Premier League accumulator picks: Which bets to add to your weekend treble

New York Times

07-03-2025

This weekend's Premier League fixtures promise intrigue and excitement — and the scope to alter the top and bottom of the table. We've scanned the markets and picked out three wagers that bettors should add to their accumulators.
Five of Ipswich's last six league games have produced three or more goals, with some of the scorelines getting really out of hand. There's been a 6-0 trouncing at the hands of Manchester City, 4-1 losses to both Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur, and a wild 3-2 defeat to Manchester United.
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The only game that hasn't covered the over in that span was the 1-1 draw with Aston Villa, but their expected goals against (xGA) figure on the day was 2.4. Put another way, they were statistically expected to concede more, but goalkeeper Alex Palmer produced a stunning display, saving them from defeat.
With their opponents, Crystal Palace, starting to heat up (three wins from their last four) and finding some home form at last, this game feels ripe for goals. The Eagles' top striker, Jean-Philippe Mateta, may be out injured, but Oliver Glasner has plenty of other firepower to call upon, with Eddie Nketiah stepping into the void well lately and enjoying great support from Ebere Eze and Ismaïla Sarr on the flanks.
Handily, Palace also haven't kept a home clean sheet since October, which should encourage bettors that this game has every chance of clearing over 2.5.
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Unlike with our first selection, the statistics aren't exactly pointing us in the direction of the under 2.5 market here. So far, nine of Wolves' 13 home league games have hit the over, while Everton have been a much greater attacking threat since David Moyes took the managerial reins in January.
So why the pick?
It's based around one pivotal player who is missing: Matheus Cunha. He's scored 13 league goals this season despite a difficult overall campaign for his team, often producing something spectacular from a distance to break a game wide open.
He was shown a red card for violent conduct in the FA Cup last weekend after headbutting Bournemouth's Milos Kerkez. He'll now begin a lengthy suspension, calling into question Wolves' goalscoring capacity this weekend, and in the weeks to follow.
You could certainly forgive Aston Villa for feeling a little distracted from the league. Manager Unai Emery continually insists it's the priority competition, but with his charges enjoying two cup adventures, the schedule is stretching this squad to the max.
The general trend this season has been that Villa struggle domestically after a big Champions League night earlier in the week. They've won just one of their eight games played following these occasions, which was way back in September, losing four and drawing three.
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With this pattern in mind, and given that only four teams have picked up fewer points on the road than Villa's 14 this season, it's easy to believe in a Brentford side who have had nine days rest and preparation compared to their opponent's three.
The Bees are an attractive price to win outright, but backing Villa to nick a goal in the process – which they almost always do – stretches the odds nicely.
Accumulator odds: 9/1
(Photo of Bryan Mbeumo: Mike Hewitt / AFP via Getty Images)