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Yahoo
16-05-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Preakness 2025 odds and picks: Best bet, favorites, expert predictions, post positions
The 150th running of the Preakness Stakes is Saturday with a 7:01 p.m. ET post time at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. Kentucky Derby favorite Journalism ended up finishing second in that race to Sovereignty, who won't be running in the Preakness. That means the hope of a Triple Crown this year has been dashed. Journalism is again the morning-line favorite at 8-5 in a nine-horse field, but those odds will likely shorten as we get closer to the race. Yahoo Sports spoke with Lane Gold, host of Kentucky's Winners Circle, to preview the favorites and long shots in the race, as well as get a few bets he likes. No. 2 Journalism (8-5): "He lived up to his hype, basically, in the Kentucky Derby. He was beaten by a better horse in Sovereignty, but beat everyone else, so his price of 7-2 was certainly fair. He has a much easier task ahead of him now. He's not going to be as far back this time around. He could be the odds-on favorite without the Derby winner in the Preakness field. He's still one of the best 3-year-olds in the country and most of the other horses are unproven at this level. The rest of them have to prove they belong. Everyone's gonna have to step up their game to catch him." No. 7 Sandman (4-1): "He ran a decent race at the Derby, but still finished 12.5 lengths back. He had a terrible trip on a wet track. It's hard to win the Derby or be competitive when you're next to last to begin the race. Basically, the race becomes a throw-away. The price here is probably going to be about the same for the Derby. He's the only other horse who has competed against this caliber of horses, but he's only won a third of his time in his career. If he winds up being 3-1 or 4-1, that's a short price in a race that may not favor a horse coming from way back — which is his MO. He's a challenge to take at that short price." No. 8 Clever Again (5-1): "Another horse that's on the rise. Steve Asmussen gave him some time off (six weeks since he won at Oaklawn) and jockey Jose Ortiz jumped on this ride instead of Sandman. This horse is going to be your speed horse. I think he'll be at 6-1 or 7-1, so that's a fair price. He also has a lot of inexperience." No. 1 Goal Oriented (6-1): "Bob Baffert is here with Goal Oriented, a horse that [has won both his races]. I don't think Baffert is coming there for the atmosphere. He obviously thinks the horse has some talent — but he only has two races under his belt. Baffert thought enough of him to give him a shot, though. Will he go to the lead is the big question because he's on the rail. That was his tactic in the Derby, and he was soundly beaten. You're asking the horse to do a lot, since it's his third race in about six weeks. He's here for a reason, but I'd let the odds dictate if he's worth a bet." "Journalism and Sovereignty were the two horses I liked going into the Derby, so there's no reason Journalism shouldn't have success here. Journalism has won four of six races. A strike against him is the price, but it's only a nine-horse field — not 12 or 14. If he has a clean trip, and you'd assume he will, he'll probably be leading at the top of the stretch and it will be up to the other horses to try and catch him. I'd probably bet him on top of Sandman and River Thames. I'd even throw in Gosger for a bomb on the outside. I'll take the experience here."
Yahoo
16-05-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Preakness 2025 odds and picks: Best bet, favorites, expert predictions, post positions
The 150th running of the Preakness Stakes is Saturday with a 7:01 p.m. ET post time at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. Kentucky Derby favorite Journalism ended up finishing second in that race to Sovereignty, who won't be running in the Preakness. That means the hope of a Triple Crown this year has been dashed. Journalism is again the morning-line favorite at 8-5 in a nine-horse field, but those odds will likely shorten as we get closer to the race. Advertisement Yahoo Sports spoke with Lane Gold, host of Kentucky's Winners Circle, to preview the favorites and long shots in the race, as well as get a few bets he likes. The favorite No. 2 Journalism (8-5): "He lived up to his hype, basically, in the Kentucky Derby. He was beaten by a better horse in Sovereignty, but beat everyone else, so his price of 7-2 was certainly fair. He has a much easier task ahead of him now. He's not going to be as far back this time around. He could be the odds-on favorite without the Derby winner in the Preakness field. He's still one of the best 3-year-olds in the country and most of the other horses are unproven at this level. The rest of them have to prove they belong. Everyone's gonna have to step up their game to catch him." Other horses to watch No. 7 Sandman (4-1): "He ran a decent race at the Derby, but still finished 12.5 lengths back. He had a terrible trip on a wet track. It's hard to win the Derby or be competitive when you're next to last to begin the race. Basically, the race becomes a throw-away. The price here is probably going to be about the same for the Derby. He's the only other horse who has competed against this caliber of horses, but he's only won a third of his time in his career. If he winds up being 3-1 or 4-1, that's a short price in a race that may not favor a horse coming from way back — which is his MO. He's a challenge to take at that short price." Advertisement No. 8 Clever Again (5-1): "Another horse that's on the rise. Steve Asmussen gave him some time off (six weeks since he won at Oaklawn) and jockey Jose Ortiz jumped on this ride instead of Sandman. This horse is going to be your speed horse. I think he'll be at 6-1 or 7-1, so that's a fair price. He also has a lot of inexperience." No. 1 Goal Oriented (6-1): "Bob Baffert is here with Goal Oriented, a horse that [has won both his races]. I don't think Baffert is coming there for the atmosphere. He obviously thinks the horse has some talent — but he only has two races under his belt. Baffert thought enough of him to give him a shot, though. Will he go to the lead is the big question because he's on the rail. That was his tactic in the Derby, and he was soundly beaten. You're asking the horse to do a lot, since it's his third race in about six weeks. He's here for a reason, but I'd let the odds dictate if he's worth a bet." Best bet "Journalism and Sovereignty were the two horses I liked going into the Derby, so there's no reason Journalism shouldn't have success here. Journalism has won four of six races. A strike against him is the price, but it's only a nine-horse field — not 12 or 14. If he has a clean trip, and you'd assume he will, he'll probably be leading at the top of the stretch and it will be up to the other horses to try and catch him. I'd probably bet him on top of Sandman and River Thames. I'd even throw in Gosger for a bomb on the outside. I'll take the experience here."
Yahoo
05-05-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Kentucky Derby 2025 odds and picks: Betting lines, favorites, expert prediction, post positions
The 151st running of the Kentucky Derby is only hours away with a 6:57 p.m. ET post time at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. It is the beginning of the most important stretch of the horse racing season — the Triple Crown — and is the biggest single day in the sport. We will have live coverage of the Kentucky Derby all day. Journalism is the 3-1 favorite on the morning line, but those odds will change in the lead-up to the race. Yahoo Sports spoke with Lane Gold, host of Kentucky's Winners Circle, to preview the favorites and long shots in the race, as well as get a few best bets. No. 8 Journalism (3-1): "He's won four races in a row, and his only defeat was his first race. Won the two big prep races in California, including winning the Santa Anita Derby on April 5. The No. 8 starting position isn't bad, not the best or worst. The Derby comes down to luck and a good rider. He's going to need a little bit of luck because he's going to break relatively quick, but he's going to be sitting behind the first flight. His jockey [Umberto Rispoli] is an underrated jockey, a rising star in California — this is probably his best shot to win the Derby. Trainer Mike McCarthy used to work for D. Wayne Lukas. This is a Bob Baffert kind of road here, winning the prep races in California. There is a lot to like about Journalism. It's likely that his odds go up because there are 20 horses, and Baffert is back in the Derby. I suspect Journalism will end up at 4-1 or 5-1. He's the favorite, but won't be a huge favorite." No. 18 Sovereignty (5-1): "He's outside, which is a good thing, probably running the middle pack early on, maybe 7th to 10th. He's a horse that has a better record than Sandman (two wins and two second places in five starts). His worst effort was his debut, when he was fourth, so he's been pretty consistent. Gets a good rider in Junior Alvarado and trainer Bill Mott, who is one of the best trainers to technically never win it outright, but this is one of his best chances to do just that. It used to be you needed three races in your sophomore year to win, but now horses are treated more gingerly. Sovereignty also won a race at Churchill Downs last October. He's 5-1 in the morning line, I suspect that will go up. Sometimes the public will ignore these horses, so I think he'll be 7-1, 8-1 or more." No. 17 Sandman (6-1): "Similar logic applies here, as sometimes being outside is a good thing because there are fewer horses who will be out early on. Sandman isn't a consistent horse in terms of winning (three of eight). Any of the numbers won't blow your doors off with him, but he is a horse who will come from behind. He's going to be sitting 12th, 13th, 14th, somewhere in there, and there should be a lot of speed up front that will help a horse like this. If he's able to weave his way through traffic, he will certainly be a menace in the final quarter mile. He does have a great ride in Jose Ortiz, and his trainer, Mark Casse, is a good trainer in the United States and one of the best in Canada. The owners paid $1.2 million for this horse at a public auction last March, so they saw something in him. He's going to have to have some things go his way." No. 9 Burnham Square (12-1): "He's won three of six, including the Blue Grass Stakes, where he won at the very last moment despite a rough start, which tells me that he can deal with adversity — and the Derby is full of that. There is a home-track advantage since he trains at Churchill Downs, and there's a lot of speed in the Derby. He's probably going to 12th or so, early, but he's coming back to Kentucky where he's based. Not a big-name trainer." No. 1 Citizen Bull (20-1): "Do I think he really can win? Maybe, but this is a horse who will run fast early. He has no choice, since he's on the rail. He'll go to the front and has run well, outside of his last race. He's won four of six, so his record on paper is pretty good and you're getting Baffert at 20-1. Stranger things have happened with Baffert. War Emblem got the lead in the Derby and never looked back. The price will be right. He's going to be out early, and you know Baffert wants to win this race really badly." "If I'm betting the Derby now, I would put Journalism on top of a few horses in an exacta or trifecta. I think Citizen Bull is all or nothing, either he's at front or will get crushed. We've seen horses come from the back, like Publisher, who could finish in the top three. The reason I'm staying with the favorite on top is that the Baffert path, which he took, is very likable and he's one of the hottest horses in the race. I think if he gets a clean trip he could win, but I could see a 30-1 or 40-1 horse get second. Pick some of your bombers in second or third and get a nice payoff."
Yahoo
05-05-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Kentucky Derby 2025 odds and picks: Betting lines, favorites, expert prediction, post positions
The 151st running of the Kentucky Derby is only hours away with a 6:57 p.m. ET post time at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. It is the beginning of the most important stretch of the horse racing season — the Triple Crown — and is the biggest single day in the sport. We will have live coverage of the Kentucky Derby all day. Journalism is the 3-1 favorite on the morning line, but those odds will change in the lead-up to the race. Yahoo Sports spoke with Lane Gold, host of Kentucky's Winners Circle, to preview the favorites and long shots in the race, as well as get a few best bets. No. 8 Journalism (3-1): "He's won four races in a row, and his only defeat was his first race. Won the two big prep races in California, including winning the Santa Anita Derby on April 5. The No. 8 starting position isn't bad, not the best or worst. The Derby comes down to luck and a good rider. He's going to need a little bit of luck because he's going to break relatively quick, but he's going to be sitting behind the first flight. His jockey [Umberto Rispoli] is an underrated jockey, a rising star in California — this is probably his best shot to win the Derby. Trainer Mike McCarthy used to work for D. Wayne Lukas. This is a Bob Baffert kind of road here, winning the prep races in California. There is a lot to like about Journalism. It's likely that his odds go up because there are 20 horses, and Baffert is back in the Derby. I suspect Journalism will end up at 4-1 or 5-1. He's the favorite, but won't be a huge favorite." No. 18 Sovereignty (5-1): "He's outside, which is a good thing, probably running the middle pack early on, maybe 7th to 10th. He's a horse that has a better record than Sandman (two wins and two second places in five starts). His worst effort was his debut, when he was fourth, so he's been pretty consistent. Gets a good rider in Junior Alvarado and trainer Bill Mott, who is one of the best trainers to technically never win it outright, but this is one of his best chances to do just that. It used to be you needed three races in your sophomore year to win, but now horses are treated more gingerly. Sovereignty also won a race at Churchill Downs last October. He's 5-1 in the morning line, I suspect that will go up. Sometimes the public will ignore these horses, so I think he'll be 7-1, 8-1 or more." No. 17 Sandman (6-1): "Similar logic applies here, as sometimes being outside is a good thing because there are fewer horses who will be out early on. Sandman isn't a consistent horse in terms of winning (three of eight). Any of the numbers won't blow your doors off with him, but he is a horse who will come from behind. He's going to be sitting 12th, 13th, 14th, somewhere in there, and there should be a lot of speed up front that will help a horse like this. If he's able to weave his way through traffic, he will certainly be a menace in the final quarter mile. He does have a great ride in Jose Ortiz, and his trainer, Mark Casse, is a good trainer in the United States and one of the best in Canada. The owners paid $1.2 million for this horse at a public auction last March, so they saw something in him. He's going to have to have some things go his way." No. 9 Burnham Square (12-1): "He's won three of six, including the Blue Grass Stakes, where he won at the very last moment despite a rough start, which tells me that he can deal with adversity — and the Derby is full of that. There is a home-track advantage since he trains at Churchill Downs, and there's a lot of speed in the Derby. He's probably going to 12th or so, early, but he's coming back to Kentucky where he's based. Not a big-name trainer." No. 1 Citizen Bull (20-1): "Do I think he really can win? Maybe, but this is a horse who will run fast early. He has no choice, since he's on the rail. He'll go to the front and has run well, outside of his last race. He's won four of six, so his record on paper is pretty good and you're getting Baffert at 20-1. Stranger things have happened with Baffert. War Emblem got the lead in the Derby and never looked back. The price will be right. He's going to be out early, and you know Baffert wants to win this race really badly." "If I'm betting the Derby now, I would put Journalism on top of a few horses in an exacta or trifecta. I think Citizen Bull is all or nothing, either he's at front or will get crushed. We've seen horses come from the back, like Publisher, who could finish in the top three. The reason I'm staying with the favorite on top is that the Baffert path, which he took, is very likable and he's one of the hottest horses in the race. I think if he gets a clean trip he could win, but I could see a 30-1 or 40-1 horse get second. Pick some of your bombers in second or third and get a nice payoff."
