is an investigational product that is currently being evaluated in Phase 3 clinical trials for the acute treatment of migraine and is not approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Zavegepant: Biohaven Pharmaceuticals Zavegepant (BHV-3500) is a third generation, high affinity, selective and structurally unique, small molecule CGRP receptor antagonist. The chemical properties of zavegepant make the product candidate potentially suitable for multiple routes of delivery, including nasal, subcutaneous, inhalation or oral is currently in Phase III stage of development for Migraine and is being developed by Biohaven Pharmaceuticals. TNX1900: Tonix Pharmaceuticals TNX-1900(Oxytocin), Tonix's proprietary potentiated intranasal oxytocin is in the pre-Investigational New Drug (IND) stage and is currently being studied as a candidate for prophylaxis of chronic migraine. Oxytocin is a naturally occurring human hormone that acts as a neurotransmitter in the brain. In clinical and preliminary research, it has been observed that increased oxytocin levels can relieve headaches. When oxytocin is delivered via the nasal route, it results in enhanced binding to receptors on neurons in the trigeminal system, inhibiting transmission of pain signals. Intranasal oxytocin has been well tolerated in several clinical trials in adults and children and has been shown to block calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) release in animals, a pathway known to be critical to the pathogenesis of migraine attacks. TNX-1900 is believed to interrupt pain signals at the trigeminal ganglia by suppressing electrical impulses, a potentially different activity than drugs that just block CGRP. TNX-1900 is an investigational new drug and has not been approved for any indication. The Migraine pipeline report provides insights into The report provides detailed insights about companies that are developing therapies for the treatment of Migraine with aggregate therapies developed by each company for the same. It accesses the Different therapeutic candidates segmented into early-stage, mid-stage, and late-stage of development for Migraine Treatment. Migraine Companies are involved in targeted therapeutics development with respective active and inactive (dormant or discontinued) projects. Migraine Drugs under development based on the stage of development, route of administration, target receptor, monotherapy or combination therapy, a different mechanism of action, and molecular type. Detailed analysis of collaborations (company-company collaborations and company-academia collaborations), licensing agreement and financing details for future advancement of the Migraine market. Get a detailed analysis of the latest innovations in the Migraine pipeline. Explore DelveInsight's expert-driven report today! @ Migraine Unmet Needs Migraine Companies Satsuma Pharmaceuticals, Biohaven Pharmaceuticals, Allodynic Therapeutics, Vaxxinity, AbbVie, Pulmatrix, AEON Biopharma, Eli Lilly and Company, Trevena, Xoc Pharmaceuticals, Pharmaleads, Pear Therapeutics and others. Migraine pipeline report provides the therapeutic assessment of the pipeline drugs by the Route of Administration. Products have been categorized under various ROAs such as Intra-articular Intraocular Intrathecal Intravenous Ophthalmic Oral Parenteral Subcutaneous Topical Transdermal Migraine Products have been categorized under various Molecule types such as Oligonucleotide Peptide Small molecule Discover the latest advancements in Migraine Treatment by visiting our website. Stay informed about how we're transforming the future of neurology @ Migraine Market Drivers and Barriers, and Future Perspectives Scope of the Migraine Pipeline Report Coverage- Global Migraine Companies- Satsuma Pharmaceuticals, Biohaven Pharmaceuticals, Allodynic Therapeutics, Vaxxinity, AbbVie, Pulmatrix, AEON Biopharma, Eli Lilly and Company, Trevena, Xoc Pharmaceuticals, Pharmaleads, Pear Therapeutics and others. Migraine Pipeline Therapies- ALD403 (Eptinezumab), Ketorolac, Sumatriptan, divalproex sodium, Erenumab, GSK1838262, ALD403 and others. Migraine Therapeutic Assessment by Product Type: Mono, Combination, Mono/Combination Migraine Therapeutic Assessment by Clinical Stages: Discovery, Pre-clinical, Phase I, Phase II, Phase III For a detailed overview of our latest research findings and future plans, read the full details of Migraine Pipeline on our website @ Migraine Emerging Drugs and Companies Table of Content Introduction Executive Summary Migraine: Overview Pipeline Therapeutics Therapeutic Assessment Migraine– DelveInsight's Analytical Perspective Late Stage Products (Pre-Registration) AXS-07: Axsome Therapeutics Drug profiles in the detailed report….. Last Stage Products (Phase III) STS-101: Satsuma Pharmaceuticals Drug profiles in the detailed report….. Mid Stage Products (Phase II) TNX1900: Tonix Pharmaceuticals Drug profiles in the detailed report….. Preclinical and Discovery Stage Products Drug name: Company Name Drug profiles in the detailed report….. Inactive Products Migraine Key Companies Migraine Key Products Migraine - Unmet Needs Migraine - Market Drivers and Barriers Migraine - Future Perspectives and Conclusion Migraine Analyst Views Migraine Key Companies Appendix About Us DelveInsight is a leading healthcare-focused market research and consulting firm that provides clients with high-quality market intelligence and analysis to support informed business decisions. With a team of experienced industry experts and a deep understanding of the life sciences and healthcare sectors, we offer customized research solutions and insights to clients across the globe. Connect with us to get high-quality, accurate, and real-time intelligence to stay ahead of the growth curve. Media Contact Company Name: DelveInsight Business Research LLP Contact Person: Yash Bhardwaj Email: Send Email Phone: 09650213330 Address: 304 S. Jones Blvd #2432 City: Las Vegas State: NV Country: United States Website: