Trump's second-favorite set of wheels, the golf cart, is in its own trade war
Earlier this week, the Trump administration indicated it would carve out tariff exemptions for automakers manufacturing cars in the U.S. to alleviate some of the pressure of moving more production to domestic plants. That is no surprise, as for years even the cars identified as being the most "Made In America" are far from 100% domestically sourced. Tesla comes closest at as much as 87.5%.
Trump's second favorite set of wheels, the golf cart, is another good example of the global reality behind "Made in America" manufacturing claims. While both Club Car and E-Z-Go assemble their golf carts in the United States, they source their components from China, Taiwan, India, Malaysia, Turkey, and Europe, among other countries.
The two companies — which collectively held a substantial market share, over 37%, of the golf cart industry in 2024, according to Global Market Insights — were a part of a case brought to the U.S. International Trade Commission alleging harm from unfair Chinese trade practices. The ITC has already found a reasonable indication that imports from China are materially injuring what is defined as the U.S. low-speed, personal transportation vehicle market. A final determination, which could include tariffs on Chinese-made golf carts, is scheduled to be announced on June 17.
According to ImportGenius, the U.S. imported $709 million in fully assembled golf carts in 2024, with $703 million, or 99% of that, coming from China.
For Club Car and E-Z-Go, data gathered and analyzed by ImportGenius shows that while the assembly of their carts may take place in the U.S., the supply chains are potentially exposed to many Trump administration tariffs.
E-Z-Go, which is part of diversified industrial Textron, sources its golf carts from a supply chain that is heavily reliant on products from China and Taiwan. The engines for their golf carts are made in Taiwan; the GPS tracking system is made in Malaysia; and the golf cart itself — golf cart seats, mirrors, windshields, cargo bed, enclosures, fenders, steering wheels, golf seat trays, golf car batteries, and grab handles — are all made in China.
For Club Car, which was owned by Ingersoll-Rand for many years but is now owned by private equity firm Platinum Equity, the golf cart supply chain is more diverse. In addition to the motors, speaker systems, plastic injection molds, chargers, brakes, clutches, and parts from China, key components are imported from a wide variety of countries. These include chargers from Hong Kong; drive axles imported from Japan; transaxles from Singapore; lithium ions and other golf cart parts from South Korea; rotor disks and other golf cart parts from Germany, Turkey, Egypt, Sri Lanka and India; solenoid switches from the U.K.; and rear shock absorbers from Vietnam.
"These golf carts illustrate the complexity of our reliance on Chinese imports," said Michael Kanko, co-founder and CEO of ImportGenius. "The price increases on consumer goods from tariffs is one thing, but this highlights how American manufacturers are also at risk. 'Made in America' doesn't mean 'Exempt in America.'"
Both Club Car and E-Z-Go declined to comment.
GMI projects an estimated 8% growth of the golf cart market between 2025 and 2034, which it currently estimates at a size of $2.6 billion. Driving that rise is increased use in residential communities, airports, hotels, resorts, industrial facilities, professional golf tournaments, and recreational golfing.
The ITC case, if it does lead to steep tariffs on golf carts made wholly in China, would benefit the domestic players in the market. But the broader set of global tariffs will force the domestic golf cart industry to choose between passing along higher prices to consumers or sacrificing profit margin — or some combination of the two, a decision matrix many companies across industries are now weighing.
Even the "most" American players across sectors are fearing big hits from tariffs. On Wednesday, U.S. solar power leader First Solar, which has been in a multi-decades-long battle with Chinese-based solar cell and panel manufacturers, said Trump's tariffs "create a significant economic headwind" for its plants in India, Malaysia and Vietnam, the latter two of which serve the U.S. market exclusively.
Golf carts are just one example of complex products assembled in the U.S. that rely on foreign components, according to Jason Miller, Eli Broad Professor of Supply Chain Management and interim chairperson for the Department of Supply Chain Management at Eli Broad College of Business for Michigan State University.
"Many U.S. plants rely on inputs sourced from China, especially electrical components, fabricated metals, and textiles, often with few (if any) domestic alternatives available," said Miller. "In an era of global supply chains, it is difficult to find complex goods that are entirely produced from inputs that themselves come from one country."
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USA Today
24 minutes ago
- USA Today
Which way will Senate swing in 2026? Here are 11 pivotal races that will decide.
From the South to the Great Lakes, contested primaries and open Senate seat battles will determine who's serving for President Trump's last two years. WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump's agenda in the second half of his second term will hinge on whether Republicans can maintain control of Congress in next year's midterm elections. In the Senate, where the GOP currently has a slim 53 to 47 majority, being the party in charge is vital for the president and his ability to pass key legislation priorities, confirm nominees, including any potential Supreme Court vacancies. Heading into 2026, congressional Republicans look to keep their legislative advantage but face the challenge of precedent. Often, the party that does not hold the White House – Democrats, currently – fares better in midterm congressional elections. In need of a pick me up after last year's bruising presidential and congressional elections, Democrats are trying to flip the upper chamber back to blue by winning a handful of states scattered from the South to the Great Lakes. More: What to expect when you're expecting a GOP trifecta For their part, Republicans trying to defend their majority in next November's races must first weather some base-splitting primaries, in which established GOP incumbents hope to hold on against challengers from inside their own party. Here are 11 Senate races to watch across the country heading into the 2026 midterm elections. 1. North Carolina More: Former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper announces run for Senate in a win for Democrats North Carolina's two-term senior senator, Republican Thom Tillis, announced in June he would not be seeking reelection. His news, which Tillis called 'not a hard choice,' came as debates over Trump's sweeping tax, spending and policy bill engulfed Congress and pitted GOP members against one another. The news was music to Democrats' ears. Already a top target for the liberal party in next year's midterms, the North Carolina race was set to be one of the most competitive Senate battles in 2026, even with Tillis on the ballot. More: After Lara Trump opts out, president endorses RNC Chair Whatley for NC Senate race Now, the open seat has attracted high-profile contenders on both sides of the aisle. Former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, announced his campaign formally on July 28, following weeks of speculation. On the Republican side, Lara Trump, the president's daughter-in-law and former co-chair of the Republican National Committee, said she considered jumping in. However, after she announced July 24 she would not run for the seat in North Carolina, President Trump gave his backing to Republican National Committee chair and former North Carolina GOP Chair Michael Whatley. Primary elections in the state will be held March 3. 2. Michigan In Michigan, another retiring incumbent has set the stage for a toss-up race next year. Sen. Gary Peters, a Democrat, announced in January he would not seek a third term representing the Great Lakes State in the Senate. More: Michigan's Gary Peters won't run for US Senate reelection next year His absence leaves the race open for either party's taking. Republican Mike Rogers, a former congressman with Trump's endorsement, is his party's expected nominee. Rogers ran in 2024, narrowly losing to Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin. Among Democrats, Rep. Haley Stevens and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow lead the pack of 2026 candidates. Primary elections in the state will be held Aug. 4, 2026. 3. Georgia Georgia's Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff must fend off a pack of conservative lawmakers in order to hang onto his seat in 2026. Alongside fellow Georgia Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock, Ossoff's win in a Jan. 2021 runoff election secured him a first term in Congress and his party a chamber majority. Once again, his race will be key in determining whether Democrats win control of the Senate. Republicans looking to unseat him include Rep. Buddy Carter, a former pharmacist who represents the Savannah area. Carter was first to throw his red hat in the ring. But others, including Rep. Mike Collins, have since joined the contest. Both Carter and Collins are coveting Trump's support, an endorsement that could carry weight with Georgia's deep red electorate pockets. Georgia's primary elections are set for May 19. 4. Texas Texas Republican Sen. John Cornyn stands a good chance of winning a fifth term against a Democratic challenger next November, in the red-leaning Lone Star State. But first, he must make it through what is promising to be a tough primary against the state's attorney general, Ken Paxton. Cornyn has served in the Senate since 2002, but early polls showed him down double digits to Paxton. More: Texas AG Ken Paxton's wife files for divorce 'on biblical grounds' National Republicans have expressed concern that Paxton, who has faced indictments, impeachment and, more recently, a very public divorce, could cost the GOP their safely held Texas seat in a general election. Democrat and former Rep. Colin Allred, who ran unsuccessfully against Sen. Ted Cruz in 2024, has announced his campaign for 2026. Texas state Rep. James Talarico has said he is 'seriously considering' a run as well. More: Former congressman Colin Allred launches 2026 campaign for US Senate Primary elections in the Lone Star State are scheduled for March 3. 5. South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, a Republican from South Carolina, has also drawn a GOP challenger in his 2026 bid for reelection. Paul Dans, the original author of Project 2025, a sweeping conservative agenda to overhaul the federal government, announced his entrance into the race at an event in Charleston July 30. More: Lindsey Graham gets Republican challenger: Project 2025 author to announce Senate bid The primary contest will likely pit MAGA voters in the Palmetto State against one another. Though Graham has previously been a regular target of criticism from Trump − displeased by the lawmaker at times breaking from the GOP leader − he is currently an ally to the president and has already received Trump's 'complete and total endorsement.' Dans' primary challenge will be an uphill battle. Should Graham come out on top, he is heavily favored to win a fifth term representing the Palmetto State. A pack of Democrats are vying to face Graham or Dans in the general, though South Carolina is generally considered a safely red seat. Both party primaries will be held June 9. 6. Maine Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, is about to wrap her fifth term in the Senate, and while she has yet to formally announce her bid for reelection, many colleagues expect her to run again. Her position as one of the upper chamber's most independent voices has kept her in favor, and in office, with her left-leaning state, though Democrats still see this upcoming race as one of their top pick-up opportunities if two-term Gov. Janet Mills decides to run. Collins has garnered a reputation for being one of the few congressional Republicans willing to tell Trump no. She voted against two of his major legislative priorities this summer – a sweeping tax and spending bill, as well as a $9 billion cut to public broadcasting and foreign aid funding – and has openly criticized some of the president's nominees. More: 'See you in court.' Trump, Maine governor clash in tense exchange at White House Willingness to oppose Trump typically comes with the president's full public ire – and often a MAGA-aligned primary opponent. However, Collins is the only Republican senator to have won a state in which Democrats won the popular vote in 2024. Her unique position seems to, at least for now, have kept Trump from speaking out against who many view as the GOP's best chance to keep their seat in Maine. Several Democratic candidates have announced campaigns against Collins, including David Costello, who ran unsuccessfully against Maine's Independent Sen. Angus King in 2024. All eyes are most focused on Mills, the state governor who has also tussled with Trump but hasn't yet said if she will run. Maine will have its primaries on June 9. 7. Minnesota Minnesota's Democratic Sen. Tina Smith announced earlier this year her plan to retire at the end of her current term, calling the decision "entirely personal." With the state's blue tilt, Smith's seat has a good chance of staying in Democrats' hands. More: 'Entirely personal': Democrat Tina Smith to not seek reelection in 2026 Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Annie Craig are among the frontrunners for their party's nomination. Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, 2024 Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris' running mate, opted back in February not to run for Senate. On the Republican side, former NBA player Royce White is running again, after losing his bid against Sen. Amy Klobuchar in 2024. Former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze has also announced his campaign for the GOP nomination. The Minnesota primaries will be held Aug. 11. 8. Ohio The Buckeye State represents one of Democrats' few pick up opportunities, and even then it will not be an easy flip. Republican Sen. Jon Husted was picked by Ohio's governor to fill the seat vacated by Vice President JD Vance at the start of the year, and Husted will be on the ballot next November to keep his spot. Ohio has become reliably red in recent years, making the fight to flip it tough for Democrats. Their best shot likely is former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, who lost his bid for reelection last year to Sen. Bernie Moreno. Axios reported that Brown met with Majority Leader Chuck Schumer in late July, as part of the top Senate Democrat's efforts to lobby Brown to run again. 9. New Hampshire Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire announced she would not be seeking another term in 2026 either. Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas, who launched his campaign in April, is widely seen as a strong contender to succeed Shaheen. More: Former GOP Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown running for Senate in New Hampshire Republican Scott Brown, a former Massachusetts senator and ex-ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa under Trump's first term, is among a handful of candidates competing on the GOP side. Like Minnesota, Cook Political Report has rated New Hampshire's race leaning Democrat. 10. Iowa In Iowa, Sen. Joni Ernst, a Republican, has the advantage, with Cook Political Report rating her race likely Republican. Three Democrats so far have launched bids in hopes of beating those odds: Nathan Sage, the former chamber of commerce director from Knoxville; state Rep. J.D. Scholten; and state Sen. Zach Wahls. More: Iowa Democratic Rep. and minor league pitcher J.D. Scholten to run against Sen. Joni Ernst Trump's sweeping tax, spending and policy bill, passed into law earlier this summer, is expected to be a defining issue in Iowa's race. Ernst was one of 50 Senate Republicans who voted in favor of the legislation, which her Democratic opponents decried as a move "to gut Medicaid for hundreds of thousands of Iowa children and families." The primary in Iowa is scheduled for June 2. 11. Nebraska Nebraska is widely seen as a Republican stronghold with incumbent GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts, though there could be a surprisingly competitive race in 2026 with Independent candidate Dan Osborn jumping back into a statewide election. More: Nebraska independent Dan Osborn could be poised to shake up U.S. Senate Osborn came within seven percentage points of beating Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024, a closer-than-expected margin in the GOP-dominated state. Osborn, a former labor leader, is a registered Independent but received campaign contributions from Democrats in his last campaign (money he told NBC he did not ask for). Ricketts, a former Nebraska governor and part owner with his family of the Chicago Cubs, is running for a full term after being appointed to the job in January of 2023 upon the resignation of Republican Sen. Ben Sasse.


