
Navigating Pakistan's debt quagmire through Islamic finance
Yet, within this crucible of challenge lies an opportunity for Pakistan to forge a new path forward, one that is guided by visionary leadership, innovative economic strategies, and a steadfast commitment to the well-being of its people.
Pakistan's economic landscape is characterized by a substantial debt portfolio; with the country's total public debt obligations reaching a staggering USD 271.29 (PKR 76.01 trillion), as per the Economic Survey of Pakistan 2024-25. This monumental figure comprises USD 183.88 (PKR 51.52 trillion) in domestic debt, underscoring the government's significant reliance on internal borrowing, and USD 79.13 (PKR 24.49 trillion) in external debt (32.2% of the total), highlighting the country's exposure to global financial markets. However, the debt from IMF stands at USD 8.28 (PKR 2.319 trillion).
The aggregate debt and liabilities have skyrocketed to a staggering USD 320.65 billion (PKR 89.834 trillion), underscoring the imperative for prudent fiscal management and strategic debt restructuring.
Beyond the government's narrative of economic resurgence, anchored by a projected GDP growth rate of 2.7% in the forthcoming fiscal year, lies a far more pressing concern for the average citizen struggling to make ends meet.
The quintessential question on everyone's mind is: how can Pakistan escape the grip of high inflation, unemployment (8.0), and an ever-increasing debt burden, which threatens to undermine the very fabric of the nation's economic stability and prosperity?
The answer to this million-dollar question holds the key to unlocking a brighter future for 44.7 % of Pakistan's population (approx.107 millions) living below the poverty line, and it is imperative that policymakers and stakeholders work in tandem to devise effective solutions to alleviate these pressing economic challenges.
The adoption of cash and asset-based Waqf, a time-tested Islamic financial instrument, presents a viable solution to Pakistan's economic conundrums. Waqf, as a socio-financial approach in Islam, refers to the dedication of property or wealth for religious or charitable purpose. With its roots in the prophetic era, Waqf has evolved over centuries, demonstrating remarkable resilience and efficacy.
During the Caliphate period, Umayyad and Mamluk eras, and notably, the Ottoman Empire, Waqf played a pivotal role in fostering economic growth, social welfare, and infrastructure development. By leveraging Waqf's potential, Pakistan can unlock new avenues for sustainable development, poverty alleviation, and economic stability, thereby harnessing the power of Islamic finance to drive inclusive growth and prosperity.
Waqf stands as a shining cornerstone of Islamic finance, with its landscape in numerous countries. From the oil-rich nations of Qatar and Saudi Arabia to the vibrant economies of Malaysia and Indonesia, Waqf has been successfully integrated into diverse financial ecosystems.
Singapore, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates have also harnessed its potential, showcasing Waqf's versatility and impact. As a testament to its enduring value, Waqf continues to inspire innovative financial solutions, fostering economic growth, social welfare, and sustainable development worldwide.
By combining the redistributive power of cash and asset-based financing of Waqf with Zakat, visionary nations have synergized the potent forces. By harmonizing these two pillars of Islamic finance, countries have created a powerful framework for poverty alleviation, economic empowerment, and sustainable development. This strategic fusion has yielded remarkable outcomes, demonstrating the immense potential of integrated Zakat and Waqf models.
In a compelling critique of conventional financial frameworks, the book 'Beyond the IMF (2024)' masterfully articulated the limitations of traditional financial paradigms, paving the way for a revolutionary concept: the Muslim Common Waqf. This visionary idea, coupled with Pakistan's pioneering National Waqf Common Pool, offers a beacon of hope for Muslim countries seeking greater financial autonomy and self-sufficiency.
By harnessing the collective potential of Waqf, nations can break free from the shackles of sovereign and domestic financial dependency; unlock new avenues for economic growth and prosperous future.
As Pakistan's debt trajectory hurtles towards a precarious PKR 87 trillion by FY 2026, the imperative for innovative debt management strategies has never been more pressing. To avert this financial precipice, it is crucial to devise visionary plans that can effectively mitigate the debt burden, unlock new revenue streams, and catalyze sustainable economic growth.
As the Government of Pakistan contemplates the privatization of 24 State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs), a critical question arises: can the nation's economic sovereignty be compromised for the sake of fiscal expediency? Allowing foreign entities and potentially hostile interests to assume control of strategic assets would be a perilous gamble, undermining the country's economic autonomy. The resounding answer is a thunderous 'NO!' to the wholesale privatization of vital SOEs.
The establishment of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) marks a significant milestone in Pakistan's economic reform agenda. By providing a platform for streamlined facilitation and coordination, SIFC aims to foster a conducive investment environment, attracting both B2B and G2G investments. This initiative is expected to yield substantial benefits, including enhanced economic activity, job creation, and accelerated growth, ultimately contributing to the nation's long-term economic prosperity.
