XRP on the rise — technical prediction signals bullish breakout imminent as analysts target $3.80 surge
This isn't just chart pattern hopium. There are converging signals — from MACD shifts to liquidity flows — that are giving seasoned market watchers reason to lean bullish. And the implications extend beyond a short-term pop.
XRP technical backdrop:
On August 13,
The Tradable
reported a
bullish pennant
formation emerging on XRP's daily chart, paired with a
MACD bullish crossover
— a classic momentum trigger that, in past XRP cycles, has preceded rallies of 25–40% within weeks.
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Volume data reinforces the signal. Trading activity spiked to
~387,000 XRP on major spot exchanges
on August 12, the highest daily turnover since July 24, according to CoinGlass. That's important — breakouts without volume tend to fade; this one has the backing of actual capital rotation.
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The
RSI reading at ~54
tells another story: the market isn't overheated yet. Compare this to early July, when an RSI above 70 preceded a 9% pullback from $3.26.
Short-term support levels are firming around:
EMA-20
near
$3.14
(holding since August 8)
EMA-50
near
$2.93
(last breached in late June before the 15% rebound from $2.60)
If $3.14 holds through the next Fed commentary cycle, $3.80 becomes technically plausible in Q3.
XRP is no longer trading in Bitcoin's shadow
One underappreciated driver here is XRP's
decoupling
from Bitcoin's intraday swings. In July 2024, XRP's 30-day rolling correlation with BTC sat at 0.81 — essentially lockstep. By August 2025, that figure has dropped to
0.58
(Kaiko Analytics), signaling that XRP is increasingly moving on its own catalysts.
Why? Partly because institutional flows are changing. According to
CoinShares' Digital Asset Fund Flows report (Aug 12)
, XRP-focused investment products saw $9.1 million in inflows last week — the highest since March — while Bitcoin funds recorded mild outflows.
Legal clarity and payment adoption are quietly reshaping the risk profile
Ever since Ripple's
July 2023 partial court victory
against the SEC, the token's regulatory overhang has eased. That matters in 2025 because large payment corridors — especially in Southeast Asia and the Middle East — are experimenting with XRP-based cross-border settlements.
Ripple's Q2 2025 report revealed that
ODL (On-Demand Liquidity) transactions
are now live in
27 new banking relationships
, including two mid-tier UAE institutions that were previously skeptical of crypto rails. This adoption isn't priced into short-term technical models, but it's the kind of structural shift that can sustain higher price floors.
Short-Term Data Trends (Daily to Weekly)
Price Movement
: XRP slipped from mid-July's high (~$3.66) down to test critical support near
$3.08–$3.10
.
Volatility & Liquidations
: A rush of sell-offs triggered over
$1 billion in liquidations
, costing XRP about 7% intraday, though late-session buying hinted at stabilization.
Technical Levels
:
Support stands firm near
$3.08–$3.10
.
Resistance remains stout in the
$3.33–$3.50
zone .
Chart patterns: A symmetrical triangle, trading between ~$3.20 and ~$3.30–$3.34, hints at a breakout point ahead.
Long-Term Historical Context
52-Week Range
: XRP's six-month low hovered around
$1.64
, with a high near
$3.66
in July 2025.
Multi-Year Returns
:
Year-to-date (2025)
gain: approximately
+450%.
All-time high
: $3.84 (early 2018)
Lowest ever price
: around $0.0028 in July 2014
Risks that could derail the $3.80 move
The bullish case isn't bulletproof. A few red flags worth tracking:
Macro shocks
— If the Fed surprises with a hawkish turn in September, risk assets, including XRP, could face temporary drawdowns.
Liquidity traps
— Whales have been unusually active near $3.30, with on-chain data from Santiment showing two addresses moving over
28 million XRP
to exchanges in the last week.
Regulatory surprises
— The SEC's ongoing appeal process still hangs in the background, even if momentum seems against them.
Beyond $3.80 — is $5 realistic in 2025?
Some analysts, like Bitget's June forecast, argue for
$5 before year-end
, citing the possibility of an ETF-like XRP investment vehicle in Asia. While plausible, the path to $5 would likely require:
A confirmed breakout above $3.80 with volume exceeding 500K daily XRP.
Sustained inflows into altcoin-focused funds.
No major regulatory curveballs in Q4.
Historically, XRP has needed
macro tailwinds plus a fundamental catalyst
to break multi-year resistance. The last such run was in late 2020–early 2021, when settlement hype combined with a crypto-wide bull phase to send XRP up 480% in five months.
Right now, $3.80 isn't just a number on a chart — it's the market's line in the sand between a consolidation phase and the start of a more aggressive rally. The indicators are aligned, institutional money is trickling in, and macro conditions are relatively supportive.
But crypto history is littered with 'perfect setups' that fizzled when one unexpected variable changed. Traders chasing the $3.80 move should have exit plans, and investors should see it as one chapter in XRP's longer-term story — a story increasingly shaped by real-world payment adoption, not just speculative cycles.
FAQs:
Q1. What is the current
XRP price prediction
for short term?
Around $3.33–$3.50 if support holds near $3.10.
Q2. Can XRP reach the $3.80 target soon?
Yes, if volume spikes and resistance breaks.
Q3. What is XRP's short-term price prediction?
Analysts currently expect XRP to test the $3.33–$3.50 resistance zone if the crucial $3.10 support level holds. A breakout above $3.50 could accelerate the move toward $3.80.
Q4. Can XRP realistically hit the $3.80 target?
Yes. Technical patterns like the bullish pennant and MACD crossover, paired with rising trading volume (~387K XRP on Aug 12), support a $3.80 breakout scenario in Q3 2025 if momentum stays intact.
Q5. What factors are driving XRP's current uptrend?
Technical signals:
Bullish pennant, MACD crossover, and RSI at ~54 (not overbought).
Institutional inflows:
$9.1M into XRP-focused products last week (CoinShares).
Decoupling from Bitcoin:
Correlation with BTC has dropped from 0.81 (July 2024) to 0.58 (Aug 2025).
Payment adoption:
Ripple's ODL live with 27 new banks, especially in Southeast Asia and the Middle East.
Q6. What are the key support and resistance levels to watch?
Support:
$3.08–$3.10 (crucial), EMA-20 at $3.14, EMA-50 at $2.93.
Resistance:
$3.33–$3.50 (immediate), then $3.80 (major breakout point).
Q7. What risks could derail the bullish setup?
Macro shifts:
Fed's September stance turning unexpectedly hawkish.
Whale activity:
Large sell orders near $3.30 — over 28M XRP moved to exchanges in the past week.
Regulatory twists:
SEC appeal process still pending, though momentum seems against them.
Q8. Could XRP reach $5 in 2025?
It's possible but requires a clean break above $3.80 with daily volumes exceeding 500K XRP, sustained institutional inflows, and no major regulatory setbacks. Macro tailwinds and real-world adoption would need to align, similar to the 480% rally in late 2020–early 2021.
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