Android Authority
24 minutes ago
- Android Authority
As a cell phone expert, these are the 5 carriers I don't recommend
Edgar Cervantes / Android Authority I've spent a significant portion of the past few years reporting on and testing various wireless service providers operating in the US market. As you might imagine, this has allowed me to form clear recommendations for just about every need — family plans, customer service, pricing, and more. Considering postpaid and prepaid options together, there are dozens of choices available, yet only a handful of providers truly stand out enough to recur regularly in my recommendations. Some carriers are excluded because they don't offer anything unique enough, others because they simply target too narrow of a niche. After digging into reader comments on my coverage and Android Authority's mobile service content in general, I noticed certain brands were frequently mentioned, with readers wondering why they were left out. Indeed, some carriers can be useful in specific situations but don't often make mainstream recommendation lists due to limited appeal. Here's a closer look at a few commonly mentioned alternatives that I typically don't highlight, examining who they're for and whether you're better off skipping them. Boost Mobile Edgar Cervantes / Android Authority I remember a comment in my best US carrier guide earlier this year asking why Boost Mobile doesn't get more attention from us, or really from the media in general. I understand the confusion. On paper, Boost sounds appealing, with unlimited plans starting as low as $25 per month and premium postpaid options offering yearly flagship upgrades for iPhones or Galaxy devices at just $65 monthly. These prices significantly undercut Verizon, AT&T, or T-Mobile. However, looking deeper reveals issues. One challenge is Boost's unclear identity. While it now operates as a genuine postpaid provider with prepaid options, many still associate it with its budget prepaid legacy. Beyond perception, network consistency is a major concern. Boost sounds great on paper, but the reality is often not as appealing. Boost has its own 5G network through Dish Network, but coverage outside these areas depends entirely on rivals like AT&T and T-Mobile. Coverage inconsistencies result from differing SIM card options based on Dish's native reach and various roaming agreements. Consequently, Boost Mobile can be hit or miss. For some, it offers great savings; for others, it's a significant downgrade. While not generally recommended for just anyone, Boost can work well and save you a fortune if you live in a strong coverage area. If you're considering it, try a BYOD (Bring Your Own Device) plan with a secondary number first. Why? Because it's much easier to leave this way if it doesn't work out. Upgrading phones locks you into Boost Mobile for a full year, longer than major competitors. Interested in learning more? You'll want to check out Boost Mobile's website. RedPocket Mobile Several readers have also asked about RedPocket Mobile in the past, but after taking a closer look, I've found that for most users, it simply doesn't stand out much, and you're likely better off elsewhere. Pricing ranges from $10 to $40 per month, or slightly less if you pay annually upfront. All plans advertise 'unlimited' talk, text, and data, but premium data caps range from just 1GB to 50GB. Once you exceed that limit, speeds plummet to around 256Kbps, making even basic tasks painfully slow. Frankly, calling 1GB of data 'unlimited' is misleading in today's usage environment. Comparatively, RedPocket's cheapest plan (1GB for $10/month) matches poorly against Tello, which offers double the data at the same price. Its top-tier Elite plan, with 50GB data, hotspot, and Apple Watch support for $40, isn't terrible — but competitors like Visible offer even better international features and smartwatch support at roughly the same price. You'll find even cheaper options at US Mobile, with the 2GB Light Plan starting at just $10 a month or as low as $8 if paid annually. The one notable feature is that RedPocket lets you choose from all three major networks, though even here, US Mobile offers the same flexibility with better execution, including the ability to use two networks simultaneously. At the end of the day, RedPocket isn't a bad carrier and offers customer service that's no worse than any other budget provider, but there's rarely a compelling reason to choose it over the competition. Interested in learning more? You'll want to check out RedPocket Mobile's website. Tracfone Edgar Cervantes / Android Authority Tracfone occasionally appears in the comments as well, though not nearly as much as the others. Once the king of burner phones, it's now much less popular. Smartphone plans start around $15 per month for 1GB, considerably pricier than competitors like US Mobile or Tello. In most cases, you'll generally receive a better experience with other Verizon value brands like Straight Talk. Today, Tracfone mainly serves those using basic phones as secondary devices — a shrinking market mostly consisting of older adults