Minnesota Twins at A's odds, picks and predictions

USA Today

4 days ago

Minnesota Twins at A's odds, picks and predictions
The Minnesota Twins (31-27) and the A's (23-37) open a 4-game set Monday. First pitch from Sutter Health Park in Sacramento is scheduled for 10:05 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Twins vs. A's odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Twins won 6-1 last year
The Twins are coming off a 2-1 series loss at the Seattle Mariners, wrapping up the set with a 2-1 setback as +111 underdogs Sunday with the Under (7.5) cashing. CF Harrison Bader tied the game with a ninth-inning sac fly to score 2B Kody Clemens Sunday, but Mariners LF Randy Arozarena walked it off with an RBI single in the bottom half.
The A's were swept in 4 games at the Toronto Blue Jays despite scoring a total of 18 runs over the last 3 contests. They lost 8-4 as +223 underdogs in the Sunday finale with the Over (8) hitting. The A's had an 81.8% win probability, according to ESPN Analytics, leading 4-2 in the top of the eighth inning Sunday -- but allowed 6 runs in the bottom of the frame.
Twins at A's projected starters
RHP Joe Ryan vs. RHP Luis Severino
Ryan (5-2, 2.57 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th appearance. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 63 innings.
Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday
2025 road stats: 3-1, 2.31 ERA (35 IP, 9 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 6 starts
2024 vs. A's: 1 home start (June 13), win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-2 victory
Career vs. A's: 1-0, 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 8 HH, 4 BB, 12 K in 2 starts
Severino (1-4, 3.89 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 71 2/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-3 defeat at Houston Astros Wednesday
2025 home stats: 0-4, 6.20 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 7 starts
2024 vs. Twins: 1 home start (July 31), loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-3 defeat
Career vs. Twins (regular season): 0-2, 7.71 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 3 starts
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Twins at A's odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | A's +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
: Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | A's +135 (bet $100 to win $135) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Twins -1.5 (+100) | A's +1.5 (-120)
: Twins -1.5 (+100) | A's +1.5 (-120) Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -130 | U: +100)
Twins at A's picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, A's 5
MINNESOTA (-160) has won each of Ryan's last 4 outings, while the A's have lost Severino's last 4 starts. The edge in starting pitching should be too much for the A's to overcome -- especially given they've lost 17 of their last 18 games.
BET TWINS (-160).
The A's +1.5 (-120) will probably cover the run line, but they're a tough team to trust right now -- 5 of their last 6 games have resulted in losses by 2 or more runs.
PASS on the run line.
The A's have allowed 8 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games, going 5-0-1 to the Over. The Twins, meanwhile, have hit the Over in 2 of their last 3 contests.
Severino has struggled at home this season, posting a 6.20 ERA at Sutter Health Park, and the Over has gone 3-1-1 in his last 5 starts overall. Although Ryan has allowed 1 earned run or fewer in 8 of his 11 appearances, the Over remains the preferred play with Minnesota facing Severino and a struggling A's bullpen.
BET OVER 9 (-130).
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