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Look for S&P 500 rally to continue into mid-July, says chart analyst

Look for S&P 500 rally to continue into mid-July, says chart analyst

CNBC27-06-2025
The S & P 500 could continue to rally for the next few weeks, according to Wolfe Research. "We continue to get asked how much further this rally might run before consolidating. Our thinking has been mid to late July — right in time for the start of second-quarter earnings season and the typical seasonal peak," technical analyst Rob Ginsberg wrote Thursday. Stocks have been on a tear in recent weeks, with the S & P 500 surging more than 20% since reaching a low in April. Equities took a hit on fears that President Donald Trump's tariff policies would hurt corporate profits, slow the economy and maybe lift inflation. .SPX YTD bar SPX year to date Trade pressures have since eased, sending stocks to within a whisker of record levels. The S & P 500 entered Friday's session just 0.1% below its all-time intraday high set in February. S & P 500 futures were up around 0.2%, signaling a new record will be set at the open. Ginsberg also noted that the grind back to record highs comes as large speculators take out larger short positions, betting that prices will fall. The analyst said short positions on S & P 500 futures are at their highest levels since the first quarter of 2024. "If the VIX breaks support and large specs start covering, that could be the fuel for some near-term capitulation in the weeks ahead" and fuel more market gains, Ginsberg said, referring to the Volatility Index that's traded on the Chicago Board Options Exchange. The VIX, which briefly touched 60 in early April, has tumbled all the way back to 16.23 at Thursday's close. Elsewhere Friday morning on Wall Street, Citizens JMP Securities upgraded Google-parent Alphabet , calling for more than 20% upside on the stock citing benefits from artificial intelligence. "We believe AI is a net tailwind, with ChatGPT's impact too small today to move enough queries away from Google to materially impact results, while AI is expanding the search opportunity by answering a broader array of queries and extending monetization as AI better infers user intent," analyst Andrew Boone wrote in a note published Thursday.
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