relying on landlines that look to cellphones only as an emergency device. For infrequent users, Tracfone can be affordable: for example, 365 days of service costs $125, including 1,500 minutes, 1,500 texts, and 1.5GB of data. Interested in learning more? You'll want to check out TracFone's website. Helium Mobile Edgar Cervantes / Android Authority Now I actually have recommended Helium Mobile in a few pieces, but the truth is it's a pretty niche provider. For those who don't know, Helium Mobile runs on T-Mobile's network, but that's not its only claim to fame. The provider initially pushed itself as a crypto-carrier and leaned harder on its own Helium Network, but these days it feels a bit more like a typical prepaid carrier in reality. Plans for Helium range from free to $30 a month. If you have strong T-Mobile coverage and don't suffer from major congestion issues, you'll find Helium is a compelling choice that runs every bit as well as any other T-Mobile-based alternative. So why don't I mention it more? First, the network is very much involved with crypto-technologies, its own network, reward partnerships, and other aspects that might be seen a positive for some but also make Helium slightly more questionable when it comes to privacy. It's also clear that mobile service isn't this company's first priority. There are so many other brands out there with a more proven record in the mobile space, and unless that changes, it'll never be a common recommendation on my end. Still, if you find it works well for you, there's really nothing wrong with Helium. In fact, if you have a young kid or elderly family member who doesn't need much data, the free plan or the kids plan can be a great way to test them on their first phone without much risk. Interested in learning more? You'll want to check out Helium Mobile's website. Total Wireless Last on the list is Total Wireless, which is another carrier that I admit doesn't get a recommendation from me very often. When I do recommend this carrier, it's usually to those with bigger families, as this is where Total shines. This Verizon-owned brand has plans ranging from $40 to $60 a month for one line, but the pricing drops significantly as you add more lines. In fact, the best savings are triggered once you reach five lines, with even the most expensive plan only coming out to around $27 a month per line and the cheapest plan dropping to just $23 a month. All three plans include truly unlimited data, though you'll need to get the Total 5G Unlimited or 5G Plus Unlimited plan if you want higher priority data that's similar to what you'd get with postpaid Verizon access. These later plans also include international roaming and improved international calling features. Looking for streaming perks? The Plus plan even includes Disney Plus Premium for free, while the standard Unlimited plan just gives you a six-month trial. If you have a large family, Total Wireless is a fairly tempting choice. This plan becomes even better if you happen to also have friends or family members outside of the US, as the perks here are quite good for the price. So why don't I mention this one more then? Honestly, it's because Visible is typically a better choice if you only need a line or two, as its pricing starts at just $25 for unlimited and maxes out at $45 a month, and yet it offers a very similar experience to Total, as it is also owned by Verizon. Interested in learning more? You'll want to check out Total Wireless' website. Are any of these carriers really worth it? Would you consider any of these brands? 0 votes Boost Mobile NaN % RedPocket Mobile NaN % Tracfone NaN % Helium NaN % Total Wireless NaN % Again, it really depends on what you are looking for. Out of all the brands on this list, I'd personally recommend Helium and Total Wireless the most. Helium is great if you don't mind taking a risk of a brand that's newer to the mobile space, and Total has family plans that are truly hard to beat. As for the other three? While none of them are bad choices per say, for most folks, there are simply better options for a similar price that will likely provide a better value long term. Follow


NBC News
25 minutes ago
- NBC News
Democrats work to transcend weak party brand by exploiting Trump's problems
WASHINGTON — As members of Congress prepare to head home for summer recess, both parties are reckoning with their respective weaknesses and monitoring key changes to the emerging 2026 landscape. Democrats, saddled with record-low ratings for their party, are seeking a jolt of energy from appealing local candidates who can credibly claim distance from the national brand and the disappointments of 2024. Republicans are looking to sell voters on the most popular aspects of President Donald Trump's 'big, beautiful bill,' though Trump's own ratings have slid this year and polls show the sweeping law to be unpopular overall. It all comes as both parties are gearing up for next year's midterm elections, which historically tend to be a referendum on the president. Republicans control both chambers of Congress, with Democrats needing to net three seats to take control of the House and four to flip the Senate. The president's party traditionally loses seats in a midterm year, though new Republican redistricting efforts could bolster Trump's GOP. Democrats face a steeper climb in the Senate, with most of the Republican seats up in 2026 in red states. Still, Democrats are more optimistic lately that voters' disdain for their party will subside — and that a combination of unpopular Trump policies, strong Democratic candidates, high base enthusiasm and a fragile Republican coalition could tilt the midterm battlefield in their favor. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., who chairs the party's Senate campaign arm, said she sees Democratic prospects improving and predicted a 'backlash' reminiscent of the 2006 midterms, when she was first elected to Congress and Democrats pulled off surprise wins in red states. 'I think the Republican majority is at risk because of a series of recruitment failures, damaging primaries and their very toxic plan that slashes Medicaid and spikes costs,' she said. Republicans stress that they remain in a strong position. 'We feel very confident. Certainly not complacent, but confident,' said Alex Latcham, executive director of the Senate Leadership Fund, the GOP super PAC aligned with Senate Majority Leader John Thune. 'We're taking nothing for granted.' Democrats' bruised brand While they feel optimistic about their midterm prospects, Democrats acknowledge that they have a brand problem. Polls taken throughout 2025 have shown record-low ratings for the Democratic Party, with the GOP faring better, though also in net-negative territory. A Quinnipiac poll this month found that voters gave Democrats in Congress a dismal 19% approval rating, with 72% disapproving. Even self-identified Democrats disapproved by a 13-point margin. Rep. Suzan DelBene, D-Wash., who chairs Democrats' House campaign committee, acknowledged her party's brand problem in a recent conversation with reporters. She said House Democrats have to work to transcend it with 'great candidates' who offer 'authentic' messages for their districts. Voters 'are absolutely frustrated with the dysfunction, the chaos that they see in Washington, D.C. And they want strong representatives who are going to stand up for them,' DelBene said. DelBene suggested more than a dozen House Democrats were able to win last year even as Trump carried their districts 'because we had people who were talking directly to voters, who were talking about the issues that matter.' Some Democrats also note that the low ratings are driven in part by Democratic voters who are unhappy with their own party but who won't be inclined to support Republicans. Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., said the polls show 'there are a lot of Democrats out there who want us to be fighting harder,' arguing that his party can turn the problem into an advantage. 'Trump is lighting our democracy on fire, and so it's frankly a good sign that there's a lot of Americans who see the threat that he poses to people's health care, to our way of life, to our very democracy, and want their leaders here to be standing up and fighting,' Murphy told NBC News. 'I understand that those numbers look kind of harrowing for Democrats, but at some level, it's a good sign.' Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., who is retiring, also warned that the Democrats' low rating won't save the GOP next fall. He noted that the Republican Party's broad brand was in terrible shape the year before the 2010 GOP wave election. NBC News' July 2009 poll showed 28% of respondents viewing the Republican Party positively, versus 41% who viewed it negatively. 'I would go back and remind everybody to look at roughly the 2009 time frame when the same sort of assessments were being made in reverse,' Tillis said. 'We should take nothing for granted. We should all assume we're running from behind.' The hunt for 2026 candidates Both the House and Senate majorities run through territory Trump won in 2024. House Republicans are defending just three districts Trump lost last year, while 13 Democrats are defending seats Trump carried, according to an analysis of election results from the NBC News Decision Desk. Senate Democrats, meanwhile, need to net four seats to take control of the chamber, and just one Republican, Maine's Susan Collins, represents a state that also backed former Vice President Kamala Harris last year. Any path to the majority requires Democrats to win a few states Trump carried by double digits. Pressed on which seats she sees as competitive enough for Democrats to flip, Gillibrand declined to name states but said 'there's at least seven or eight states that are going to be in play because of the nature of their agenda.' Joanna Rodriguez, a spokeswoman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, laughed when asked about Gillibrand's contention that seven pickups are a possibility. 