Mamdani ahead of Cuomo in ranked choice voting: NYC mayoral poll
The survey of Democratic mayoral primary of early voters and likely voters from PIX11 News, Emerson College, and The Hill shows Mamdani winning in the final round, 52%, to Cuomo's 48%.
More News: NY Elections
Cuomo has the greatest number of first-choice ballots, with the first round of the ranked choice voting simulation showing him at 36%, Mamdani at 34%, and New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 13%. Cuomo maintains his lead as the simulation plays out until the final round, when Lander is eliminated and the majority of his 'second choice' ballots flow to Mamdani.
Mamdani and Lander have cross-endorsed each other, urging their supporters to rank the other candidate second on their ballots. The cross endorsement is one of the several major developments this polling captures for the first time.
Conducted June 18-20, the polling surveys New Yorkers following major late breaking campaign developments, including: several cross-endorsements, the final Democratic primary debate, Lander's brief detention by ICE just outside of federal immigration court, a controversy surrounding Mamdani's defense of the words 'globalize the intifada,' Sen. Bernie Sanders endorsing Mamdani, Cuomo gaining increasing support in the Jewish community and several influential opinion pieces on the pages of The New York Times.
Developments over the weekend, like former President Bill Clinton endorsing Cuomo, would not have been a factor for voters surveyed.
If the poll ends up being a predictor of the June 24 Democratic Primary result, it would mark a meteoric rise for Mamdani, who was polling at 1% in Emerson's first survey in February.
The poll also found that most New York City Democratic primary voters have made up their minds, with only 4% still undecided.
The most recent independent polling from a major organization prior to this poll from PIX11 News and Emerson came from Marist. Marist found that about 11% of primary voters were undecided and found Cuomo winning by double digits both in the first and final rounds.
A source close to the Cuomo campaign said its internal polling is more consistent with the findings of the Marist poll. However, with early voting turnout nearly double what it was four years ago, especially in deeply liberal pockets of Manhattan and Brooklyn, Mamdani's campaign is projecting confidence.
Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
33 minutes ago
Nevada governor's race shaping up as a marquee battle in a state carried by Trump
LAS VEGAS -- Setting the stage for what is expected to be a highly competitive fight for Nevada governor, Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford announced Monday he will challenge Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo next year. Ford represents the highest-profile Democrat to enter the still-emerging contest in a battleground state carried by President Donald Trump in 2024. In the election, Trump made gains among younger voters, voters without a college degree and Black and Hispanic men. 'Nevadans are suffering in an economy that is rigged against those trying their hardest to stay afloat,' Ford said in a statement. "I will work to lower the crushing cost of housing and prescription drugs, strengthen our public schools and ensure every community in Nevada is safe.' The Better Nevada PAC — which supports Lombardo — called Ford a 'radical' who has pushed a 'dangerous woke agenda' on Nevada families. Even with the primary election nearly a year away, the race is widely seen as a toss-up, in part because Nevada is narrowly divided between Democrats and Republicans. As in many parts of the country, residents continue to be stressed by the cost of living and a lack of affordable housing. The race will unfold during an unsettled time nationally, with Democrats still trying to recast their brand after 2024 losses in Congress and the White House. Meanwhile, recent polling found only about one-quarter of U.S. adults say that President Donald Trump's policies have helped them since he took office. The poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found underwhelming marks for the president on key issues, including the economy, immigration, government spending and health care. Lombardo, who is expected to run for reelection, would come to the race with the advantages of incumbency. Not surprisingly in a swing state, he has sought to fashion a generally middle-ground Republican reputation at a time when Americans are deeply divided by partisan politics. Last month, Lombardo unexpectedly vetoed a bill that would have required voters to show a photo ID at the polls — a conservative priority across the country and something that has been on Lombardo's legislative wish list. The bill came together as a compromise between the governor and the top Democrat in the state Assembly, who wanted to add more drop boxes for mail ballots in the days leading up to an election. In his veto message, Lombardo said he 'wholeheartedly' supports voter ID laws but felt the final version fell short on addressing his concerns about ballots cast by mail, because such ballots could still be accepted 'solely on the basis of a signature match' under the bill. If elected, Ford would be Nevada's first Black governor. University of Nevada, Las Vegas, political scientist David Damore said Democrats have lost ground in the state. But there is a path for Ford if the party can make the election a referendum on the Trump economy — including cuts for Medicaid and green energy programs and declining Las Vegas tourism — while avoiding identity politics issues that have cost Democrats with voters. 'A caveat is there is no U.S. Senate race in 2026, which typically injects lots of Democratic resources into the state,' he added in an email.
an hour ago
Wisconsin's Democratic secretary of state won't run for governor but mulls lieutenant governor bid
MADISON, Wis. -- Wisconsin's Democratic Secretary of State Sarah Godlewski doesn't plan to run for governor or for a full term in her current position, but she is considering running for lieutenant governor next year, an adviser said Monday. Democratic Gov. Tony Evers announced Thursday that he won't seek a third term in the battleground state, creating an open race next year. Godlewski was one of several Democrats mentioned as a possible contender. But on Monday, Godlewski made it clear that she is instead looking into running for the state's No. 2 role, instead of governor or secretary of state. 'She is making calls to leaders across the state and will make a final decision on a run in the coming weeks,' adviser Scott Spector said. 'If she gets in this race, it will be with significant support from elected and local Democrats from across Wisconsin.' Godlewski, 43, was appointed by Evers as secretary of state in March 2023 after the incumbent resigned less than three months into his term. Unlike in most states, the office does not run elections in Wisconsin and has almost no official duties. Godlewski previously served as state treasurer from 2019 to 2023 and ran for U.S. Senate in 2022 but she dropped out of the race to clear the way for then-Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes to win the nomination. He lost in the general election and is now among those considering a run for governor. Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez announced her candidacy for governor on Friday, and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley said he plans to take steps soon to mount a run. Other Democrats considering a run include Attorney General Josh Kaul, Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson, state Sen. Kelda Roys and Barnes. Evers told reporters in Milwaukee on Monday that he was unlikely to endorse anyone in the primary. 'I'll never say never, but I want to make sure who the rest of the candidates are before I even make that decision," Evers said. There are two announced candidates on the Republican side: Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann and manufacturer Bill Berrien. Other Republicans considering running for governor include U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany and state Senate President Mary Felzkowski, Former Republican Gov. Scott Walker released a video on Sunday saying he would not be running for the office he held from 2011 until 2019. Walker had jokingly hinted that he might consider a run in a post on X last week, but on Sunday said he would instead be focused on his work as president of the Young America's Foundation, which tries to get college-aged conservatives involved in politics.
New York Post
5 hours ago
- New York Post
NYC mayoral frontrunner Zohran Mamdami addresses Midtown mass shooting from Uganda compound
Democratic nominee for mayor Zohran Mamdani addressed the mass shooting at a Park Avenue office building while at his family's private compound in Uganda where he is celebrating his wedding. 'I'm heartbroken to learn of the horrific shooting in midtown and I am holding the victims, their families, and the NYPD officer in critical condition in my thoughts,' Mamdani wrote in a post to X. 'Grateful for all of our first responders on the ground,' he concluded. Mamdani is currently in Uganda celebrating his nuptials at a heavily-guarded private compound in the wealthy Buziga Hill area outside the capital city Kampala.
