Tropical Storm Andrea, first of the season, forms far off in the Atlantic
The National Hurricane Center predicts that the storm will begin to power down by Tuesday night, becoming a post-tropical remnant low as it enters chillier water and then dissipating on Wednesday.
'The system has met the criteria of being classified as a tropical storm, albeit a marginal one,' forecasters wrote in an earlier discussion.
Andrea marks the farthest northeast storm formation point on record for June since 1900, noted Ryan Truchelut of Weather Tiger in his newsletter.
READ MORE: U.S. hurricane forecast: 'Everything is in place' for another above-average season
NOAA has called for another above-average season this year, with 13 to 19 named storms, six to 10 of which could strengthen into hurricanes and three to five of which could become major storms — Category 3 or higher.
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Indianapolis Star
an hour ago
- Indianapolis Star
When will Tropical Storm Erin strengthen into a hurricane? See path tracker
Tropical Storm Erin is continuing its path west across the Atlantic on the way to becoming a major hurricane this weekend and the first hurricane of the 2025 season, forecasters said. As of 5 a.m. ET advisory on Aug. 14, Erin was located about 990 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds around 50 mph with higher gusts, the National Hurricane Center said. Erin is currently moving west at about 17 mph, and this motion is expected through Thursday, with a west-northwestward motion beginning Thursday night and continuing into the weekend, according to forecasters. If Erin stays on track, it is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by 2 p.m. on Aug. 15 and a major hurricane of Category 3 or higher within three days, the hurricane center said. Gradual strengthening is forecasted over the next day with more significant intensification at the end of the week and into the weekend. "There continues to be confidence that Erin will be a large and powerful hurricane over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean this weekend," the hurricane center said. The hurricane center said the center of Erin is likely to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend. Swells generated by Erin will begin affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this weekend, with the swells likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Most reliable computer models that meteorologists use to forecast storms show Erin curving away from the United States, spinning off the East Coast in mid-August. However, even if Erin does avoid landfall on the United States, "there will be a significant increase in seas, surf, and rip currents along the East Coast beaches next weekend into the following week," AccuWeather senior meteorologist Chad Merrill said. AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said to beware of rip currents at East Coast beaches: 'Families heading to Atlantic beaches this weekend and next week for a late-summer vacation need to be careful. Rip currents can be deadly. More than 50 people have lost their lives to rip currents and rough surf at beaches across the country so far this year.' Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help make its forecasts. Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help make its forecasts. In addition to Erin, the hurricane center also said it is keeping an eye on a broad area of low pressure near the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The system is forecast to emerge off the coast later this morning and move west-northwest across the southwestern Gulf during the next day or two, according to the hurricane center, where environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development. The system is also forecast to move inland over northeastern Mexico by late Friday, ending its chances of formation. The NHC gives the system a 20% chance of formation through the next seven days. Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression. A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reach 39 mph. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Delaying potentially lifesaving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recommends.
2 hours ago
Caribbean officials warn of heavy rains and big waves as Tropical Storm Erin nears
SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico -- Officials in the northern Caribbean warned Thursday of heavy rains and dangerous swells as Tropical Storm Erin approached the region. The storm is expected to remain over open waters and move north-northeast of islands including Antigua and Barbuda, the U.S. British and Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami. Erin is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday and strengthen into a Category 3 storm by late Saturday, which would mark the first major storm this season. 'Erin is moving into an area of the Atlantic primed for rapid intensification. The waters are incredibly warm," said Alex DaSilva, lead hurricane expert for AccuWeather. Tropical-storm force winds could occur in parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend, forecasters said. 'There is still a greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Bermuda in the long range,' the hurricane center said. Hurricane specialist and storm surge expert Michael Lowry said nearly all models have Erin turning 'safely east of the broader U.S. next week.' Erin is the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Forecasters are expecting another unusually busy season
Associated Press
3 hours ago
- Associated Press
Caribbean officials warn of heavy rains and big waves as Tropical Storm Erin nears
SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico (AP) — Officials in the northern Caribbean warned Thursday of heavy rains and dangerous swells as Tropical Storm Erin approached the region. The storm is expected to remain over open waters and move north-northeast of islands including Antigua and Barbuda, the U.S. British and Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami. Erin is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday and strengthen into a Category 3 storm by early Sunday, which would mark the first major storm this season. Tropical-storm force winds could occur in parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend, forecasters said. 'There is still a greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Bermuda in the long range,' the hurricane center said. Hurricane specialist and storm surge expert Michael Lowry said nearly all models have Erin turning 'safely east of the broader U.S. next week.' Erin is the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Forecasters are expecting another unusually busy season for the Atlantic, with predictions calling for six to 10 hurricanes, with up to half reaching major status.
