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10 things to watch in the stock market Monday including Nvidia and geopolitics

10 things to watch in the stock market Monday including Nvidia and geopolitics

CNBC6 hours ago
The Club's 10 things to watch Monday, Aug. 18 — Today's newsletter was written by Zev Fima, the Club's portfolio analyst. 1. Stocks are poised to start the week a bit lower. Crypto is continuing to sell off, and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note is down slightly to 4.295%. Oil and gold slightly higher. The Fed's Jackson Hole retreat and retail earnings are big events this week . 2. Geopolitics are also front and center. Ukranian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is headed back to the White House today to discuss ending the war with Russia. Leaders from the U.K., France, Germany, Italy, Finland and the EU are also expected to be in attendance. President Donald Trump met with Russia's Vladimir Putin on Friday. 3. Cantor Fitzgerald upped its price target on Club name Nvidia to $240 a share from $200 and reiterated its overweight buy rating. Analysts said with Blackwell fully ramping and demand for AI not letting up, estimates will need to go higher. China is potential upside too. Morgan Stanley was also positive on Nvidia this morning. 4. Club stock Home Depot's price target at Stifel was raised to $432 from $425, and analysts reiterated their buy rating ahead of earnings tomorrow morning. While analysts said business trends in the second quarter were mixed, expectations for lower rates helped support the stock. 5. Roth Capital cut its price target on Coterra Energy to $27 from $32. It kept its buy rating on the stock, while downgrading a number of names in the energy complex, citing excess supply hurting natural gas prices. We exited Coterra last week, arguing you can't outrun your commodities. 6. Club name Meta is expected to debut its "Hypernova" device next month, Bloomberg News reported. The device will feature smart-glasses capabilities, similar to the existing Meta Ray-Ban line, and a small display. Hypernova will start at less than $1,000 and is "a precursor to full-blown augmented reality glasses," Bloomberg reported. 7. Lackluster sales of Apple's Vision Pro due to its high price tag and a lack of compelling features were highlighted in the same Bloomberg story. Apple's premium strategy works for iPhones because the smartphone market is much more mature than the one for headsets. The Club holding is expected to deliver a cheaper, lighter Vision Pro in 2027, which could help grow the market. 8. Barclays lower its Salesforce price target to $316 from $347. While analysts' channel checks showed solid demand, AI remains a key source of concern among software investors. We recently discussed how AI adoption can reduce the need for individual software licenses. Activists may be looking at Club name Salesforce again. 9. Shares of beaten-up Novo Nordisk rose by 3% this morning on news that its GLP-1 obesity drug Wegovy received additional approval from U.S. regulators to treat a certain type of liver disease commonly called MASH. Club stock Eli Lilly is also studying its lead GLP-1 as a MASH treatment. 10. Another win for the nuclear cohort: Google and Kairos Power said today that the latter's advanced nuclear plant will be hooked into the Tennessee Valley Authority's electric grid by 2030. Plus, TVA has agreed to buy power from the reactor and the electricity will help power Google data centers in Tennessee and Alabama. Sign up for my Top 10 Morning Thoughts on the Market email newsletter for free (See here for a full list of the stocks at Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
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Meta shares fall on AI restructuring report, while Lilly shrugs off Novo's Ozempic price move
Meta shares fall on AI restructuring report, while Lilly shrugs off Novo's Ozempic price move

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Meta shares fall on AI restructuring report, while Lilly shrugs off Novo's Ozempic price move

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Markets: Stocks aren't moving much Monday as Wall Street waits on retail earnings and a speech from Fed Chair Jay Powell later in the week. Monday's session lacks clear themes, but Meta Platforms stands out as a laggard after a report from The Information said the longtime Club holding is planning the fourth restructuring of its AI team in six months. The story is raising questions in light of Meta's significant investment in recruiting AI talent from other tech companies. Novo price cut : Shares of Club name Eli Lilly are relatively unchanged despite chief rival Novo Nordisk lowering prices for its popular GLP-1 medication. Novo Nordisk announced on Monday that it has cut the price of Ozempic, its popular GLP-1 for Type 2 diabetes, to $499 per month for cash-paying patients that use its NovoCare direct-to-patient program. Novo also announced that it has partnered with GoodRx to offer the same price for Ozempic and the weight-loss drug Wegovy at U.S. pharmacies. While the news may spark concerns that a price war is heating up in a battle for market share, we don't see this specific Ozempic development advancing that narrative. The main reason why is that the cash-pay market for GLP-1s to treat Type 2 diabetes is not as important as it is for their obesity counterparts. It all comes down to insurance coverage, which is much higher for these medications for diabetes than weight loss. Indeed, Lilly does not offer Type 2 diabetes treatment Mounjaro on its LillyDirect platform, while sister drug Zepbound for obesity is on there. Lilly executives were asked about this on the company's August earnings call, and the president of Lilly USA, Ilya Yuffa, had this to say: "With Mounjaro, we have significant coverage. So, over 90% coverage in both commercial as well as [Medicare] Part D. And so, we're not sure if [adding Mounjaro to LillyDirect] necessarily provides additional avenue. With Zepbound, we see significant growth because we do have coverage gaps in commercial. And obviously, we also have coverage gaps without having the ability to cover anti-obesity medications in Part D. So, we see this as an opportunity for us to meet that need. For what it's worth, we still like where Lilly sits in the obesity side of the GLP-1 market. Back in February, Eli Lilly announced that self-pay patients could get Zepbound single dose vials for $499 per month through its LillyDirect platform. That's on par with the price for Wegovy on NovoCare. Since head-to-head studies have found Lilly's Zepbound to be superior to Novo Nordisk's Wegovy on weight loss, patients should continue to prefer Lilly's GLP-1s. We initially downgraded our rating on Eli Lilly after its earnings a few weeks ago, partly due to concerns about a potential price war. However, we reversed course and upgraded the stock back to a buy-equivalent 1 following signs of confidence driven by significant insider buying activity. Nuclear win : Alphabet's Google and the nuclear energy company Kairos Power announced on Monday the deployment of an advanced nuclear plant to the grid. Per the agreement, a reactor operated by Kairos Power will deliver up to 50 megawatts of reliable, 24/7 energy to the Tennessee Valley Authority electric grid that powers Google data centers in Tennessee and Alabama. The electricity will come from Kairos' Hermes 2 plant, which is scheduled to begin operations in 2030. The collaboration underscores how hyperscalers are creating new partnerships with nuclear energy providers to secure, around-the-clock power supply toward the end of the decade. Unlike gas-fired electricity, nuclear power offers tech giants like Alphabet a way to run their data centers on clean energy while advancing their decarbonization goals. While Club name GE Vernova is probably best known for its heavy-duty gas turbines , the power generation company also makes small modular reactors that have gained in popularity, so nuclear developments are important to follow closely. Up next: Palo Alto Networks reports after the closing bell , the first of three Club stocks with earnings this week. Before the opening bell on Tuesday, we'll see earnings from Club name Home Depot , Medtronic , and Viking Holdings . On the data side, we'll see July housing starts and building permits, but we'll take are cue on the housing sector from what Home Depot management says on the earnings call. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.

Back in the Oval Office, Zelenskyy wears a blazer and Trump doesn't shout
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