Yahoo
03-05-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Kentucky Derby 2025 odds and picks: Betting lines, favorites, expert prediction, post positions
The 151st running of the Kentucky Derby is only hours away with a 6:57 p.m. ET post time at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. It is the beginning of the most important stretch of the horse racing season — the Triple Crown — and is the biggest single day in the sport. We will have live coverage of the Kentucky Derby all day. Journalism is the 3-1 favorite on the morning line, but those odds will change in the lead-up to the race. Advertisement Yahoo Sports spoke with Lane Gold, host of Kentucky's Winners Circle, to preview the favorites and long shots in the race, as well as get a few best bets. The favorites No. 8 Journalism (3-1): "He's won four races in a row, and his only defeat was his first race. Won the two big prep races in California, including winning the Santa Anita Derby on April 5. The No. 8 starting position isn't bad, not the best or worst. The Derby comes down to luck and a good rider. He's going to need a little bit of luck because he's going to break relatively quick, but he's going to be sitting behind the first flight. His jockey [Umberto Rispoli] is an underrated jockey, a rising star in California — this is probably his best shot to win the Derby. Trainer Mike McCarthy used to work for D. Wayne Lukas. This is a Bob Baffert kind of road here, winning the prep races in California. There is a lot to like about Journalism. It's likely that his odds go up because there are 20 horses, and Baffert is back in the Derby. I suspect Journalism will end up at 4-1 or 5-1. He's the favorite, but won't be a huge favorite." No. 18 Sovereignty (5-1): "He's outside, which is a good thing, probably running the middle pack early on, maybe 7th to 10th. He's a horse that has a better record than Sandman (two wins and two second places in five starts). His worst effort was his debut, when he was fourth, so he's been pretty consistent. Gets a good rider in Junior Alvarado and trainer Bill Mott, who is one of the best trainers to technically never win it outright, but this is one of his best chances to do just that. It used to be you needed three races in your sophomore year to win, but now horses are treated more gingerly. Sovereignty also won a race at Churchill Downs last October. He's 5-1 in the morning line, I suspect that will go up. Sometimes the public will ignore these horses, so I think he'll be 7-1, 8-1 or more." Trainer Bob Baffert motions to a visitor outside his barn at Churchill Downs on Tuesday in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel) (ASSOCIATED PRESS) No. 17 Sandman (6-1): "Similar logic applies here, as sometimes being outside is a good thing because there are fewer horses who will be out early on. Sandman isn't a consistent horse in terms of winning (three of eight). Any of the numbers won't blow your doors off with him, but he is a horse who will come from behind. He's going to be sitting 12th, 13th, 14th, somewhere in there, and there should be a lot of speed up front that will help a horse like this. If he's able to weave his way through traffic, he will certainly be a menace in the final quarter mile. He does have a great ride in Jose Ortiz, and his trainer, Mark Casse, is a good trainer in the United States and one of the best in Canada. The owners paid $1.2 million for this horse at a public auction last March, so they saw something in him. He's going to have to have some things go his way." Long shots to watch No. 9 Burnham Square (12-1): "He's won three of six, including the Blue Grass Stakes, where he won at the very last moment despite a rough start, which tells me that he can deal with adversity — and the Derby is full of that. There is a home-track advantage since he trains at Churchill Downs, and there's a lot of speed in the Derby. He's probably going to 12th or so, early, but he's coming back to Kentucky where he's based. Not a big-name trainer." Advertisement No. 1 Citizen Bull (20-1): "Do I think he really can win? Maybe, but this is a horse who will run fast early. He has no choice, since he's on the rail. He'll go to the front and has run well, outside of his last race. He's won four of six, so his record on paper is pretty good and you're getting Baffert at 20-1. Stranger things have happened with Baffert. War Emblem got the lead in the Derby and never looked back. The price will be right. He's going to be out early, and you know Baffert wants to win this race really badly." Best bet "If I'm betting the Derby now, I would put Journalism on top of a few horses in an exacta or trifecta. I think Citizen Bull is all or nothing, either he's at front or will get crushed. We've seen horses come from the back, like Publisher, who could finish in the top three. The reason I'm staying with the favorite on top is that the Baffert path, which he took, is very likable and he's one of the hottest horses in the race. I think if he gets a clean trip he could win, but I could see a 30-1 or 40-1 horse get second. Pick some of your bombers in second or third and get a nice payoff."