We harbor boundless optimism and soaring aspirations for the SIFC, envisioning it as a transformative catalyst that will unlock Pakistan's vast economic potential.
In tandem with its economic reform initiatives, Pakistan can shatter the shackles of crippling domestic debt, amounting to PKR 51.52 trillion, a staggering 67.8% of the total debt burden by unlocking the potential of Waqf. By harnessing the transformative power of the Waqf Fund (WF), the nation can envision a debt-free future, liberated from the weight of internal borrowing. Well beyond a financial mechanism, strategic mobilization of Waqf assets is a farsighted way to fiscal sustainability, inclusive growth, and intergenerational equity.
Leveraging this Islamic economic instrument could not only alleviate the short-term budget pressure but also restore public confidence, advance socio-economic justice, and propel long-term national strength.
With proper policy commitment and institutional setup, Waqf is poised to emerge as a game-changer and revolutionary pillar of Pakistan's economic rejuvenation which turns tradition into transformation, and religion into a bedrock of sustainable prosperity.
(The writer is PhD (Management) from PBS-UPM, Malaysia. Policy Researcher / Policy Analyst and a writer of Political Economy of Bureaucracy in Pakistan-2020)Email:[email protected]
Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Business Recorder
16 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Japanese yen-led dollar pullback to offer mild support to Indian rupee at open
MUMBAI: The Indian rupee is poised to open slightly higher on Tuesday, supported by a retreat in the dollar index that was largely triggered by a post-electionrally in the Japanese yen. The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated the rupee will open in the 86.20-86.22 range, versus 86.2925 in the previous session. On Monday, the Indian rupee weakened to 86.35 per dollar, its lowest level in a month, extending its losing streak to four sessions. Bankers attributed the decline to sustained dollar demand from importers and positioning in the non-deliverable forward (NDF) market. A lack of equity inflows has added to the pressure on the currency. The trading range on USD/INR 'has probably shifted higher,' with the 86.00–86.10 now acting as a support zone, a currency trader at a Mumbai-based bank said. 'Interbank is more inclined to buying dips than trying to call the top,' the trader added. The rupee at open is likely to find some support from the drop in the dollar index, which slid 0.62% on Monday — its steepest fall in over a month. The decline was spurred by a 1% jump in the yen. While the ruling coalition lost its majority, Prime Minister Ishiba's remarks that he would stay offered comfort to the yen, analysts said. Outside the yen, other Asian currencies were mixed on Tuesday, with the focus squarely on any progress on trade talks before the August 1 deadline for countries to strike deals with the U.S. or face high tariffs. Focus will also be on the outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Last week, Fed Governor Christopher Waller signalled he may dissent at next week's meeting, where policymakers are widely expected to keep rates unchanged. 'Waller remains in the distinct minority of two. We'll likely need to see very soft data, especially on the labour market, to convince investors that early cuts are on the table,' ING Bank said in a note.


Business Recorder
20 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Thar Block mine expansion: SECMC inks Islamic facility pact with MBL
KARACHI: Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company (SECMC) and Meezan Bank Limited signed an Islamic Facility Agreement to fund the expansion of Phase III mine expansion of the Thar Block II. Under this arrangement, syndicate comprising of United Bank Limited, Askari Bank Limited, Sindh Bank Limited and Pak China Investment Company Limited led by Meezan Bank Limited will provide Islamic financing to scale up the coal production from the current 7.6 million tons per annum (MTPA) to 11.2 MTPA. Under the continued leadership of the Government of Sindh (GoS), SECMC's historic journey began in 2019 when it became the country's first public-private partnership to demonstrate the commercial viability of Thar coal for power generation. In 2022, the SECMC expanded its operations to 7.6 MTPA taking total a power generation from Thar Block II to 1320 MW, and now, with Phase III underway, it aims to further strengthen Pakistan's energy security by converting 660 MW Lucky Electric Power Company Limited (LEPCL) power plant to Thar Coal. Speaking on the occasion, Amir Iqbal, CEO of the SECMC, acknowledged the support of the Government of Sindh, Meezan Bank, and all stakeholders involved. He said that the Thar Block II development started as a bold idea and proved that indigenous coal could energize Pakistan. This financing and continued relationship with Meezan and other members of the syndicate takes us closer to our Phase III goal and brings us a step further in delivering low-cost electricity through domestic resources, he added. 'It also marks as a significant milestone in SECMC's vision to energize Pakistan's future through world-class, sustainable mining,' he added. Currently, the SECMC is energizing over 3 million households and have contributed to foreign exchange savings of approximately $1.6 billion since inception. Thar Coal Power plants' consistent ranking are among the top positions on the economic merit order issued by National Transmission & Despatch Company (NTDC) makes Thar coal as the most cost-effective baseload fuel in the country. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025