'Democrats are facing historically low approval ratings of 19% because their delusional leaders focus on radical policies that are unpopular with voters,' she said, adding that Republicans are working to 'lower costs of living, eliminate government fraud and waste, and keep males out of girls' sports.' Democrats are trying to cut into the red-tinted map with specific candidates who have demonstrated crossover appeal before. Former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, who just jumped into the race to succeed Tillis, has won six statewide elections since 2000. He's on a collision course with Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley, who launched his own campaign Thursday after Trump asked him to run. Tillis warned Tuesday that Cooper will 'no doubt' be a formidable candidate. In Ohio, a state unlikely to have a heavily contested Senate race without a particularly strong Democratic candidate, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has twice traveled to the state in recent months as part of an aggressive recruitment effort targeting former Sen. Sherrod Brown, who lost his seat to Republican Bernie Moreno last year despite outrunning the top of the ticket. Schumer's latest visit came last week, a source familiar with the meeting confirmed to NBC News. (The meeting was first reported by Axios.) Brown has been contemplating a comeback but is torn between the idea of running for Senate or running for governor in 2026, which would give his party a top-tier candidate to take on Trump-endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy. In Texas, meanwhile, some Republicans are worried about scandal-tarred Attorney General Ken Paxton defeating Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, in the primary and jeopardizing a safe seat in the general election. 'Number one, he's not going to win. But number two, if he were to win, I think it would jeopardize the president's agenda,' Cornyn told NBC News. 'It would be the first loss of a statewide race by Republicans in 30 years. So it'd be a disaster.' 'All that money could be used to pick up Senate seats in Georgia, New Hampshire and Michigan,' he added. 'But we don't need — we don't expect to give Democrats that opportunity.' GOP challenges Democrats have also been buoyed by recent polls with warning signs for Trump and Republicans defending their slim majorities in Congress. The president's approval rating has declined by a net 8 points since April, per a recent Fox News poll. Voters remain unhappy with the cost of living, and the president's ratings on handling prices and the economy have tanked — though voters also split evenly on the question of which party they trusted more to handle those issues. Trump's 'big, beautiful' law, which both parties call the defining issue in the midterms, is also broadly unpopular, although some provisions get high marks. And the GOP faces a unique challenge: turning out Trump supporters who don't show up as regularly when he isn't on the ballot. Democrats have also stumbled on an issue that provides a rare opening to drive a wedge between Trump and his base: encouraging MAGA-world criticism of how the administration has handled government files surrounding convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. As they prepared for the monthlong August recess, House Democratic leaders distributed a memo encouraging their members to highlight the issue back in their states and districts. Republicans, meanwhile, urged their members to campaign on the 'big beautiful bill.' The National Republican Congressional Committee issued a memo on Monday urging GOP lawmakers to hold local events and engage with local media to tout popular provisions in the bill, like making the 2017 tax cuts permanent, increasing the child tax credit, cutting taxes on tips and overtime pay, and boosting funds for border security. 'Out of touch House Democrats voted to raise taxes, kill jobs, gut national security, and allow wide open borders — it's no surprise their polling is in the gutter,' NRCC spokesman Mike Marinella said in a statement. 'We will use every tool to show voters that the provisions in this bill are widely popular and that Republicans stood with them while House Democrats sold them out.' Republicans have started to tout the measure on the airwaves. One Nation, the nonprofit arm of the main Senate GOP super PAC, has launched ads praising it as a 'working family tax cut.' The GOP also plans to nationalize New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani, a democratic socialist whose focus on affordability and grassroots energy powered his campaign. 'While President Trump and Republicans are delivering real results by lowering costs and securing the border, Democrats are embracing radical candidates like socialist Zohran Mamdani and fomenting violence against ICE and Border Patrol agents,' Republican National Committee spokeswoman Kiersten Pels said. Still, Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., warned that Democrats' weak brand won't save the GOP in the 2026 election. 'It'll be a referendum on the party in power, which would be us,' Hawley said, adding that his party can only win 'by delivering for the people who elected you, which would be my humble suggestion to my Republican friends.'