Business Recorder
21 hours ago
- Business Recorder
The balance of payments
The balance of payments figures of Pakistan for the full year, 2024-25, were released a few days ago by the SBP. There is an overall balance of payments surplus of USD 3.7 billion, in comparison to a surplus of USD 2.9 billion in 2023-24. However, a stark transformation is visible in the nature of the balance of payments in 2024-25 as compared to the magnitudes in 2023-24. The current account balance has been transformed from a deficit of USD 2.1 billion in 2023-24 to a surplus of USD 2.1 billion in 2024-25. This is due to the quantum jump in home remittances of over USD 8 billion, implying an extraordinarily high growth rate of 38.3 percent. Clearly, the overall level of remittances is unlikely to have increased by over USD 8 billion. This is due to the intervention by the SBP for the first time in the foreign exchange market and replacement thereby of hundi/havala transactions. In the absence of such a big intervention the likelihood is that the current account would have been in a deficit of USD 6 billion, unless strong physical controls were applied on imports. Given the enhanced reserves position of the SBP, the controls on imports of goods have visibly been relaxed. The growth in the value of imports of goods has been unusually high at over 11 percent. The real source of worry is the disappointing performance of exports. They have shown a very modest growth rate of only 4 percent. If Pakistan is to reach a position of sustainable external balance of payments, exports in coming years will have to approach a double-digit growth rate; otherwise, exiting from IMF support will be infeasible. Perhaps, another surprising outcome is the virtually unchanged level of primary income in the current account. Clearly, profit repatriation by multinational companies in Pakistan has not increased because of stagnant profitability in the domestic market. Interest payments ought to have been somewhat higher in the face of the rising stock of external debt of Pakistan. The good news is the over 9 percent increase in exports of services. This is probably due at least partially to the fast increase in IT exports. Hopefully, this growth rate will be sustained and perhaps enhanced in coming years. Overall, the over 25 percent growth in secondary income and over USD 38 billion in workers' remittances have led to the surplus in the current account of USD 2 billion. Turning the financial account, the outcome is a big decline in the surplus. It was USD 5.4 billion in 2023-24 and has declined by over USD 3.9 billion to only USD 1.5 billion in 2024-25. The level of foreign investment has remained unchanged at USD 1.8 billion. There has been a net outflow of portfolio funds. This has happened despite the strong boom in the stock market in Pakistan. This highlights the continuing lack of confidence of the international private sector in the Pakistan economy. The net inflow into the Government account has been only marginally higher. It was USD 1.6 billion in 2023-24 which has increased to USD 2.3 billion in 2024-25. Both disbursement and amortization have shown increases. The other inflows into the financial account, especially to the private sector, have turned negative. They were USD 2 billion in 2023-24 but have turned negative by USD 2.6 billion in 2024-25. This is another worrying development. The foreign exchange reserves have been bolstered significantly by USD 5.1 billion. This is due to the extent of USD 3.7 billion to the overall surplus in the balance of payments and USD 1.4 billion of net inflow from the IMF in the first year of the IMF extended facility. The level of foreign exchange reserves of the SBP at the end of 2024-25 stands at USD 14.1 billion. This provides import cover of almost 2.5 months' of imports. However, unusual short-term fluctuations have been observed in foreign exchange reserves. They fell temporarily to only USD 9.1 billion on the 20th of June 2025. This magnitude of fluctuation in foreign exchange reserves does not auger well for stability in the value of the rupee. There is need to develop an outlook for the balance of payments in 2025-26. The first indicator is the estimated net inflow of external resources into the federal government account. According to the Budget in Brief publication of the federal ministry of finance, the net inflow of external resources in 2025-26 is projected to decline massively from Rs 2,583 billion in 2024-25 to only Rs 105 billion in 2025-26, due to a quantum jump of 70 percent in external debt repayment. The IMF has also made projections of the balance of payments in the Staff Report after the successful completion of the first review. The outlook for 2025-26 is for a current account deficit of USD 1.5 billion. Further, the financial account is also anticipated to be lower than the level in 2024-25 by USD 1 billion. The pre-condition for continuation of some buildup of foreign exchange reserves in 2025-26 is for Pakistan to continue operating within the External Fund Facility of the IMF. This will lead to a net inflow of USD 1.9 billion as compared to only USD 0.5 billion in 2024-25. Overall, the balance of payments position in 2025-26 may become more fragile without a big increase in home remittances as in 2024-25. Already, after a year of demonstrated strength of the rupee, there are now indications of faster decline in the value of the rupee. The SBP and the Ministry of Finance will need to maintain vigilance and take action whenever necessary. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025